Comercio Forex Trading
Configuración del comercio de divergencia de indicadores RSI
Divergencia es una de las configuraciones comerciales utilizadas por los comerciantes de Forex. Implica mirar un gráfico y un indicador más. Para nuestro ejemplo usaremos el indicador RSI.
Para detectar esta configuración encontrar dos puntos de gráfico en el que el precio hace un nuevo columpio alto o un nuevo swing bajo, pero el indicador RSI no, lo que indica una divergencia entre el precio y el impulso.
En el cuadro de abajo identificamos dos puntos de gráfico, el punto A y el punto B (máximos de swing)
Luego, usando el indicador RSI verificamos los máximos realizados por el Indicador, estos son los máximos que están directamente debajo de los puntos A y B.
A continuación, dibujar una línea en el gráfico y otra línea en el indicador RSI.
Configuración de comercio de divergencia RSI
Cómo detectar la divergencia
Para detectar esta configuración buscamos lo siguiente:
HH = Higher High - dos máximos pero el último es más alto
LH = Baja Alta - dos máximos pero el último es menor
HL = Mayor Bajo - dos bajos pero el último es más alto
LL = Menor Bajo - dos bajos pero el último es menor
Primero veamos las ilustraciones de estos términos
Términos comerciales de divergencia
Términos comerciales de divergencia
Hay dos tipos de divergencia:
Toma de 4 a 6 semanas para abrir una cuenta, abrir temprano o vía rápida: Lea el artículo "Procedimiento de apertura de cuenta"
Únete a 500,000 Comerciantes, Comercio con un Agente Regulado con Spreads tan Bajo como Cero: Lea el Artículo "Regulated Broker"
Divergencia: El comercio más rentable
Debido a que las tendencias se componen de una serie de oscilaciones de precios, el impulso desempeña un papel clave es evaluar la fuerza de la tendencia. Como tal, es importante saber cuando una tendencia se está ralentizando. Menos ímpetu no siempre conduce a una inversión. Pero sí indica que algo está cambiando y que la tendencia puede consolidarse o revertirse.
Momento del precio se refiere a la dirección y la magnitud del precio. Comparando oscilaciones de precios ayuda a los comerciantes a comprender mejor el impulso de los precios. Aquí, vamos a echar un vistazo a la forma de evaluar el impulso de precios y mostrarle lo que la divergencia en el impulso le puede decir acerca de la dirección de una tendencia.
Definición de Momentum de los precios La magnitud de la dinámica de los precios se mide por la duración de las oscilaciones de los precios a corto plazo. El principio y el final de cada oscilación se establece por pivotes de precios estructurales, que forman altos y bajos de swing. Fuerte impulso es exhibido por una pendiente empinada y una larga oscilación de precios. Se observa un momentum débil con una pendiente poco profunda y un swing corto de precios (Figura 1).
Figura 1: Momentum
Por ejemplo, la longitud de los aumentos en una tendencia alcista se puede medir. Los aumentos más largos sugieren que la tendencia al alza esté demostrando un ímpetu creciente, o consiguiendo más fuerte. Los aumentos más cortos significan el debilitamiento del impulso y la fuerza de la tendencia. Aumentos de longitud iguales significa que el momento sigue siendo el mismo. (Para la lectura relacionada, vea Momentum que negocia con la disciplina y que monta la onda que invierte momentánea.)
Las oscilaciones de precios no siempre son fáciles de evaluar con el ojo desnudo - el precio puede ser agitado. Indicadores de impulso se utilizan comúnmente para suavizar la acción del precio y dar una imagen más clara. Permiten que el comerciante compare las oscilaciones del indicador a las oscilaciones del precio, más bien que tener que comparar precio al precio.
Indicadores de Momentum Los indicadores de momentum comunes para medir los movimientos de precios incluyen el índice de fuerza relativa (RSI), stochastics y tasa de cambio (ROC). La Figura 2 es un ejemplo de cómo se usa RSI para medir el momento. El valor predeterminado para RSI es 14. RSI tiene límites fijos con valores que van de 0-100.
Por cada aumento en el precio, hay un repunte similar en RSI. Cuando el precio oscila abajo, RSI también oscila abajo. (Para obtener información relacionada, consulte Obtención de confirmación con la estrategia Momentum.)
Figura 2: Las oscilaciones de los indicadores generalmente siguen la dirección de las oscilaciones de precios (A). Las líneas de tendencia se pueden dibujar en los máximos de swing (B) y bajos (C) para comparar el ímpetu entre el precio y el indicador.
Fuente: TDAmeritrade Strategy Desk
El estudio del impulso simplemente comprueba si el precio y el indicador están de acuerdo o en desacuerdo.
Los comerciantes utilizan el Índice de Fuerza Relativa, o RSI, para identificar los mercados que están sobrecomprados o sobreventa. También se utiliza para. Leer respuesta completa >>
El índice de fuerza relativa (RSI) y el índice de canal de mercancías (CCI) son dos populares osciladores técnicos que sirven como diferentes. Leer respuesta completa >>
Divergencia ocurre cuando un indicador técnico se mueve en la dirección opuesta al precio de su activo subyacente. Debajo. Leer respuesta completa >>
La identificación exacta de las reversiones de la tendencia se considera a menudo el santo grial del comercio de la inversión. Los analistas y los comerciantes utilizan. Leer respuesta completa >>
El indicador dinámico de McGinley fue realmente diseñado como una herramienta de suavizado, útil para seguir las tendencias pero no para generar. Leer respuesta completa >>
Los analistas técnicos y los comerciantes utilizan el índice de disparidad para detectar movimientos anormales o rápidos en el precio de una seguridad, mostrando. Leer respuesta completa >>
El índice de disparidad es un oscilador de volatilidad técnica que evalúa la relación entre la acción de precios actual y. Leer respuesta completa >>
Hay tres componentes para entender con el índice Elder-Ray: poder de oso, potencia de toro y una media móvil exponencial. Leer respuesta completa >>
Los comerciantes técnicos utilizan el índice de volumen acumulado (CVI) como un indicador de amplitud del mercado. El índice se basa en la relación. Leer respuesta completa >>
Cuando un indicador combate & # 8221; Con el precio real los comerciantes de acción pueden beneficiarse.
A veces un indicador técnico no está de acuerdo o "lucha" con la acción de precio real de la acción o índice que está analizando. Estos "desacuerdos" son realmente muy útiles para los comerciantes técnicos. En esta serie de tres partes vamos a discutir y aprender a aplicar estas potentes señales técnicas llamadas divergencias
Las divergencias comerciales # 8211; Primera parte
Una divergencia aparece cuando un indicador técnico (normalmente un oscilador) comienza a establecer una tendencia que no está de acuerdo con el movimiento real de los precios. Por ejemplo, en el gráfico de abajo se puede ver el QQQQ formando mínimos más bajos de enero a marzo de 2008.
Esto es representativo de un mercado que se está volviendo más bajista. Sin embargo, el indicador técnico RSI que he aplicado está mostrando una serie de mínimos más bajos, lo que es indicativo de una tendencia de mejora.
Para los shorts QQQQ, esto es una advertencia de que el control de riesgos va a ser mucho más importante porque hay una alta probabilidad de que la tendencia se interrumpa a corto plazo.
Para los comerciantes más especulativos que buscan obtener mucho tiempo el QQQQ o comprar llamadas, esta "divergencia alcista" es una alerta de que un cambio en la tendencia puede estar surgiendo. En el video voy a cubrir otro gran ejemplo de una divergencia alcista como la del QQQQ, pero en un stock individual.
Los comerciantes utilizan indicadores técnicos como osciladores porque filtran mucho del ruido dentro de la acción del precio. Los osciladores se diseñan típicamente para demostrar a un comerciante cuando los precios han alcanzado extremos y una inversión es probable. Sin embargo, ¿qué extremo es demasiado extremo?
El desacuerdo o la divergencia entre la acción bajista del precio (puntos bajos más bajos) y la tendencia del oscilador (puntos bajos más altos) es una manera de contestar a esa pregunta. Cuando esto sucede indica que el sentimiento del inversionista es demasiado extremo y una inversión a la parte superior es probable.
Divergencias pueden ocurrir para activar las operaciones ambas direcciones.
Las divergencias pueden ser una importante señal de advertencia de que una tendencia alcista está terminando. En el último artículo he hablado de cómo utilizar las divergencias alcistas a la hora de una entrada en una nueva posición larga o para buscar la debilidad en una tendencia a la baja, pero también hay divergencias bajistas que los comerciantes de largo tienen que mirar para.
Además de describir una divergencia bajista voy a refinar aún más el análisis de la divergencia, en este artículo, para ayudarle a entender qué tipos de divergencias importan más y qué usted debe buscar en una base del día a día.
Las divergencias comerciales # 8211; La segunda parte
Una divergencia bajista ocurre cuando los precios continúan formando máximos más altos (típicos en un mercado alcista) mientras que su oscilador (en este caso RSI) está formando índices significativamente más bajos (indicando debilidad en la tendencia).
También hemos definido esta señal como un período de tendencias divergentes entre los precios y el indicador cuando el indicador ha estado haciendo picos en la sobrecompra & # 8221; territorio.
Si está usando el RSI para buscar divergencias, significa que usted prestará la mayor atención a las divergencias cuando los picos de los indicadores estén por encima de 70 o sobrecompra. & # 8221; Usted puede ver exactamente este tipo de formación y la tendencia descendente resultante en la tabla de abajo de Ebay (EBAY).
Hay dos cosas que un técnico puede hacer una vez que una divergencia se forma y los precios comienzan a caer. En primer lugar, es una oportunidad para los comerciantes a largo para ser proactivo acerca de su control de riesgos. Eso puede significar el uso de paradas más estrictas, opciones de protección o simplemente revisar su cartera para asegurarse de que están correctamente diversificados.
En segundo lugar, una divergencia bajista es una gran señal de sincronización para los comerciantes más especulativos para poner en corto el mercado o comprar opciones de venta. En cualquier caso, la señal le ha proporcionado información procesable para su propia gestión de cartera.
Las reglas básicas para las divergencias comerciales son simples y pueden aplicarse a una serie de indicadores técnicos diferentes
Las divergencias son bastante simples de identificar y aunque no son muy comunes, representan señales técnicas muy importantes que la tendencia del mercado o de la bolsa podría cambiar. Esto significa que los comerciantes de tendencia están tomando medidas para limitar su riesgo y los comerciantes más especulativos están buscando una oportunidad para negociar una posible inversión. En este artículo voy a revisar las reglas básicas de comercio de una divergencia y proporcionar una sugerencia para encontrar las divergencias en el mercado en vivo con indicadores técnicos distintos de RSI.
Las divergencias comerciales # 8211; Parte tres
Divergencia alcista: Ambas divergencias buscan desacuerdo & # 8221; Entre el indicador técnico que está utilizando y la acción del precio en sí. En el caso de una divergencia alcista, la señal se produce cuando el indicador está haciendo mínimos más altos (se vuelven menos bajistas), mientras que la acción del precio en sí está estableciendo mínimos BAJOS.
El indicador es una representación más fiable de la confianza de los inversionistas y está indicando que el mercado está excesivamente extendido o sobreventa. A la baja.
Divergencia bajista: El desacuerdo & # 8221; En esta señal se produce cuando el indicador está haciendo LOWER altos mientras que los precios están completando los máximos más altos. El indicador en este caso indica que los inversores se están volviendo menos optimistas y, por lo tanto, el mercado se extiende en exceso o se sobrecarga & # 82221; Al alza.
Busque los extremos: Un indicador técnico tendrá muchos picos y valles. Los que más importan se producen en rangos extremos. Por ejemplo, en esta serie usamos el RSI que está en & # 8222; extrema # 8221; Cuando está por encima de 70 o por debajo de 30.
Si una divergencia bajista ocurre cuando el RSI está en el rango extremo superior los inversionistas alcistas comienzan a mirar para cubrir sus posiciones un poco más de cerca. De manera similar, si la divergencia alcista se produce con el RSI por debajo de 30, los inversores bajistas o los inversores cortos comenzarán a controlar más de cerca su riesgo y su exposición al mercado.
¿Qué pasa si no está usando el RSI? No todos los indicadores técnicos tienen un rango extremo estandarizado como el RSI. Los rangos extremos en RSI lo convierten en un indicador conveniente para este tipo de análisis, pero encontrar estas mismas señales con su oscilador favorito es tan simple.
Por ejemplo, muchos comerciantes usan un MACD o CCI como su oscilador preferido para negociar la tendencia. Ninguno de estos tiene una gama extrema establecida porque a diferencia del RSI no oscilan dentro de un rango restringido de 1-100. En estos casos, mirar la historia reciente y tratar de encontrar divergencias en los osciladores cuando están haciendo tapas o fondos más allá del rango normal.
En la tabla de abajo, puede ver una divergencia alcista identificada por un RSI estableciendo mínimos más altos (1) en el rango de extremos inferiores mientras el mercado estaba haciendo mínimos más bajos. También puede ver la misma señal en un CCI que está golpeando bajas mucho más extremas (2) en comparación con la historia reciente. Finalmente, lo mismo ocurre con el MACD (3), ya que se extiende por debajo de su rango reciente.
No es coincidencia que los tres indicadores estén mostrando la misma señal al mismo tiempo. Los osciladores están esencialmente midiendo la misma información de maneras muy similares. Las diferencias suelen ser sólo una cuestión de preferencia personal. Algunos comerciantes se pegan con RSI mientras que otros prefieren MACDs o algún otro oscilador. Esto es un poco como la elección entre las relaciones P / E versus P / E / G para analistas fundamentales. Stick con lo que se sienten cómodos.
Práctica de encontrar este patrón en su propio uso de datos anteriores y luego buscar que aparezcan en la tendencia actual del mercado. En el video, entraré en un poco más de detalle acerca de lo que está buscando en una divergencia técnica y cómo usar esta señal, independientemente de qué indicador técnico puede favorecer.
Análisis exacto de las divergencias RSI
Profesional Comerciante y Analista,
Los críticos han tratado de disipar el análisis de la divergencia, pero estos ejemplos de Tom Aspray de MoneyShow muestran que cuando se ejecutan correctamente, se generan señales confiables que pueden ayudar a determinar los tops y fondos del mercado.
Hace casi 30 años, usando una serie de computadoras en red Apple II, comencé a hacer investigación y comencé a escribir sobre el análisis de la divergencia. Con los años, desarrollé algunas pautas bastante específicas para analizar las divergencias. En los últimos años, ha habido una serie de artículos sobre el análisis de la divergencia que considero que no permiten que se juzgue correctamente como una herramienta técnica.
En mi opinión, todos ellos tienen un defecto común, ya que no importa si están tratando de probar que el análisis de divergencia funciona o no funciona, sólo miran los datos diarios. Siempre he enfocado mi análisis de divergencia en los datos semanales porque lo encuentro como el más confiable.
A lo largo de los años, he observado patrones semanales constantes en el Índice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) que son bastante útiles en la determinación tanto de los tops de término intermedio como de los fondos. Muchas veces, las divergencias semanales de RSI confirmarán señales de otras herramientas técnicas como el volumen en equilibrio (OBV). Lo que da una mayor validez al análisis.
En estos ejemplos, estoy usando el RSI de 14 períodos con un promedio móvil ponderado de 21 periodos (WMA). Normalmente, en los puntos de inflexión importantes, podrá observar la formación de una o más divergencias en los niveles de sobrecompra o sobreventa que se forman durante un período de tiempo de seis a 20 semanas. Estas divergencias deben ser confirmadas por un movimiento en el RSI por debajo de un nivel de soporte significativo o por encima de un nivel de resistencia clave.
Generalmente, cuando se forman divergencias diarias, pero no hay divergencias semanales, las divergencias diarias sólo indican correcciones dentro de la tendencia a medio plazo. El análisis diario RSI a menudo se puede utilizar para identificar los patrones de continuación dentro de la tendencia principal.
Los analistas que sólo están viendo las divergencias diarias concluyen que el análisis de la divergencia no funciona porque observan una serie de divergencias diarias dentro de una tendencia intermedia. Como resultado, a menudo son whipsawed y no captar la tendencia principal.
Espero que los siguientes ejemplos animen a los lectores a hacer su propio análisis, especialmente sobre los datos semanales, ya que sólo entonces tendrán la confianza para actuar en su análisis de divergencia.
Click para agrandar
Veamos el gráfico semanal de Apple Inc. (AAPL), una de las empresas más seguidas de la última década. Este cuadro abarca el período comprendido entre marzo de 2007 y principios de septiembre de 2008.
En abril de 2007, el RSI se movió por encima de su WMA 21-período (línea verde) como AAPL comenzó su rally desde el área de $ 90. Tanto el precio como el RSI continuaron subiendo hasta julio, cuando el iPhone fue lanzado. La acción alcanzó un máximo justo por debajo de $ 150, formando un doji semanal con el RSI en 83. Durante la corrección de tres semanas siguiente, AAPL disminuyó un 25% de sus máximos y el RSI volvió a apoyar en el área 55.
A mediados de septiembre, el RSI retrocedió por encima de su promedio móvil ponderado y AAPL cerró más alto durante las próximas ocho semanas. A principios de noviembre, había alcanzado el nivel de $ 190.
El RSI no creó nuevos máximos, ya que en vez de eso formó los máximos más bajos, línea A, alcanzando un máximo justo por encima de 81. Después de una corrección de dos semanas, AAPL nuevamente volvió a subir, ya finales de diciembre, las acciones superaron los $ 200.
A estas nuevas altas de precios, se formó una segunda divergencia negativa en el RSI, línea B, ya que sólo alcanzó el nivel 72. Esto sugirió que una parte superior importante podría estar formando.
Dos semanas después de los máximos (línea 1), el RSI descendió por debajo del soporte clave en la línea C. Esto confirmó las divergencias negativas en el RSI, consistentes con la finalización de un top de término intermedio. Durante las próximas seis semanas, la AAPL cayó casi un 30% antes de estabilizarse en el área de $ 115.
A finales de marzo, el RSI había retrocedido por encima de su media móvil ponderada. Durante las siguientes siete semanas, la AAPL se recuperó ligeramente por encima de los $ 190. El RSI semanal se reunió hasta el área de 65-70, pero a finales de junio, había retrocedido por debajo de su WMA.
El rebote en el RSI fracasó en el apoyo anterior acusado por la línea C. Después de una declinación de seis semanas, el RSI rebotó, pero sólo fue capaz de hacerlo ligeramente por encima de su WMA. La subsiguiente violación de la línea de siete meses del RSI, la línea D, fue una fuerte señal de que la tendencia bajista había reanudado.
SIGUIENTE: Estudio de señales importantes en el gráfico diario de Apple
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Pivot y RSI Divergence Trading System - Estrategias de Forex - Forex Recursos - Forex Trading-forex trading señales y FX Forecast
6 # Pivot y RSI Divergence Trading System
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Tiempo: 15 min, 30 min, H1.
1. Identificar la divergencia bajista en el punto de pivote. R1, R2 o R3 (más comúnmente en R1). 2. Cuando el precio cae de nuevo por debajo del punto de referencia (podría ser el punto de pivote R1, R2, R3), iniciar una posición corta con una parada en el columpio reciente. 3. Coloque una orden de límite (tomar ganancias) en el siguiente nivel. Si usted vendió en R2, su primer objetivo sería R1. En este caso, la resistencia anterior se convierte en apoyo y viceversa.
1. Identifique el divergencia alcista en el punto de pivote. Ya sea S1, S2 o S3 (más común en S1). 2. Cuando el precio se recupera por encima del punto de referencia (podría ser el punto de pivote, S1, S2, S3), iniciar una posición larga con una parada en la oscilación reciente.
Estrategia de Divergencia MACD
En el artículo de hoy, estaremos discutiendo cómo utilizar el indicador MACD en otra estrategia comercial, conocida como la estrategia de comercio de divergencia. El comercio de divergencia se utiliza para seleccionar estrategias comerciales rentables basadas en el principio de divergencia de precios del indicador MACD y la corrección eventual de esta divergencia de precios para seguir el indicador MACD.
Hay dos tipos de operaciones de divergencia que se pueden tomar con el indicador MACD. Existe la divergencia positiva (alcista), y hay la negativa (divergencia bajista).
Reconocer un comercio de divergencia de los gráficos Reconocer un comercio de divergencia en las cartas requerirá cierta práctica y experiencia. Para una divergencia bajista, el comerciante tiene que buscar un área donde la parte superior del precio forma altos más altos mientras que las tapas de MACD forman puntos bajos más bajos. En la divergencia alcista, el comerciante se centrará en los fondos de precios, y por lo que tendrá que buscar donde el fondo de precios inferior formas inferior, mientras que el MACD inferior formas más bajos.
Una vez que estos han sido identificados, el comerciante a continuación, busca más técnicas que las configuraciones de apoyo a la entrada de comercio en el sentido de la corrección de precios de la divergencia. Una de ellas es usar candelabros de reversa como base para la entrada al comercio. Otros indicadores también pueden utilizarse para confirmar entradas comerciales. Para nuestros ejemplos de comercio, sin embargo, lo mantendremos muy sencillo mediante el uso de velas de reversión para seleccionar los puntos de entrada de comercio. En términos generales, vemos más movimiento de precios en la divergencia bajista que en la divergencia alcista.
Comercio de la divergencia Como hemos mencionado anteriormente, hay dos operaciones de divergencia que se pueden tomar. Como regla general, cuanto más altas sean las tablas de tiempo utilizadas para el análisis, más pips pueden obtenerse, simplemente porque cada candelero representa la actividad de precios durante un período más largo si se usan los gráficos de 4 horas o diarios que si el gráfico de una hora Se utiliza.
Divergencia bajista La divergencia bajista ocurre cuando los tops del precio están haciendo altos más altos y las tapas del MACD que hacen puntos bajos más bajos. Todo lo que se necesita para este comercio es para el comerciante para identificar dos topes de precios en los que el segundo precio superior es superior a la primera. Esto significa que idealmente, el precio debe estar en su manera abajo del segundo pico para formar una tapa completa.
El comerciante busca entonces un área en la que el histograma MACD ha formado dos picos, siendo el segundo pico más bajo que el primer pico. Por lo general, los máximos de precios más altos y los máximos de MACD más bajos se pueden trazar con líneas de tendencia que conectan las tapas, revelando fácilmente la orientación diferente de las líneas de tendencia. Así, la divergencia lleva el nombre de la orientación del indicador MACD.
Tome el comercio de entrada corta en busca de un patrón bajista candelero después de la divergencia MACD. A continuación, escriba en corto a la apertura de la siguiente vela siguiendo el patrón de inversión de la vela.
Pérdida de parada: La pérdida de parada debe situarse por encima del segundo pico (más alto) de la acción de precio.
Tome Beneficio: Los niveles de beneficio de toma deben ser considerados usando lo siguiente: a) El nivel clave más cercano de apoyo b) La aparición de signos de precio abajo, p. Los precios de los precios recurrentes en la misma zona tras el movimiento de los precios a la baja. C) El comerciante también puede decidir establecer un nivel de riesgo-recompensa de 1: 2, donde 2 pips se asignan como beneficio para cada pip que se establece como stop loss.
La siguiente tabla muestra un comercio de divergencia bajista típico:
Aquí podemos ver que la acción de los precios está haciendo máximos más altos, mientras que el MACD está haciendo máximos más bajos. Una mirada más cercana también demostrará que la acción del precio está trabajando dentro del contexto de la cuña de levantamiento, que en sí mismo, es un patrón bajista de la carta de la divisa. Así que esto es realmente una gran configuración de comercio que un operador de divisas debe mirar hacia adelante. Todo lo que queda es identificar un candelabro bajista, que se muestra por el doji y luego un hombre colgante (pinbar), que es la señal que el comerciante necesita para entrar en corto.
Divergencia alcista La divergencia alcista se observa cuando el precio baja para formar dos canales en los que el segundo canal se forma a un nivel más bajo que el primer canal mientras que al mismo tiempo el histograma MACD forma dos fondos cuyo segundo fondo es más alto que el Del primer fondo, haciendo efectivamente la fabricación de los altos más bajos. El trabajo del comerciante es por lo tanto identificar estas áreas, trazar las líneas y después buscar un candelabro alcista que se pueda utilizar para iniciar el comercio. Una vez más, la divergencia alcista se nombra después de la orientación del indicador de MACD.
El comercio de larga entrada se inicia por buscar donde se produce un patrón de velas alcista una vez que la divergencia bullish MACD se confirma. La posición larga se toma en la apertura del siguiente candelabro que se produce después del patrón de inversión de la vela.
Pérdida de la parada: La pérdida de la parada se debe colocar debajo del más bajo de los dos picos de la acción del precio.
Toma el beneficio: Al igual que en la divergencia bajista (aunque en la dirección opuesta), el comerciante puede establecer los niveles de toma de beneficios utilizando los siguientes parámetros: a) El nivel clave más cercano de resistencia, ya sea formado por un pivote o una reciente sucesión de precio Máximos B) La aparición de signos de superación de los precios, p. Una zona donde se han producido dos o más picos de precios. C) El comerciante también puede decidir establecer un nivel de riesgo-recompensa de 1: 2, donde 2 pips se asignan como beneficio para cada pip que se establece como stop loss. Así que el cálculo se puede hacer desde el precio de entrada y la pérdida de stop.
La siguiente tabla muestra un típico comercio de divergencia alcista:
Podemos ver la divergencia alcista que ocurre donde el precio está haciendo mínimos más bajos. Un patrón engullir alcista entonces se forma en el área de la línea de tendencia, marcando el comienzo de la corrección del precio al alza que es lo que se negocia aquí. El precio subió y, finalmente, superó después de un masivo 712 pips movimiento.
Podemos ver claramente que las oportunidades de la divergencia están por todas partes con nosotros en el mercado de la divisa, pero toma una cierta habilidad para poder detectarlas cuando ocurren. Por otra parte, las mejores cartas a utilizar son las cartas de precios a largo plazo (tales como el gráfico diario o el gráfico de 4 horas), pues éstos entregan señales más claras desprovistas del ruido del mercado y generalmente rinden más beneficios para el comerciante.
Para intercambiar correctamente los patrones de divergencia por lo tanto, trate de familiarizarse con los principales patrones de reversión de la vela que se encuentran en el mercado, ya que éstos proporcionan la base técnica más fácil con la cual entrar en operaciones. Otros parámetros comerciales de activación pueden ser utilizados, pero para los principiantes, es mejor que se adhieren a los candelabros con el fin de obtener las configuraciones de entrada más fácil en operaciones rentables.
¡Atención! ¡Las opiniones del autor son enteramente suyas!
Divergencia RSI - indicador de divergencias clásicas y ocultas
RSI Divergence Indicator es una versión modificada del indicador RSI, que permite trabajar no sólo con los niveles de sobrecompra y sobreventa, sino también para encontrar las divergencias clásicas y ocultas. El indicador es universal y puede ser instalado en cualquier activo y en cualquier período de tiempo.
Características del RSI Divergence Indicator
Plataforma: Metatrader4
Pares de divisas: Cualquier par de divisas (recomendado Mayor)
Horario de operaciones: 24 horas al día
Plazo: M5 - W1
Recomendación de intermediario: Alpari
Ejemplos de señales Indicador de Divergencia RSI:
Por supuesto, RSI Divergence Indicator puede actuar como una fuente independiente de señales comerciales para abrir las posiciones largas y cortas, pero aún mejor usarlo con filtros adicionales o como parte de una estrategia comercial.
En el archivo RSI_Divergence. rar:
Descarga gratis RSI Divergence
Espere, preparamos su enlace
La Estrategia de la Triple Divergencia
Mientras miraba a través de algún material de un antiguo curso de comercio que seguí encontré el esquema de una estrategia que llamó mi atención. La estrategia estaba destinada a los mercados bursátiles, pero decidí probarlo en Forex.
Nombrado "Triple Divergencia" la puesta en marcha se basó en dos indicadores principales: el MACD y el OBV (On Balance Volume). Parecía relativamente simple de aplicar, así que decidí ir y probar lo bien que trabajó en EUR / USD. También me gustó la idea de la divergencia tener que ser triple, en lugar de simplemente doble como de costumbre. Sonaba prometedor.
Antes de revelar los resultados, debería explicar cómo funciona la estrategia.
La estrategia se utilizó para indicar reversiones de la tendencia, como en el gráfico de abajo hacia abajo.
Como se indica por su nombre uno de los criterios para definir un set-up es una triple divergencia entre MACD y el precio. Eso es correcto & # 8211; Me escuchaste bien, dije TRIPLE. Esta fue una de las cosas que llamó mi atención: la triple divergencia sugirió una mayor probabilidad de éxito. Aunque la estrategia original se basaba puramente en la divergencia también incluía la convergencia. La siguiente tabla muestra cómo funciona la cosa:
Como se puede ver el precio está subiendo, mientras que MACD (en un estándar de 12, 26) no es - esto establece no confirmación (o divergencia & # 8217;) y es un signo de debilidad. Para que la configuración sea válida, tiene que hacer tres de tales divergencias.
En el panel inferior es OBV. Para que la configuración sea confirmada, también necesitamos una divergencia entre precio y OBV. La divergencia en OBV debe coincidir con los dos últimos picos divergentes del MACD.
De acuerdo. ¡Eso es!
¿Qué tan bien funcionó?
Muy rápidamente encontré que las divergencias triples son ocurrencias muy raras. Después de comenzar los gráficos diarios y no encontrar nada a pesar de volver varios años, decidí cambiar un período de tiempo a 4 horas de cartas.
En el marco de tiempo inferior tuve un poco más de éxito, encontrando seis configuraciones válidas entre 2010 - 2014.
Aunque seis no fue mucho, decidí probarlos para ver qué tan exitosos serían al proporcionar señales comerciales. Si los primeros seis salieron bien, entonces podría valer la pena buscar más ejemplos.
He probado cada una de las configuraciones válidas como si se tratara de una estrategia comercial. Decidí hacer el punto de entrada al abrir de la barra después de la barra después de la última cumbre divergente.
Los resultados de los seis montajes fueron en realidad muy positivos, y los he mostrado en la tabla a continuación.
Con el fin de aumentar el tamaño de mi muestra entonces decidí buscar configuraciones en otros pares principales, incluyendo Cable, USD / JPY, y el australiano. En total, encontré un total de 14 configuraciones en los 4 pares.
En la explicación de la tabla abajo, el éxito de la estrategia fue probado hipotéticamente negociando. Como tal hipotético punto de entrada & # 8217; Se colocó a la baja de la barra correspondiente a la barra después de que se confirmó el pico final en MACD, es decir, al abrir la barra, después de la barra después de la barra sobre la que el MACD alcanzó su punto máximo en su divergencia final con el precio.
Una parada hipotética se colocó en los máximos utilizando una lógica de sentido común.
También lo probé en las cartas de 4 horas de otras parejas, con los resultados que se enumeran a continuación:
Discusión
La primera cosa a notar es que incluso en el gráfico de 4 horas no hay muchos set-ups incluso regresar cuatro años. En general sólo 14 a través de cuatro pares.
La segunda cosa a notar es que en la mayoría de la recompensa lejos outwieghs el riesgo. Las únicas dos excepciones son que la puesta en marcha se produjo en AUD / USD el 04/09/13 y en USD / JPY el 10/11/10, donde la estrategia no tuvo mucho éxito, logrando un máximo de 35 y 20 puntos respectivamente.
10 de los 14 conjuntos de más de 200 puntos de beneficio. Si los hubieses cambiado con un objetivo de 200 puntos habrías hecho 10 x 200 = 2000 ganancias brutas.
Ahora quitar los 4 perdedores y obtener el beneficio neto. Los perdedores ascienden a 42, 72, 54 y 29. Esto equivale a un total de 197 pérdidas brutas. El beneficio neto sería por lo tanto 2000 - 197 = 1803 puntos.
En general, la investigación parece reforzar el argumento de que la divergencia tripla & # 8217; Estrategia funciona con éxito en el suministro de señales comerciales en el gráfico de 4 h, a pesar de una pequeña muestra.
sobre el autor
Soy un analista de divisas, comerciante y escritor. He tenido una carrera escribiendo artículos para sitios web y revistas, comenzando en el sector de viajes y luego en Forex. Utilizo una combinación de análisis técnico y fundamental en mis pronósticos. Cuando me uní a Forex4you en 2010 pensé que era una gran oportunidad para trabajar como analista de un corredor internacional. Proporciono previsiones técnicas con puntos de entrada y objetivos claros, así como artículos sobre temas fundamentales y comerciales. Buena suerte y comercio feliz!
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Ayuda y soporte para la memoria del mercado
¿Qué es RSI?
El Índice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI) es un popular oscilador de impulso en el análisis técnico desarrollado por J. Welles Wilder. Al igual que con la mayoría de los osciladores, el indicador RSI se utiliza para identificar las condiciones de sobrecompra o sobreventa, las oportunidades potenciales de compra o venta y evaluar la posible dirección de la tendencia.
Cálculo RSI
RSI = 100 & # 8211; 100 / (1+ RS),
Donde RS = promedio de movimiento ascendente de n días en precio de cierre / promedio de movimiento descendente de n días en precio de cierre. La configuración predeterminada para el período de RSI es de 14 días. En este caso, RS es igual al promedio de los precios cerrados al alza de 14 días divididos por el promedio de los precios cerrados a la baja de 14 días.
Gráfico de Acciones
Base en la fórmula RSI, el índice RSI fluctúa entre cero y cien. Los valores RSI de 70 y 30 dividen el gráfico completo en tres partes. Las lecturas de más de 70 se consideran sobrecompra, las lecturas inferiores a 30 se consideran sobrevendidas y las lecturas entre 30 y 70 se consideran valores normales.
Divergencia RSI
Como con la mayoría de los osciladores, RSI se puede utilizar para identificar reversiones de la tendencia con divergencias. Una reversión alcista (o divergencia) se presenta cuando el RSI se mueve a un nivel más bajo pero los precios se mueven a niveles más bajos. Una reversión bajista (o divergencia) ocurre cuando el RSI se mueve para bajar más alto pero los precios se mueven a un nivel más alto.
Estrategia de negociación RSI
Al igual que otros indicadores de análisis técnico, RSI se utilizan generalmente para identificar oportunidades de compra o venta. En teoría, una oportunidad de compra se señala cuando la seguridad se considera sobreventa (en otras palabras, RSI es inferior a 30). A sell opportunity is signaled when the security is considered to be overbought (in other words, RSI is above 70). However, in the real stock market, prices will not be pulled back or bounced immediately once securities are overbought or oversold. Sometimes securities will remain overbought/oversold for a while. In my opinion, traders could sell a portion of security when it is overbought, and keep selling when price continues to rise. Similarly, traders could buy security when it is oversold, and keep buying when price continues to fall.
RSI Settings
Market Memory provides three options to users: overbought, oversold or custom range. If overbought is chosen, filter will select all the dates that RSI is above 70. If oversold is chosen, filter will select all the dates that RSI is below 30. Similarly, filter will select all the dates that RSI is between 30 and 70 when custom range is chosen. If several consecutive days match the criteria you have selected, a slider can be used to limit the number of selected days. As following graphs show, ”overbought is chosen for 1 days to infinity” means that filter selects all the dates that RSI is overbought.
If users choose “limit number of days” and setup “for 1 days to 1 days”, it means that only the first day of selected consecutive days will be shown in the graph.
Users can setup “limit number of days” by their specification. If “ for 2 days to 4 days” is chosen, it means that filter selects the second day, third day and fourth day of a period of consecutive selected days.
Because Divergence Trading Strategy are composed of a series of value swings, momentum plays a key role is assessing trend strength. As such, it’s necessary to grasp once a trend is deceleration down. Less momentum doesn’t continuously cause a reversal, however it will signal that one thing is ever-changing, which the trend might consolidate or reverse. value momentum refers to the direction and magnitude of value. comparison value swings helps traders gain insight into value momentum. Here, we’ll take a glance at a way to measure value momentum and show you what Divergence Trading Strategy in momentum will tell you regarding the direction of a trend.
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The magnitude of value momentum is measured by the length of short-run value swings. the start and finish of every swing is established by structural value pivots, that type swing highs and lows. sturdy momentum is exhibited by a steep slope and an extended value swing. Weak momentum is seen with a shallow slope and short value swing. value swings aren’t continuously simple to judge with the optic – value will be stormy. Divergence Trading Strategy indicators are normally accustomed smooth the value action and provides a clearer image. they permit the merchant to match the indicator swings to cost swings, instead of having to match value to cost.
Disagreement between the indicator and value is named Divergence Trading Strategy, and it will have vital implications for trade management. the number of agreement/disagreement is relative, thus there will be many totally different patterns that develop within the relationship between value and also the indicator. the foremost helpful thanks to use a momentum indicator is to grasp what strategy to use. value can lead the method however momentum will indicate a time to preserve profits. The ability of an expert merchant lies in his or her ability to implement the proper strategy for value action.
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How to trade Divergences
In this article I will explain you what divergence is and how to trade it. For trading divergences we need only Price Action and one indicator. The indicator might be an oscillator like the RSI or the stochastic, might be a momentum indicator like CCI or the Momentum or finally you can trade Volume divergences with a volume indicator.
First of all, I want to say what divergence is. When the traders say “divergence” mean a disagreement between Price Action Signals and Indicators Signals. Let’s see our first screen shot. It’s from USDJPY currency pair.
As you can see in this chart I use only a 14 period RSI. Look the price behavior in the blue box. It makes higher - highs. Now, look at the RSI behavior. It makes higher - highs, too. In this case the price action and the oscillator agree. There is not a divergence. Take a look in the second screen shot. It’s from AUDUSD currency pair.
In this case, you can easily see that the price makes Higher - Highs but our 14 period RSI makes lower - highs. So, we have a disagreement here and there is a divergence. With the price making HHs and the oscillator making LHs we have a sell signal. In this case we have a mini up-trend and it’s time for a big reversal of the trend. Notice that after the disagreement we have a big movement down and the price finally stops moving down in the support near the whole number (the yellow horizontal line). If there is an opposite condition in which the price makes lower - highs and our indicator higher - highs there is again a sell signal.
I said above when we have bearish signals. Now, I am going to say when there are bullish signals. Echar un vistazo. It’s from EURUSD currency pair.
The price in the blue box makes lower - lows. Our indicator in the blue box makes higher - lows. There is a small disagreement here so there is also a small bullish divergence. Notice the bullish movement of the price after the reversal. In the opposite condition in which price makes higher - lows and our indicator makes lower - lows there is again a bullish signals.
You can use the indicator you want. In the charts I use the RSI. Divergence is a very strong tool and you should look for hidden divergences regardless of the strategy you are using.
WMA and RSI Forex Trading Strategy
Initiate a BUY entry when a buy candle closes above the 60 Weighted Moving Average line and RSI (7) has gone below the 30 level with its first point of divergence and price has made a lower low but the RSI either stayed level or made a higher low.
Place stop loss 5 pips lower than the last local minimum plus spread.
Exit Strategy/Take Profit:
Place your take profit 15 pips above the last local maximum plus spread.
WMA and RSI ForexTrading Strategy Buy Signal
From the example above a bullish candle closed above the WMA (60), triggering an uptrend signal, at the same time the formation of RSI price divergence signaled a long position. The last maximum and last minimum points both define points of take profits and stop loss respectively.
On the other hand, we can initiate a SHORT entry when a short candle closes below the WMA (60) and the RSI (7) line is above the 70 mark. As a rule, we wait for the first point of divergence to form a higher low or would have stayed level.
Place stop loss 5 pips higher than the last local maximum in addition to the spread.
Exit Strategy/Target Profit:
Take profit should be placed 15 pips below the last local minimum plus the spread.
WMA and RSI ForexTrading Strategy Sell Signal
The sell candle closed below the WMA (60) triggering a sell, with a preceding price divergence with lower highs of the RSI (7) pointing above the 70 mark. The sell trend was eminent after entry as we notice the downward slide.
Some information about divergence which I found in book: "Achelis, Technical Analysis from A to Z".
A divergence occurs when the trend of a security's price doesn't agree with the trend of an indicator. Many of the examples in subsequent chapters (see page ) demonstrate divergences.
The chart in Figure 34 shows a divergence between Whirlpool and its 14-day CCI (Commodity Channel Index). [See page .] Whirlpool's prices were making new highs while the CCI was failing to make new highs. When divergences occur, prices usually change direction to confirm the trend of the indicator as shown in Figure 34. This occurs because indicators are better at gauging price trends than the prices themselves.
A indication that an end to the current trend may be near occurs when the MACD diverges from the security. A bearish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new lows while prices fail to reach new lows. A bullish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new highs while prices fail to reach new highs. Both of these divergences are most significant when they occur at relatively overbought/oversold levels.
Look for divergence between the indicator and the price action. If the price trends higher and the MFI trends lower (or vice versa), a reversal may be imminent.
Divergences between the Accumulation/Distribution and the security's price imply a change is imminent. When a divergence does occur, prices usually change to confirm the Accumulation/Distribution. For example, if the indicator is moving up and the security's price is going down, prices will probably reverse.
The Average True Range ("ATR") is a measure of volatility. The Average True Range can be interpreted using the same techniques that are used with the other volatility indicators. Refer to the discussion on Standard Deviation for additional information on volatility interpretation.
(was developed by Donald Lambert)
A divergence occurs when the security's prices are making new highs while the CCI is failing to surpass its previous highs. This classic divergence is usually followed by a correction in the security's price.
The interpretation of the Momentum indicator is identical to the interpretation of the Price ROC. Both indicators display the rate-of-change of a security's price. However, the Price ROC indicator displays the rate-of-change as a percentage whereas the Momentum indicator displays the rate-of-change as a ratio. As a market peaks, the Momentum indicator will climb sharply and then fall off-- diverging from the continued upward or sideways movement of the price. Similarly, at a market bottom, Momentum will drop sharply and then begin to climb well ahead of prices. Both of these situations result in divergences between the indicator and prices.
Índice de Fuerza Relativa.
The Relative Strength Index ("RSI") is a popular oscillator. It was first introduced by Welles Wilder in an article in Commodities (now known as Futures) Magazine in June, 1978. Step-by-step instructions on calculating and interpreting the RSI are also provided in Mr. Wilder's book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. The RSI is a price-following oscillator that ranges between 0 and 100. A popular method of analyzing the RSI is to look for a divergence in which the security is making a new high, but the RSI is failing to surpass its previous high. Esta divergencia es una indicación de una inversión inminente. When the RSI then turns down and falls below its most recent trough, it is said to have completed a "failure swing." La oscilación del fallo se considera una confirmación de la inversión inminente. As discussed above, divergences occur when the price makes a new high (or low) that is not confirmed by a new high (or low) in the RSI. Los precios normalmente son correctos y se mueven en la dirección del RSI.
Sto. chas. tic (sto kas'tik) adj. 2. Math. designating a process having an infinite progression of jointly distributed random variables. Look for divergences. For example, where prices are making a series of new highs and the Stochastic Oscillator is failing to surpass its previous highs.
TRIX is a momentum indicator that displays the percent rate-of-change of a triple exponentially smoothed moving average of the security's closing price. Divergences between the security and the TRIX can also help identify turning points.
Originally posted by european
Anybody knows good MQ4 divergence indicators (RSI, MACD or CCI) ?
I searched a lot and never found one for MT4. None of the ones referenced by others in this thread really does the job. So, I developed strict rules and hired a programmer to build one for me. It's still being worked on, but, the results so far are encouraging. See the attached screen shot for two awesome divergence trades today.
I prefer CCI as it tends to deliver cleaner and quicker signals. Of course, it delivers false ones as well, but, that's where having clear exit rules helps.
I suppose if there were a few people willing to contribute toward my cost for getting this thing developed (which currently is $500), I'd consider making it available to the community along with my rules.
Of course, after the indicator is complete, work will begin on the EA which is also based on a very strict set of rules. Divulging that would take a bit more coaxing!
Originally posted by drgoodvibe
Bill, now that's exactly how a divergence indicator should be! I'd be willing to donate to a fund to release that puppy to the community..
Though, I wish it could be possible that the divergence indicator could use any indicator to plot divergences..
Estoy de acuerdo. I specifically requested the programmer make it easy to insert other oscillators, although, the first version won't have direct support for other oscillators. I gather that once I get my hands on the code that part should be easy to handle.
Comentario
Originally posted by Thruline
I'd suggest building a trendline break into the entry. You also should be able to name the minimum bars you require between highs or lows in price to control the scale of the divergences you want to track. Otherwise, you have an indicator firing off unprofitable signals. Another consideration is to look at higher time frame trend as a filter.
Thanks for the suggestions.
1. Threndline break. That's not currently part of my rules, but, I'll consider it for the future.
2. Minimum Bars Between Highs or Lows. This is currently set via a user input named Bars4CorrelationScan. I have it set by default to 36 which I've found works well with GBPUSD at M15.
3. Higher Time Fram filter. Sí. Have considered this. For now, everything is operating off of the chart's time frame.
Many thanks to Newdigital and other guys for the info. Trading divergence can be very profitable
I thried several 'divergence' indicators on here but none seems do the job well, although it shouldn't be difficult. See chart attached
All is needed for an indicator, say RSI or CCI, to change color when it has divergence with price. May be somebody from programmers can make us a Xmas present
Last edited by european ; 28-12-2006, 22:56.
Comentario
Originally posted by european
Many thanks to Newdigital and other guys for the info. Trading divergence can be very profitable
I thried several 'divergence' indicators on here but none seems do the job well, although it shouldn't be difficult. See chart attached
All is needed for an indicator, say RSI or CCI, to change color when it has divergence with price. May be somebody from programmers can make us a Xmas present
Yep, seems simple enough doesn't it? I've been looking for something similar for quite a while.
Comentario
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RSI Divergence
RSI Divergence
RSI (Relative Strength Index ) typically shows high values when the market is rising and low values when market is falling. However, while there are virtually no limits on where price can go (other than the price of zero), RSI value range is limited to 0 to 100. Furthermore, RSI measures the relative strength of up and down moves, but does not move perfectly in line with price.
Occasionally, price makes a new (higher) high and RSI fails to do so (the new high on RSI is lower than the previous high). Conversely, sometimes price makes new lower low, but RSI does not get below its previous low. These situations are called RSI divergences . There is a divergence . or mismatch, between the information we get from price (the market continues its trend and makes new extreme) and RSI (the market fails to break through the previous extreme and the trend may be reverting soon).
RSI Divergence as a Trading Signal
Some traders consider RSI divergence a powerful signal for trading against the trend – in other words, if you see a RSI divergence, there is high probability that the trend will reverse.
Bullish RSI Divergence
A Bullish RSI Divergence occurs when the price makes a new lower low, but the RSI doesn’t. This is considered a bullish (buy) signal.
Bearish RSI Divergence
A Bearish RSI Divergence occurs when the price makes a new higher high, but the RSI doesn’t. This is considered a bearish (sell) signal.
Nevertheless, no two RSI divergences are the same and as with any other technical analysis based strategy, it is the little details which decide whether a strategy will make of lose money in the end.
RSI Divergence Indicator
Some trading and charting software packages include various forms of RSI Divergence Indicator, which draws RSI divergences automatically into a chart and prints trading signals or alerts.
What Is a Divergence in General?
The word divergence is not used only in connection with RSI. In general, a divergence means that something behaves differently from something else. In economics or financial analysis, it means that two measures or statistics which normally tend to show similar developments are acting differently at a moment – for example, if US GDP is rising an EU GDP is falling, we can say that there is a divergence in US and EU GDP. In technical analysis, a divergence means that we are getting different signals or different information from two different indicators or (most often) different information from price and a technical indicator.
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Because Divergence Trading Strategy are composed of a series of value swings, momentum plays a key role is assessing trend strength. As such, it’s necessary to grasp once a trend is deceleration down. Less momentum doesn’t continuously cause a reversal, however it will signal that one thing is ever-changing, which the trend might consolidate or reverse. value momentum refers to the direction and magnitude of value. comparison value swings helps traders gain insight into value momentum. Here, we’ll take a glance at a way to measure value momentum and show you what Divergence Trading Strategy in momentum will tell you regarding the direction of a trend.
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The magnitude of value momentum is measured by the length of short-run value swings. the start and finish of every swing is established by structural value pivots, that type swing highs and lows. sturdy momentum is exhibited by a steep slope and an extended value swing. Weak momentum is seen with a shallow slope and short value swing. value swings aren’t continuously simple to judge with the optic – value will be stormy. Divergence Trading Strategy indicators are normally accustomed smooth the value action and provides a clearer image. they permit the merchant to match the indicator swings to cost swings, instead of having to match value to cost.
Disagreement between the indicator and value is named Divergence Trading Strategy, and it will have vital implications for trade management. the number of agreement/disagreement is relative, thus there will be many totally different patterns that develop within the relationship between value and also the indicator. the foremost helpful thanks to use a momentum indicator is to grasp what strategy to use. value can lead the method however momentum will indicate a time to preserve profits. The ability of an expert merchant lies in his or her ability to implement the proper strategy for value action.
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Because trends area unit composed of a series of value swings, divergence rsi plays a key role is assessing trend strength. As such, it’s necessary to understand once a trend is retardation down. Less divergence rsi doesn’t perpetually cause a reversal, however it will signal that one thing is ever-changing, which the trend might consolidate or reverse.
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Divergence rsi refers to the direction and magnitude of value. scrutiny value swings helps traders gain insight into value momentum. Here, we’ll take a glance at the way to appraise value momentum and show you what divergence in momentum will tell you concerning the direction of a trend.
The most helpful thanks to use a momentum indicator is to understand what strategy to use. value can lead the method however momentum will indicate a time to preserve profits. The ability of knowledgeable merchant lies in his or her ability to implement the proper strategy for value action.
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Because trends area unit composed of a series of value swings, divergence rsi plays a key role is assessing trend strength. As such, it’s necessary to understand once a trend is retardation down. Less divergence rsi doesn’t perpetually cause a reversal, however it will signal that one thing is ever-changing, which the trend might consolidate or reverse.
Haga clic aquí para descargar una nueva herramienta de comercio y estrategia GRATIS
Divergence rsi refers to the direction and magnitude of value. scrutiny value swings helps traders gain insight into value momentum. Here, we’ll take a glance at the way to appraise value momentum and show you what divergence in momentum will tell you concerning the direction of a trend.
The most helpful thanks to use a momentum indicator is to understand what strategy to use. value can lead the method however momentum will indicate a time to preserve profits. The ability of knowledgeable merchant lies in his or her ability to implement the proper strategy for value action.
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Program 42 | RSI Divergence Indicator and Showme Study
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RSI Currency Trading Strategy – Bullish and Bearish Divergence
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RSI Currency Trading Strategy – Bullish and Bearish Divergence
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) an indicator most traders are familiar with; it is an oscillator that measures the strength of price movements by monitoring the closing prices.
It is often used in a very simple fashion with reference lines 30 and 70 acting as over-sold and over-bought levels respectively. However, there are other signals that can be drawn from RSI analysis. For those day traders out there the Bullish and Bearish Divergence strategy on a 15 minute or 30 minute candle chart may be useful to you.
It involves comparing the price pattern with the RSI pattern. When the price falls to the previous low or lower but, at the same time, the RSI line makes a more shallow bottom than during it’s previous decline this is Bullish Divergence and acts as a signal to buy.
You should only buy once the RSI line turns up from it’s bottom and place a protective stop below the lastest minor price low. Bearsih diverence is the exact opposite; when the price rises to the previous high or higher but the RSI makes a lower top than during it’s previous rally this acts as a signal to Sell.
You should only sell once the RSI line turns down from it’s top and place a protective stop above the latest minor high.
To find out more on Forex trading strategies sign up for an account with easy-forex trading and attend the London seminar, Currency Trading – Technical Analysis Strategies for free Join
3 Responses
hi , i would like to know about this rsi, especially when trading currencies, what is the best link-website to learn more in detail of this rsi, is this enough just by looking the overbought /oversold criteria to enter a trade or is there any other detail that one need to complement the rsi ….i mean the highest percentage confirmation to enter a trade what else other than rsi …..thanks…
This site. Maybe the forum at Livecharts. co. uk but really use RSI will not give you a statistical edge. It may help in trading but really trading is about the numbers (strike rate, risk reward ratio etc) not the indicators.
(paul(Learn Relative Strength Index Forex trading system) says:
Good information and I agree with the second comment. Statistical data can be gathered for divergences however as well as reversal signals on RSI (as from Andrew Cardwell). This data will show that reversal signals actually perform better. Thanks, Paul
Isn’t it interesting how we in the “Trading” industry have taken common everyday words of interest and refashioned them to suit our needs? For instance, let’s take the words “trend” and “line”. Grammatically speaking, when we use these two words consecutively, the word “trend” is an adjective that is describing the noun “line”. And as such, they are written as two entities.
However, in our world, “trend line” has evolved becoming an entity in itself, which we use as the compound word “trendline”. An identity that Webster’s Dictionary and Microsoft Word still, to this day, can’t wrap their heads around.
Divergence is such a word. Google the word “divergence” and you will quickly see what I mean. In our world, divergence has taken on a characteristic all its own. So, sit back and relax as we delve into its nature and how we may use it to identify and confirm higher probability trades.
Among other indicators, our previous lessons have covered topics such as the MACD and the RSI. Let’s broaden our use of these tools by combining them with divergent formations so we may increase our profit margin.
In this lesson do not confuse divergent trendlines with your standard trendlines. When drawing your standard bullish trendlines, they are drawn connecting the “higher” lows. Subsequently, when drawing your standard bearish trendlines, they are drawn connecting lower highs. Let’s see how this differs from divergence.
As many of you well know, most of my trading is intra-day. Generally speaking, I am a Day Trader. While indicators and trendline breaks are a large part of my trading strategy, divergence can be equally important in calculating strength and weakness of any currency. And though the majority of my trades have been closed within 24 hours of entering the market, I’ve come to realize that divergence, when understood and utilized correctly, can be an awesome asset to trading at the higher time frames, such as, daily, weekly, and monthly charts.
This is because indicators such as the MACD give stronger and more accurate signals when longer-term data is calculated. In December 1987, February 1991, and October 1992 (below), the Monthly USD/CHF chart formed a series of new lows (A), (B), and (C). If you follow the vertical lines downward, you can see that these valleys on the price chart coincide with new lows on the MACD indicator. However, each of these MACD lows did not reach the same depth of the previous low – in fact, each low was substantially higher (D), (E), and (F).
This is called divergence; and in this case, specifically, bullish divergence.
When using an adjective to describe (standard) divergence, it takes its name from the direction of the indicator not the price chart.
In other words, when the price moves upward, while the indicator moves downward, we call this “bearish” divergence.
Conversely, when the price moves downward, while the indicator moves upward, we call this bullish divergence.
When the price (above) retested the previous lows and subsequently coincided with the MACD rising - divergently, we know that the MACD is expressing a potential for the market to increase in strength.
As can be seen in the subsequent chart below, the contrast between the price chart and the MACD provided forewarning to a tremendous reversal opportunity; which, by the way, was confirmed by trendline breaks (red) on the price chart, on the MACD, and on the RSI.
Below, we have an example of bearish (standard) divergence.
And as can also be seen in the chart below, the contrast between the price chart and the MACD provided forewarning to a tremendous reversal opportunity; which also was confirmed by trendline breaks (red) on the price chart, on the MACD, and on the RSI.
Although the MACD is ideal for determining divergence, divergence can also be found in other indicators as well - such as in this chart of the RSI. Later in this lesson, you will see the Stochastic used to signal a form of divergence as well.
In addressing Hidden Divergence (HD), let’s emphasize something important right now – while divergence signals a potential retracement or reversal in the market, this is contrary to Hidden Divergence in that HD confirms the continued trend. So, if you see what you think is HD but it Does Not take you back into the trend.
it is not Hidden Divergence.
In other words, bullish HD appears in up-trending markets while bearish HD appears in down-trending markets.
So, without insulting anyone’s intelligence or for fear of overstating the obvious, Hidden Divergence displays itself opposite to that of its counterpart – the Divergence.
So, please follow me here.
IF
Bullish Divergence (below) is displayed when price reaches lower lows while the coinciding indicator reaches higher lows.
Y
Bearish Divergence is displayed when price reaches higher highs while the coinciding indicator reaches lower highs.
THEN
In contrast, Bullish Hidden Divergence is displayed when price reaches higher lows while the coinciding indicator reaches lower lows.
Remember: The original trend (below) was bullish (red) and so the HD formation signals a potential return to the bullish trend.
When the hidden divergent signal is confirmed with T/L breaks on the price chart and the RSI is followed by a subsequent pullback to the price T/L while the RSI has moved into bullish territory.
We have no fear of entering on the long side of the market.
Entering anywhere within the shaded area (below) would be a high probability trade.
Upon entry, a protective stop (P/S) immediately placed just below the previous low provides us with a safety net with a risk factor of only 30 pips.
And as we can see below, the bullish ride would have been substantial.
LIKEWISE In a down-trending market, Bearish Hidden Divergence is displayed when price reaches lower highs while the coinciding indicator reaches higher highs.
In the chart below, a retracement of the price coincides with a “distinct” higher high ( from one clearly defined peak to the next clearly defined peak ) on the Stochastic – indicating a potential for a continued bearish move.
With confirmation (below) being provided by a break of the T/L (red) on the price chart with a subsequent break of the T/L on the RSI coinciding with the RSI remaining in bearish territory.
Once again, we have no fear of re-entering the market on the short side.
With your P/S placed just above the previous high, you can sleep like a baby.
Below is a nice little “cheat” sheet you can copy and cut out and set by your keyboard until you get it set in your mind…..I did…..and it works great.
Divergence Forex Trading Strategy
Divergences are most commonly used in forex to predict price reversals in both up and down trending markets. In a nutshell, divergences occur when the currency pair price and the technical indicator (MACD, RSI, STOCH,…) trade in opposite directions.
Normally, price should always trade in agreement with the supporting TA indicator, both up or down. The big advantage of trading divergences is that they offer you low risk to reward trades since you’re ready to buy currencies near a bottom or sell near the top.
A. Forex Bullish Divergence Trading
Bullish divergences occur where the currency price trades lower while indicator readings go higher. Bullish divergences suggest a likely move to the upside. Let’s take a look at bullish divergence and how to profit from this tool. Below is a 4 hour chart of GBP/USD.
The GBP/USD make lower lows while the MACD indicator make higher lows, thus creating bullish divergence in the chart above. We could enter a long position at 1.5733 with stop loss 1 pip below the supporting trend line at 1.5646. The long trade was confirmed by the hammer candlestick pattern.
B. Forex Bearish Divergence Trading
As opposed to bullish divergences, bearish divergences occur where the currency price trades higher while indicator readings move lower. Bearish divergences suggest a likely move to the downside. Let’s take a look at an example. Below is a daily chart of EUR/USD.
In the chart above, we could enter a short position at 1.4035 with stop loss at 1.4285 for a short ride towards 1.3570 (so far).
The trade was confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern.
Another example: EUR/USD 1 Min Chart
As shown in the chart above, trading divergences can be used by forex scalpers as well. The short trade was confirmed by a small triangle pattern that appeared on the EUR/USD 1 min chart.
How it Works and Trading The RSI within a Range
As with many oscillators the RSI works best in a range . This chart happens to be a horizontal range, but RSI also works well in trending channel creating consolidation points before the trend continues again. In strong trending markets the RSI tends to fluctuate at higher levels, like 40 to 90 . We discuss The RSI indicator in trending markets in the below section.
As we’ve mentioned when the RSI is below 30 or above 70 the market is oversold or overbought and traders are going to look for a price reversal at some point. In our below chart we’ve plotted the RSI against a daily chart of The Nasdaq. The period we’re looking at is from Mar 2011 to Jul 2011 and you can see we’re trading in a horizontal range with good support and resistance levels. To the far left (1) we have an overbought indicator where The RSI almost hit 90, then a bearish retracement. I've highlighted several overbought and oversold positions, most signal a retracement within the channel, but some were false signals, like (2) circled in June. Despite this oversold indicator the index continued it’s bearish trend until it hit support at 2600, when it turned – reversal and retracement can be a process taking a few signals to happen.
I hope you can see how a trader can use the RSI in a ranging market? Our example is a large 300 point range, so buying at the bottom of the range and selling at the top of the range looks very profitable when buying on these oversold signals and selling on overbought signals. When looking for overbought and oversold stocks traders should first see how the overall market is doing. Es decir. if FTSE is thought to be overbought then drill down into individual stocks with high RSI readings to trade.
Nasdaq - RSI overbought and oversold signals
RSI Range Trade (simple strategy):
General Parameters set at RSI (14) on a daily chart
Buy trigger - Enter the trade long (buy) when RSI crosses above 30
Sell Trigger - Sell when RSI crosses above 70
Short Trigger - Enter the trade short when RSI crosses below 70
Sell the Short Trigger - Sell when RSI crosses below 30
Our stop/loss is placed just below support or resistance highlighted by trend lines
Risk Reward Ratio: Generally traders look for 2:1 or 3:1. We'll look at risk reward in later modules
As always other indicators (like moving averages), volume and economic news will help with our trading strategy. If using an RSI some traders find it useful to make their trading decisions along with other indicators like the moving average crossover. A 10-day and 25-day MA crossover may be useful when using the RSI (14). Es decir. when the 10-day MA crosses below the 25-day MA and the RSI indicates overbought this may be a good short signal.
Trading The RSI in a Trend
The RSI tends to work in a very predictable way in a strong bull or bear market. In a strong up trend the RSI tends to fluctuate between 40 and 90 with the 40 to 50 RSI “zone” acting as support . These ranges are based on the RSI 14 and will change depending on the RSI period, the strength of the trend and the securities volatility.
In our below chart of The S&P 500 we are showing an upward trending market with consolidation periods along support. You’ll notice that the RSI surges above 70 on 5 occasions and holds it’s 40 to 50-zone quite consistently. However it did hit 34.46 in Nov 09. Nevertheless the 40-50 support level held for 5 ½ months. This support zone provides “lower risk” entry points to the market when it’s in a strong up trend. Notice how the RSI dips below the support zone and through 30, once the market breaks support.
S&P 500 - How the RSI works in an Up Trend
RSI Trend Trade - always go with trend (simple strategy):
General Parameters set at RSI (14) on a daily chart
Up trend Buy trigger - Enter the trade long (buy) when RSI crosses above 40 or 50
Up trend Sell Trigger - Sell when RSI crosses above 80 or 90
Down trend Short Trigger - Enter the trade short when RSI crosses below 50 to 60
Down trend Sell the Short Trigger - Sell when RSI crosses below 10 and 20
OR . don't sell and keep long/short position until an RSI divergence precedes the above sell triggers.
Set a trailing stop 2% behind the trade to lock in profits. We'll talk trailing stops in later modules
Our stop/loss is placed just below support highlighted by trend lines
Risk Reward Ratio: Generally traders look for 2:1 or 3:1. We'll look at risk reward in later modules
In a down trend RSI tends to fluctuate between 10 and 60 with resistance levels between 50 and 60. Again, these ranges will change depending on timeframe, RSI period and the strength of the downtrend. I’ve charted the USD/CHF below showing the resistance level providing entry-level points of which there are 4 plus two touching 50. To Trade this down trend traders will always follow the trend . Instead of entering at the 30 or 70 signal as they would in a range, the entry point will be as the RSI dips below 60 or 50. This really depends on how strong the trend is and what your trading strategy will be. It also depends on your RSI settings, i. e. an RSI 5 will be more sensitive than an RSI 20, so the entry trigger will be higher. In the below case I've highlighted short positions as the market dips below 50.
USD/CHF - How the RSI works in a Down Trend
RSI Indicator Divergence & Convergence
The RSI divergence & convergence has similar trading properties to The MACD divergence & convergence, i. e. if the RSI is trending in the opposite direction to the price then this is an indication that there may be a price momentum reversal imminent. It's a trend reversal early warning system . A Convergence is in many cases the forerunner to a bullish price momentum reversal, while a divergence is thought to be the forerunner to a bearish price momentum reversal. These moves tend to be more robust when they cross the overbought and sold line .
Below in our RSI divergence chart of S&P 500 we have shown an example of a bearish divergence, where the price mechanism shows higher highs and RSI records lower peaks. These lower peaks in the RSI hints that weakening momentum in the upward price push is unfolding and that price may reverse. We can see this unfold below. As this divergence is an early warning (leading indicator) a good entry point will be the next 70 line crossover after the divergence - Highlighted below.
S&P 500 - RSI Negative (bearish) Divergence
RSI divergence indicators work best in ranging markets and can be traded as the "RSI Range Trade" in the "How it Works and Trading The RSI within a Range" section. However they can be used in trending markets. Remember, always trade with the trend, so in an up trend many RSI divergences will signal a retracement (secondary trend), where traders can sell long positions (if this is part of their strategy). However, a full blown reversal may result after a divergence starting a new trend. Trade it as per " RSI Trend Trade" in the section "Trading The RSI in a Trend". Be careful though. The divergence doesn't always show a retracement or reversal. In a strong up trend the price momentum may still go up.
A bullish convergence happens when the RSI forms higher troughs while the price forms lower troughs. Again, this convergence is more robust when crossing the oversold indicator at 30. This convergence suggests that downward price momentum is waning and a change in trend to the upside is possible. Other indicators such as volume decreases, moving average convergence and support and resistance levels will also be useful in determining momentum shifts.
Trading the RSI - Short-term Scenario
Day traders (Intra-day traders) and Swing traders (1 to 5 day horizon) can amend the RSI from 14 down to 2, 3, 4, 5 etc. When looking at RSI (2) overbought and oversold positions may only stay for up to an hour or a day, so it’s really only used for these short-term trades of 1 to 5 days. Since shorter period RSI’s are more volatile than longer period RSI's the overbought and oversold parameters must be changed away from 30 and 70. For instance they may be moved to 5-10 for oversold and 90-95 for overbought. Each market and situation will have to tweak these parameters and some historical profiling will help set them as part of a trading strategy.
Below is how a Swing Trader may use the RSI
Analyse the longer trend using Moving averages, Peak trough analysis, support and resistance etc.
General rule - Trade with the trend
Drill into the market with a 15 minute chart
Use scanning packages to see where RSI is crossing signals
Set at RSI (5) on the chart. Remember the RSI 5 is more sensitive than RSI 14
Buy trigger - Enter the trade long (buy) when RSI crosses above 30 or 40
Sell Trigger - Sell when RSI crosses above 70 or 80.
Or buy, sell vice-versa if in a down trend
If there's major resistance prior to this trigger, then sell
A stop/loss is placed just below support or resistance highlighted by trend lines. This could be no more than a 2% loss.
Risk Reward Ratio: Generally traders look for 2:1 or 3:1. We'll look at risk reward in later modules
This sequence will be a part of their over all trading set-up and strategy.
The RSI is a standard component on any basic technical chart. The relative strength indicator focuses on the momentum underlying the security and is a great secondary measure to be used by traders. It is important to note that the RSI is often not used as the sole generation of buy-and-sell signals but used in conjunction with other indicators and chart patterns.
As we've seen, we can set the indicators price action sensitivity. The sensitivity of the indicator determines how quickly the trader enters the move and how accurate these trading signals are. If the indicator is set to low sensitivity then you generate less false signals, but you may see the move too late, or not see it at all. With high sensitivity you are more likely to catch the move into the trade, but you may generate false trading signals. For instance a swing trader (trading with a horizon of 4 to 5 days) may set the RSI to 3or 5 once they've drill down to an hourly chart from a daily chart. Good charting software will allow the parameters to be changed.
Technical analysis is not an exact science and although these indicators can increase the probability of making the correct trade, many will go against you and large losses can be incurred. Your own trading strategy needs to be formed and hopefully you'll be on your way to achieving this on completion of this course.
Trading is risky and a large proportion of people who try trading lose money. This Notepad is not designed as a place for recommendations, advice or how you should trade. It is general trading education which can be found in many books on technical analysis - it's a general framework that I have built up and recorded over the years through my learning. It is up to traders to come up with their own strategies and decide what works best for them and to seek advice from a registered financial adviser which I am not.
No negocie con dinero que no puede permitirse perder. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell financial securities. No se está haciendo ninguna representación de que cualquier cuenta tenga o sea probable obtener ganancias o pérdidas similares a las discutidas en este sitio web. El desempeño pasado de cualquier sistema o metodología comercial no es necesariamente indicativo de resultados futuros.
All information on this website or any ebook or video purchased from this website is for educational purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. Any statement about profits or income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. Su comercio real puede dar lugar a pérdidas, ya que no se garantiza el sistema de comercio. You accept full responsibilities for your actions, trades, profit or loss, and agree to hold this web site and those who contribute to it harmless in any and all ways.
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RSI Divergence Indicator
RSI Divergence Indicator
RSI Divergence Indicator generation III is modern indicator with complex mathematic algorithm (BJF Trading Group innovation). You will see divergenses on the chart and indicator. Arrows painted above/below the open bar and not in the past. You can see when actually you can trade. It is never to late! Signals based on closed bars so the arrows above/below open bar never disappear.
RSI Divergence MT4 Indicator shows fractal divergence by RSI indicator. When divergence arises between RSI indicator and the price it means forthcoming end of current trend. The signal to buy comes when new Low-fractal is below the previous one, and corresponding RSI meaning is above the previous one The signal to sell comes when new Up-fractal is above the previous one and the corresponding RSI meaning is below the previous one. The indicator has a lot of customizable settings.
RSI Explanation Video
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Forex Blog
Best Indicator for Divergence Trading?
March 3, 2014 by Andriy Moraru
Divergence between the price chart and the corresponding oscillator indicator levels is a well-known trading signal. It is based on the fact that if the momentum indicator (which should be non-laggging ) fails to continue with the current trend direction, the trend’s exhaustion is to follow.
Here is an example of a bullish divergence signal. The price shows a new lower low, but the CCI indicator fails to show a lower low, signaling a probable reversal of the current bearish trend:
And here is an opposite signal — a bearish divergence. It appears inside an uptrend when the price posts a new higher high, while CCI displays a lower high. Notably, this particular signal is a loser as can be clearly seen from the ensuing price action:
Although the concept of divergence trading sounds very simple, there many nuances both in detection of the signals and in usage of these signals. You can refer to my own basic MACD strategy as a one example of what can be done with divergence.
Several technical indicators can be used to trade divergences: Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD), Bill Williams’ Awesome Oscillator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Commodity Channel Index (CCI), DeMarker, Stochastic Oscillator, etc. The main condition for the indicator to be capable of showing divergences is its non-lagging nature.
What is important to remember no matter which indicator you choose for divergence trading — not every divergence is a valid signal. Only sell on bearish divergence when it appears within an established uptrend, and buy on a bullish divergence only when it appears within a clear downtrend.
There are existing divergence indicators that help detect divergences automatically:
Disclaimer: these indicators were not developed by me.
Personally I find it difficult to spot “real” divergences with such automated indicators, whereas the signals themselves are also often unreliable. A test of RSI divergence trading performed by Thomas Bulkowski in stocks market showed rather poor results. Even though I believe it is possible to develop a winning methodology to trade divergence in Forex, there will always be too much left to trader’s own discretion to deter a proper automation of divergence strategies.
If you want to ask a question about divergence trading or if you want to share a detailed opinion on using various indicators for divergence trading, please feel free to use the form below.
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12 Responses to “Best Indicator for Divergence Trading?”
Hello, I came across this site as I am interested in divergence trading. While researching different chart setups I came to conclusion that different indicators generate at different time valid divergence signals that could end up in profitable trades. Do you think that a working out a single divergence signal based on multiple technical indicators would make sense? I would appreciate you answer. Greetings, Sylvester
It is a very difficult task. It will also require a lot of backtesting to prove strategy’s viability.
What if such task has already been completed? I developed a software that generates single regular and hidden divergence signals from 10 technical indicators plus a “turbo divergence” chart study that based on those signals generates formation prototypes, by drawing resistance or support lines. All the user needs is add a trigger study to such line to generate a buy or sell signal. I can check divergence between two points, in any range of bars or run it as a real time study. Same with the “turbo divergence”. Bottom line is that each of those indicators has its time when it is the only one to generate a divergence signal and it makes a perfect sense. When running on a 1 minute chart nothing can be hidden there, you see what happen on such chart from a beginning to the end. Line attributes include a list of indicators contributing to a given signal. It took me about 2 years to do the development (improvements!) and testing. Still have a lot of ideas to implement as — as it happens in such cases – once you open one door after a while you start to notice another. ¿Qué piensas? Can you see any value here?
There is value if its trading signals can fare better than randomly generated signals. Did you try backtesting it?
Are you refer to some kind of automated backtesting? As far as I know divergence trading cannot be automated therefore any kind of automation is not an option at all. Detection of divergence signals can be automated but not decisions about a trade. Too many things need to be considered. As it is based on formations, first you need to identify its beginning, that in some cases is not as straightforward. Sometimes divergence identify the whole formation, sometimes only the end of it. You may need to use a manual tool to find out the exact basic formation and its extensions. It is a pure art with very strict rules: when to buy, when to sell, when to abort a trade before reaching price target. However, from what I can see, while applying strictly those rules, with a proper mindset you will never be lost.
You need to have some objective scale to measure the usefulness of a tool. The simplest of such scale is the profit earned using the tool compared to the output generated by a random trading system. If you know other effective ways to gauge the usefulness of such an indicator, please explain.
You could look at this from the other point of view. If you believe that your method of finding divergences is superior to traditional ones, but the whole divergence trading cannot be handled by mechanical algorithm, you could just test for comparing your indicator with others. You could set up a backtest to test some very simple divergence trading system on your indicator and on the traditional ones. In that case, you are not necessarily expecting to see profit from your indicator, but it should show better results than those obtained with traditional divergence indicators.
It looks like there is some miscommunication here… My system uses standard/traditional technical indicators, calculated in a standard way, that generates divergence signals same as your system above. The only difference is that if two or more indicators generates same signal it will be represented on a chart as a single one. I might see more signals as other indicators can view the chart in different way. I filter out all conflicting signals so the chart looks nice. As I said before, the most important is to identify formation. In your case using a single indicator in some specific situation your formation can appear too tall, you will calculate the price target, make a trade and the price will never reach the target. In the same chart scenario another indicator may create a divergence signal for a shorter formation, and trading that shorter one will succeed. I have seen plenty of situation like that one. In my opinion, this is the most important aspect in divergence trading. This is also the reason why you need the backtesting. In case of my system the output is fully consistent regardless of time span. If the consistency of my brain were the same, I would become a reach person in a short period of time. However, it looks like it was made up for engineering of software systems… I made a collection of technical indicators based on a real need. I saw a formation on a chart and none of my indicators signaled a divergence. So I had to find one. Now I have 10 technical indicators and almost no problems in identifying all important formations, however the most difficult is when a divergence signal appears at the bottom of formation. To identify such formation I need to find its beginning… I am planning to develop a manual study that will help me with that.
In my opinion, taking into account charts complexity and all the mechanisms I have discovered so far, automated divergence trading does not make too much sense for me. What makes sense is to use such system as I have and have a team of people (at least two) each of them watching different aspects on a chart. P. ej. Having two people on a team, each of them would monitor one direction and both of them would need to agree to a trade. You wrote: “You need to have some objective scale to measure the usefulness of a tool” In my case based on generated divergence signals you can break a chart into regular or hidden divergence formations, same of them are tradable, some two small to touch, but sometimes extremely important. Thanks to those divergence signals I was able to discover some very interesting tricks (someone has to enforce them!), it really helps to understand what happens on a chart. On Friday on a single chart I discovered 5 trading opportunities: 3 regular divergences and 2 hidden. All of them reached their targets.
That’s all nice, but without some strict objective rules of application of your divergence signals, you cannot know whether your trading results can be attributed to those divergence signals or to some way of discretionary thinking you have applied during the trading decision taking process.
It looks like I have made a horrible mistake by coming to this site and giving away my email address. Spam, spam and more spam. Are you traders or spammers?
¿Qué? We never send out spam. Please forward any messages that you believe were unsolicitedly sent by us to webmaster@earnforex. com. so we could report their original sender.
If you do not send spam then my email address was shared with spammers. As I did not shared my email account with anybody in months, this would be the only explanations of all that rubbish my mailbox was overloaded with today. Ad rem: Divergence signals come first, in particular hidden divergence and regular divergence (in the form of formation resistance/support lines). Then comes the strict rules, then human decision. It’s a complete system. In your case, you have automated system, rules are encoded into that system by the system designer or when you tune the system to its best performance: at that time you apply “your discretional thinking” :) Both systems have the same fundamental elements but the way those elements participate differs.
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SUMMARY OF FOUR TYPES OF DIVERGENCE
Higher highs in price and lower highs in the oscillator which indicate a trend reversal from up to down.
Lower lows in price and higher lows in the oscillator which indicate a trend reversal from down to up.
Lower highs in price and higher highs in the oscillator which indicate a confirmation of the price trend which is down.
Higher lows in price and lower lows in the oscillator which indicate a confirmation of the price trend which is up.
On the diagram, the diagonal lines represent the trend lines drawn on a chart showing how each of the four patterns look with price above and the oscillator below. On the two price lines, going either from right to left or left to right, the reversal of the diagonal lines shows the direction to be expected by each instance of divergence. In each of the four instances of divergence, when price is headed up, green, chances are good it will turn down, red, and vice versa.
Copyright © 2003 - Ensign Software
Divergence Trading by Buffy and NQ/ES Pals
Regular Divergence. Hidden Divergence. "What a great tool, it really works!" "I see divergences all over the place and would get chopped to pieces if I traded all the signals. Just doesn't work for me!" These are comments and other variations of them that are heard all the time in the NQ/ES Pals chat room. Hopefully, we can clear up some of the confusion so you will be able to add regular and hidden divergence successfully to your trading toolbox.
Divergence is a comparison of price to technical indicators. It can also be a comparison to another symbol or spread between two symbols. Divergence occurs when what you are comparing is moving in opposite directions. Divergence can signal an up coming change in trend, a change of trend in progress or that a trend should continue. A divergence signal suggests watching for a trading opportunity in the direction of the signal. Divergences may continue over many swing highs/lows so price action should confirm your trade. This can be done in many ways, some of which are: price making a higher high/low or lower high/low or price testing the last swing high/low, price trading past high or low of previous bar, many of which will correspond with the MACD histogram crossing zero.
Divergence trading can be used on many indicators -- Stochastic, MACD, RSI and CCI to name a few. As with most indicators, divergence signals in a higher time frame (TF) are going to indicate a larger move in price. The chart examples are going to be comparing price with the Stochastic and MACD indicators. Each chart has the 50EMA (Blue), 200EMA (Red), 9/3/3 Stochastic and the 7/10/5 MACD histogram on it. There are many other Stochastic and MACD settings that also work for divergence signals.
Regular divergence (RD) is best used at the test of a previous high or low, what most traders call a double or triple top/bottom. It is not uncommon to see 3 or 4 higher highs in price in an up trend with 3 or 4 lower highs in the indicator or 3 or 4 lower lows in price in a downtrend with 3 or 4 higher lows in the indicator. This is called 3pt RD or 4 pt RD. This is the indicator telling you with regular divergence that the trend is getting weak and the potential for a change of trend is there and to trade accordingly. To some traders, it might mean to tighten stops, while others might prepare to exit the trade.
Hidden divergence (HD) is best used in trends for continuation trades with the trend. A high percentage of hidden divergence trades will move at least to the last swing high/low, thereby giving you a way to calculate your risk/reward for the trade. If there isn't enough points between the signal and the last swing high/low, then many traders will usually pass on the trade. Another warning to pass on the trade signaled by HD is having RD present for the last 3 highs in an up trend or last 3 lows in a downtrend which is thereby signaling a possible change of trend (COT).
Many of you already use regular divergence in your trading. When a fellow trader, NQoos. shared how he used regular and hidden divergence in his trading and posted his charts as the trading day developed, many traders in the NQ/ES Pals chat room became aware of hidden divergence (HD). Regular divergence (RD) used with hidden divergence (HD) can improve your percentage of winning trades. How much depends on your style of trading.
As long as price is making higher highs and higher lows, that time frame is considered to be in an up trend. When price is making lower highs and lower lows, that time frame is considered to be in a downtrend.
The following two charts are an example of regular divergence. Just because we see regular divergence when comparing two highs in an up trend or on a comparison of two lows in a downtrend, it is not an automatic trade. If the trend is strong enough, you may only get sideways price action or a one or two bar retracement before the trend resumes. Regular divergence can be a tool to answer the question of whether the trend is gaining or losing momentum.
Regular divergence in an up trend (higher highs/higher lows) compares the higher highs in price with the highs in the indicator. Note that both Stochastic and MACD have a lower high while price has a higher high. a signal the trend is getting weak.
The following chart shows how to use divergences with trend lines and anticipated MACD cross of zero at the same time the TL is being broken. Divergence is implying that price will have the strength behind it to take out the trend line resistance. Notice the setup started in the higher time frame inserted chart. Dropping down to a lower time frame enabled us to have a better entry point with less risk.
The chart shows how divergence signaled two identical setups for low risk longs on a trend line (TL) break of the light blue TLs also coinciding with the MACD crossing zero. The second low risk long also has HD divergence with the previous low in its favor also. Note that the 3pt regular divergence shown in the higher time chart in the oval is usually worth paying attention to.
Also, on this chart many other regular and hidden divergences have been marked. The divergence trades combined with trend lines, Fibonacci levels, support, resistance and/or patterns are higher percentage trades.
NQoos rules that he uses for divergence trading system along with many chart examples can be reviewed at http://www. dacharts. com/NQoos. php. Remember what all those good books say though, "Each trader should find what works for them." Nothing wrong with taking an idea from here and an idea from there to make your own system. We call that the "trading cocktail" in the chat room. But, that is another article.
Again NQoos. thanks for sharing your way of trading with divergences with fellow traders NQ/ES Pals chat room! Also, a big thank you to fellow traders for their constructive suggestions regarding this.
The Ensign Trading Tips Newsletter has articles on Stochastic and RSI divergence that are well worth reading.
Copyright © 2003 - Ensign Software
I figured out a way to combine all my divergence indicators into one single study. The new Multi-divergence script uses slopes of linear regression lines just like in the new MACD divergence indicator. This script supersedes all the other divergence scripts. The difference is now it can perform a regression on any one study of your choice from a list of ToS indicators. The indicators currently supported for divergence analysis are:
MACD, RSI, CCI, Momentum, Moneyflow, On Balance Volume, Rate of Change, Stochastic Momentum Index, Ultimate Oscillator, Volume Flow Indicator, Volume Oscillator, Volume Rate of Change, Volume-Weighted MACD, Williams Percent-R, and Woodie’s CCI
(Note that it doesn’t scan all of these for divergence at once. Just the one indicator you select. If you want to have RSI and MACD at the same time for example, you put the script on your chart twice and select the appropriate indicator for each one separately.)
If there is another built-in ToS indicator you want to have available for divergence analysis, let me know and I can add it in future updates. You can use the Multi-divergence indicator on real time charts and in scans of watch lists, and I put in alert logic so it can ping you when a divergence occurs.
This indicator is for blog donors only. You can find it on my google site under Released Thinkscript Studies down in the Donors Only section. If you already donated in the past you can use your password to access it. If you want to become a donor (or throw me some more coin) you can do so by clicking the Donate button:
As always, if you are a DIY’er, feel free to ask questions in the comments and I’ll help answer.
I just updated the stock Excel CAT tool to use RTD instead of the now defunct DDE. This only works on Excel for Windows unfortunately. You can go download it now from my Google Site under Released Tools in the Donors Only folder. If you already donated in the past you can use your password to access it. If you want to become a donor (or throw me some more coin) you can do so by clicking the Donate button:
If you want to learn more about the CAT, the original blog entry is found here.
This indicator has been updated! See the new post here .
This has been a long time in coming. My family life has been in upheaval for a couple years now. I finally had a bit of time so I wanted to get this done. Thanks for staying with me.
Many people have asked for a version of the MACD Divergence Indicator that can run in a scan. The old one I had ran on recursive logic and so wasn’t supported in scans. This new one uses a different philosophy that runs in real time. Before I would use my Swing Points and check the value of the MACD against them. Higher swing highs and lower corresponding values of MACD on those bars would signal a bearish divergence. Now I am using Linear Regression slopes to compare divergences. Here’s the theory of how it works:
A linear regression is a way to fit a straight line through some data such that you get the least amount of average distance from the line. If the slope of the linear regression is up, then values are generally trending upward over the set of data you put in. If the slope is negative, then the values trend downward.
So I take a linear regression of price, then get the slope of the LR, and I also take a linear regression of the standard MACD indicator and get that slope. When the price slope is positive and the MACD slope is negative, we have a bearish MACD divergence. If price slope is negative and MACD slope is positive, we have a bullish divergence. If price slope and MACD slope are the same, we have a trend continuation (up/up or down/down). This chart shows this theory in action:
Here’s what my indicator actually looks like. The small arrows are short term divergences, the larger arrows are the long term divergences. The short and long timeframes are inputs, so you can set them at whatever you want. This chart uses 20 and 50 as the inputs, but you can experiment with what works best for what you are trading:
As with all divergences, just because it is there doesn’t mean that the trend must reverse. Sometimes divergences can go on for a long time. This information is good to give you a sense that a trend might reverse, and you can plan your own entry and stop accordingly.
Now, to set set up a custom scan, you follow the instructions in these pictures:
Then when your scan runs, you will get flagged if the divergence you asked for is currently found.
This indicator is for blog donors only. You can find it on my google site under Released Thinkscript Studies down in the Donors Only section.
I’m working on an update to the CAT tool that will use the new RTD components instead of the old broken DDE ones. Stay tuned for more updates on it.
If you are a DDE user you’ve noticed that it’s broken after this latest Think Desktop update. I just got word from the developers that they are looking to release improved capability this coming weekend. Now, please remember that development estimates are just that: estimates. This weekend is the goal. Don’t burn down your local village if it doesn’t happen on time. unesdoc. unesco. org unesdoc. unesco. org
What they have should be better than the old DDE in terms of what we could do with it. It’s not two-way interaction with ToS, so done get that excited. It’s faster and more improved data handling that should be much easier to work with and more powerful for data handling inside of Excel. I’ll update as I know more.
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Ready to use Super Divergence Indicators
Our company has developed a new type of divergence indicators – super divergence indicators. These indicators are a completely new solution for forex traders. This approach is our unique solution using BJF Trading Group know-how. Experienced traders know that in some market conditions, one type of indicator will give better signals than others. For example, some oscillators perform better when the market shows a trend, but will give many false signals in the lateral movement of the market and vice versa. Also, to determine which stage the forex market is at is not an easy task. Only the more experienced traders will be able to predict changes in market conditions in the early stages.
Over the many years of experience we have gained from trading in the market, we have developed one clear rule: if you are not sure of the signal – do not open the position. In order to improve the quality of the signals we have combined several indicators of divergence, operating in different market conditions into a single indicator. This single combined indicator will only produce a signal when all of the indicators within its group have collectively combined their signals. It’s important that I emphasise to you that we are picking up signals from indicators within the group so that the combined indicator was stable in all market conditions.
For example, the Super Divergence Indicator i-Div3-MACD-Stoch-OBV. mq4 is based on 3 Indicators:
MACD – is a very stable indicator for Trend determination
Stochastic – this is an indicator for Momentum determination
OBV – is an indicator for Volume determination
This combination will be stable for all market conditions and gives a more accurate signal than any of these indicators alone. But I would like to remind you that any indicator or trading system is not a 100% guarantee of success. In order to develop a successful trading strategy based on a super divergence indicator, we must also consider a few rules: 1. Open or close a position and place a Stop-Loss only on the support/resistance lines 2. Open and close a position only on confirmation of other signals
We hope you will appreciate our new product and that it will help you make the right decisions to trade!
BJF Trading Group Team.
The Divergence Trade: Finding Reversals Using MACD & RSI
In my last post I talked about a strategy for trading divergence events between different markets. In this post I’ll look at the more commonly used method called oscillator divergence.
Using indicator divergence
This is a technical strategy and to use it you’ll just need an oscillator such as MACD, stochastic or RSI.
What is divergence . Divergence highlights places where momentum is slowing and is likely to reverse. The basic idea is to look for inconsistency between the price and an oscillator. Clearly price is reacting in real time. The oscillator however is based on price momentum and is working from recent history.
In the strategy described here I always take cue from the oscillator so this dictates the direction of the trade. To experiment with this strategy yourself, you can freely download my indicator and try it out.
Trading Rules
The rules I use are simply as follows:
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These two cases are shown in Figure 1 below.
I don’t apply any other classifications. With this method I always follow the oscillator. That is, buys take place when the oscillator is oversold and sells occur when it is in the overbought region.
Figure 1: Example of MACD bullish and bearish divergence
I also always match tops with bottoms. That is, if your trend line on the price chart connects low points, then your trend line in the oscillator chart should also connect lows. If your line on the price chart connects highs, then your oscillator line should also connect highs.
Regular and Hidden Divergence: Is there a difference?
Some teaching websites talk a lot about regular and hidden divergence. Hidden divergence is basically an extra classification based on which direction the connecting lines are moving.
Personally I think this complicates the trading rules and I don’t use it. In the end don’t get hung up on classifications. Use what works for you and the market you are trading.
Detecting Divergence Events: In Detail
Let’s look in detail at how to detect these types of events.
All oscillators have a range of values. When the oscillator is at one of these extremes it’s said to be either overbought or oversold. So the first step in the detection process is to look at cases where the oscillator is firmly in overbought or oversold territory.
The range of an oscillator will vary significantly at different points in the chart. So I usually define dynamic thresholds for overbought and oversold rather than using one setting. In my examples I’ve used a sampling size of 50 bars and taken the maximum and minimum values of the oscillator over that range. I then set a threshold at a percentage of that, say 70%.
This setup is shown in Figure 2.
Figure 2: Using a “dynamic” overbought and oversold threshold
Once you’ve established the overbought and oversold levels within the local chart section, look for cases above/below these thresholds. Anything outside of these limits is thrown out.
Take Figure 2 as an example. I’ve set the threshold for overbought and oversold levels at 70% of the maximum/minima within the sampling area. The lines shown on the figure mark the cut-off levels.
Next I look at the oscillator’s peaks or troughs that are within my threshold according to my trading rule. When overbought, I look for cases where the oscillator’s peaks are falling.
In Figure 2 above, the dark blue line in the lower graph connects the peaks. To confirm a point really is a peak, I have to wait a certain number of bars to see which direction the line will move in next. If the line were to move up, then I know that this isn’t a peak. In this example the line does indeed move down and so the point is confirmed as being a maxima.
Next check the price and make sure the direction is moving against that of the oscillator. So as in the example above when the oscillator is overbought and falling, I look for cases where the price is still rising. These define my sell signals.
Figure 3: Buy side detection using oscillator divergence
The buy side signal is simply just the opposite of this. This is shown in Figure 3. In this case the oscillator is oversold and rising, but the price is still falling, so this generates a buy signal according to my trading rule.
Divergence Latency
When trading divergence remember that there is always a certain time lag before the trade signal can be generated. The reason for this is that you can only ascertain that a peak or trough has been reached in the oscillator after a certain number of bars.
In the example above I used 2-bars for the detection. So I waited for 2 bars to complete before classifying the indicator as in a maxima or minima. This means there’s a lag of at least 2 candles on every detection. And this has to be added to the intrinsic lag of the indicator.
Latency does limit profits in that part of the price move will already be underway by the time the oscillator reacts and the divergence signal is detected. Latency can be seen as the “cost paid” for using averaging and reacting to a more complete signal. It does reduce the number of noisy or false positive signals, though these do still occur as explained below.
Dealing with False Positives
As with any kind of technical signal, false positives are expected and have to be dealt with. If your trading program is going to rely heavily on divergence my advice is to use a few different inputs to ensure you enter the highest probability trades and avoid those with low or marginal outcomes.
Figure 4 shows a typical problem case that’s common when trading divergences. The first buy signal is made when the oscillator appears to have made a local minima (reached a trough). This is outlined with the lower red circle.
The red circle is neither a maxima nor a minima but an inflection point that we would rather not trade on. You have to be wary of this because “text book” divergence examples are often cherry picked with hindsight and would not be detectable in real time. With the benefit of hindsight the detection of the peaks and troughs is easy.
But in real trading, at any instant there is no way of knowing that the current bar in the chart is an inflection or a minima.
In fact the price doesn’t change direction but continues to descend sharply. This in turn causes the oscillator to fall further. The second, more accurate buy signal is generated at the later point when in fact the price does respond and begin to rise again.
Figure 4: Example of false positive where the detector reacts to an inflection point.
There are two methods to try to filter these false positives. Though both have some drawbacks.
Firstly you can increase the sampling area of detector. In other words, filter out the cases where the overbought or oversold level is not extreme. This will help to reduce the number of false cases. But it comes at a cost of detecting fewer overall divergence events. This needs to be weighed up against the strategy being implemented.
Secondly you can increase the number of confirmation bars that you use to check the extrema points in the oscillator. For example, in the above if I’d used a window of 5 bars, the above false positive would have been avoided because by that time the oscillator starts to fall again. This will increase the lag in the detector but it can improve accuracy.
Real Examples
Here are a few case studies picked out with the help of the OSC divergence indicator.
USDCAD
This first example shows a near perfect scenario. I’ve applied the above trading rules to USDCAD. I’ve used the four hour (H4) chart here as this timeframe tends to produce more reliable signals than do the shorter ones. The following settings were used:
For MACD I used the following settings throughout: Fast EMA:15, Slow EMA:30, SMA:9.
Figure 5: Divergences detected on USDCAD four hour chart.
As Figure 5 shows, all cases except trade 3 result in decent profit potential. Trade 3 is a mixed case. It is a false positive in that the price continues to fall. However the trade would still be profitable because the price does indeed rise shortly afterwards.
NZDUSD
This next example on NZDUSD shows some false positives.
Figure 6: Divergence on NZDUSD showing true and false positives.
Trades 2, 3 and 5 generate good openings while trades 1 and 6 are mixed cases. These might scrape a small profit but in hindsight we would probably prefer not to trade these.
Trade 4 is an outright loser. If this trade were taken, it would be in drawdown (up to 300 pips) for a few weeks before it could eventually be closed with a small profit. Trades 7 and 8 also falsely call the top of the trend which in fact continues up strongly for some time.
To filter some of these false positives I’ve increased the sampling area from 50 bars, to 2000 bars. The result is shown in Figure 7 below. Now some of the false positives have been removed, though as you can see the overall number of trades is reduced.
Figure 7: Increasing sampling width to reduce number of false positives.
GBPUSD M15
This next example shows divergence in action on a shorter timeframe.
Figure 8: Using OSC divergence on fifteen minute chart (M15)
Finally in Figure 9 I’ve replaced the MACD oscillator with the RSI. The RSI generates some good entries which are missed when using MACD in Figure 8. These are marked 1, 2, 4 and 6 below. Using RSI also misses the false positive between trades 1 and 2. It does however create some additional false positives at 3 and 5.
Figure 9: Using OSC divergence with the relative strength indicator (RSI)
Strengths and Weaknesses of Divergence
Oscillator divergence is a good way to trade turning points in trends, though it helps to be aware of the strengths and weaknesses of this method.
The first weakness as I said above is due to the time lag. All oscillators are averaging systems of one sort or another. This introduces some inherent delay. Secondly the detection of the maxima and minima in the oscillator introduces an additional lag.
The second weakness is that of false positives or false reversals. These occur when the oscillator is in an overbought/oversold state and is signalling a turn but this fails to emerge at the predicted time. This is quite common. There are a few ways I discussed to address this.
The thing to remember with oscillators is that they are just another representation of the price line. There isn’t anything magical in the oscillator window. All information is derived from the price with a time lag. If you look carefully at the price chart you will usually see the reason for the change in the oscillator – usually changing momentum.
Divergence is a valuable technique to keep in your toolbox. But it pays to get confirmation of the market direction using other means as well: In particular:
Using a pair of alternative oscillators such as RSI and MACD is helpful.
Look for clues to fake tops/bottoms and ensure you are not entering at one of these
Examine the trend carefully using other criteria; p. ej. support and resistance
Look at related markets for trend cues. Intermarket studies can tell you if the leader market is trying to break away in a new direction or if it’s resuming an existing trend.
Don’t forget the fundamentals
Here is the link to the indicator used for the above examples:
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It can work as a intraday strategy. BUT the major gripe I have with divergence is that you have to put a lot of trust into the signal because most times you are going against the trend. Anyone who does reversal trades knows the risk is great that the trend would carry on much further than you can anticipate or more important beyond your stop value.
Like many systems I have seen divergence presented in other trade forums. But to offer a relative chance of winning on each and every occasion I say also it is compulsory to use other thing to verify the direction before the trade is made. Gracias.
Which other things you are using?
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Gracias por unirte a nosotros. I'm Steve Connell and this is the place where I share my insights. trading strategies and analysis. I tell it like it is .
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Stochastic RSI Indicator Corrected
There was a simple but serious error in the Stochastic_RSI. mq4 indicator in Post 16. I have corrected it here. If you want to use it for backtesting you will have to greatly increase the number of bars in the Properties / Inputs window - try adding a couple zeroes.
The theory on this indicator is given here: Technical Analysis Studies
The indicator used in the researchdiq website (Post 14) does not look like the above indicator, but it looks very much like one of the lines of the Stochastic indicator in Metatrader, and uses the same scale. Could it be the same?
Hope this helps, B.
Last edited by Big Be ; 20-01-2012, 21:40. Reason: Correct post number.
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polk@alba. dp. ua [i] = Low[i]; DivDnBuffer[i] = Low[i]; switch(ind) case 1: y[i] = iMACD(NULL,0,12,26,9,PRICE_CLOSE, MODE_MAIN, i); descanso; case 2: y[i] = iRSI(NULL,0,pds, PRICE_CLOSE, i); descanso; case 3: y[i] = iADX(NULL,0,pds, PRICE_CLOSE, MODE_MAIN, i); descanso; defecto. y[i] = iMomentum(NULL,0,pds, PRICE_CLOSE, i); descanso; > if(f==1) xu[i] = Close[i]; else xu[i] = High[i]; if(f==1) xd[i] = Close[i]; else xd[i] = Low[i]; > for(i=limit; i>=0; i--) CNmb1 = 0; CNmb2 = 0; CNmb3 = 0; CNmb4 = 0; for(int j=i; j<MaxBars; j++) Pkx = (xu[j] < xu[j-1]) && (xu[j-1] > xu[j-2]) && (xu[j-1] >= (xu[j]+xu[j-2])/2.0*(1.0+fCh)); if(Pkx) CNmb1++; if(Pkx && CNmb1==1) Pkx1 = xu[j-1]; if(Pkx && CNmb1==2) Pkx2 = xu[j-1];
Trx = (xd[j] > xd[j-1]) && (xd[j-1] < xd[j-2]) && (xd[j-1] <= (xd[j]+xd[j-2])/2.0*(1.0-fCh)); if(Trx) CNmb2++; if(Trx && CNmb2==1) Trx1 = xd[j-1]; if(Trx && CNmb2==2) Trx2 = xd[j-1];
Pky = (y[j] < y[j-1]) && (y[j-1] > y[j-2]) && (y[j-1] >= (y[j]+y[j-2])/2.0*(1.0+fCh)); if(Pky) CNmb3++; if(Pky && CNmb3==1) Pky1 = y[j-1]; if(Pky && CNmb3==2) Pky2 = y[j-1];
Try = (y[j] > y[j-1]) && (y[j-1] < y[j-2]) && (y[j-1] <= (y[j]+y[j-2])/2.0*(1.0-fCh)); if(Try) CNmb4++; if(Try && CNmb4==1) Try1 = y[j-1]; if(Try && CNmb4==2) Try2 = y[j-1];
if(CNmb1>=2 && CNmb2>=2 && CNmb3>=2 && CNmb4>=2) break; > Pkx = (xu[i] < xu[i-1]) && (xu[i-1] > xu[i-2]) && (xu[i-1] >= (xu[i]+xu[i-2])/2.0*(1.0+fCh)); Trx = (xd[i] > xd[i-1]) && (xd[i-1] < xd[i-2]) && (xd[i-1] <= (xd[i]+xd[i-2])/2.0*(1.0-fCh)); Pky = (y[i] < y[i-1]) && (y[i-1] > y[i-2]) && (y[i-1] >= (y[i]+y[i-2])/2.0*(1.0+fCh)); Try = (y[i] > y[i-1]) && (y[i-1] < y[i-2]) && (y[i-1] <= (y[i]+y[i-2])/2.0*(1.0-fCh));
R1[i] = 0; if(Trx && Try && Trx1<Trx2 && Try1>Try2) R1[i] = 1; R2[i] = 0; if(Pkx && Pky && Pkx1>Pkx2 && Pky1<Pky2) R2[i] = 1;
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Ideally, I'd like it work in a separate window.
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that's how Integer did rsi cci OS/OB zone diver
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Request For Indicator
Hi, I'd like to request for all in one divergence indicator (MACD - Stochastic - RSI - CCI -. ) - by the way I have made a seach and found some divergence indicators but what am looking for is just one customized indicator - any way if such an indicator doesn't exist or can't be programmed I'd like to request for single CCI divergence indicator and RSI divergence indicator or information about TraderBO_Divergence_System indicators in action. Thanks in Advance
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Hi, I'd like to request for all in one divergence indicator (MACD - Stochastic - RSI - CCI -. ) - by the way I have made a seach and found some divergence indicators but what am looking for is just one customized indicator - any way if such an indicator doesn't exist or can't be programmed I'd like to request for single CCI divergence indicator and RSI divergence indicator or information about TraderBO_Divergence_System indicators in action. Thanks in Advance
Some of the indicators posted in this thread are easy to modify and customize if we can know what you want to.
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Hello, Here's one that works at odd times. It shows divergence on OsMA. maybe someone can look at its code and make it work correct times more often.
Last edited by bratt ; 09-01-2008, 06:42.
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More divergence indicators
Some divergence indicators.
I adapted the original to display EWO/AO
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Some divergence indicators.
I adapted the original to display EWO/AO
I was wondering if you can adapte or customize the original FX5_Divergence to display divergence for (MACD - Stochastic - RSI - CCI - OsMA - EWO/AO -. ) All in One divergence indicator.
Thanks in Advance
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I was wondering if you can adapte or customize the original FX5_Divergence to display divergence for (MACD - Stochastic - RSI - CCI - OsMA - EWO/AO -. ) All in One divergence indicator.
Thanks in Advance
All in one maybe not.
CCI is working good. Is an adaptation of the FX5 code.
Anyway, I don't know about a perfect divergence indicator. Divergences are subjectives half of the time.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK
Last edited by Linuxser ; 10-01-2008, 19:31.
Comentario
Copyright 2005-2015, MQL5 Ltd.
Rsi Divergence Indicator
Draws divergence lines on the chart and on the Relative Strenght Index (RSI) indicator, without the general problems of the other solutions (inaccurate peak/bottom detection, divergence line draws over the candle-body, etc). It calculates with the last 300 bars, and use a basic candle pattern and divergence slope filtering with multi timeframe and alert ability. The indicator is non repainting! The arrow will appear when the trigger candle is closed and the divergence formation is valid, but before entry a strong filtering method is required! The alert functions work with all trendlines and horizontal lines on the RSI divergence window, not only TrueTL's. For example, you can use it for alert when your favorite level is break.
Características principales:
Draws all divergences automatically on the RSI indicator
New! MTF (Multi timeframe) ability
Show arrows when the divergence formation is valid
Compatible with line chart
Compatible with offline charts /such as Renko chart/
Switchable candle-body filtering
Fully customizable alert functions (not only for TrueTL's objects)
Fully customizable drawing styles
SAMPLE ALERT MESSAGES:
NZDUSD on M30 - bullish regular divergence (Object: Divergence | ID: Main)
AUDUSD on M5 - break UP before close (Object: Horizontal Line 11324 | ID: Main)
Features and settings:
Version: the indicator's actual version number. If update is released, you can simply overwrite the files with our self-extractor or you can do it from the zip file manually (installation steps ).
Username: enter your username that you received after purchase. Auto save so if once entered after not necessary (about our ex4 protection ).
RSI Period: you can set the period of RSI.
RSI Price: you can set the RSI indicator's price.
¡NUEVO! RSI Timeframe: you can set the indicator's timeframe. The arrows will appear only when the higher timeframe's candle is closed to make sure that the candle’s configuration is validated and the divergence is fine.
!NEW Line Chart: switch the indicator to draws divergence lines to the MT4's Line Chart.
!NEW Candle Body Filter: you can show/hide the divergence lines that go over the candle-bodies.
Show Regular Divergence / Show Hidden Divergence: switch the type of divergence .
Draw Arrows On Main Chart: on/off the arrows for trigger candles.
Draw Lines On Main Chart: on/off the divergence lines on main chart.
Draw Lines On Indicator: on/off the divergence lines on the RSI indicator window.
Draw To Background: you can move the TrueTL's objects to the background.
Multiple instances: you can attach two or more instances of the same indicators on one chart. If you would like to use the indicator with old-style object names (if you developed an EA or another reason) you can disable this function.
User Notification Corner: set the corner on the chart to show the user notification such as if your subscription expire soon, or a new update is released.
Alert Settings
Alert Functions: enable or disable all of the alert functions.
Alert for Divergence: on/off the alert for TrueTL's divergence signals.
Alert for Other TL and HL: on/off the alert for other trendlines and horizontal lines which not TrueTL's.
Color Filter: switch the color filtering to the other trendlines or horizontal lines to alert.
Alert Only For This Color: Specify the color for the other trendlines or horizontal lines to alert just in case the "Color filter" is enabled.
Break Alert After Close: alert at trendline breakout after the candle closed.
Break Alert Before Close: alert at trendline breakout before the candle is closing.
Touch Alert: alert when price approaching a trendline.
Touch Distance: you can set the distance till the trendline where the alert will be triggered (adjust in indicator's value).
MT4 ID: specify a short message for you to identity which indicator alerted.
Email / Push / Popup / Sound Alert: you can switch alert modes.
Sound File: specify a sound file that plays a sound alert.
Pictogram Alert: shows a wingdings character of the alert.
Pictogram Symbol: specify the wingdings character’s number.
Pictogram Corner: specify corner on the chart to show the pictogram.
Color and Style Settings
RSI Color: specify a color of the RSI line.
RSI Width: specify the width of the RSI line.
RSI Style: specify the style of the RSI line.
Up Arrow Color: specify a color of the up arrows.
Up Arrow Symbol: specify the Wingdings character's number.
Down Arrow Color: specify a color of the down arrows.
Down Arrow Symbol: specify the Wingdings character's number.
Bullish Regular Color / Width / Style: specify a color, width and style of the Bullish Regular Divergence lines.
Bullish Hidden Color / Width / Style: specify a color, width and style of the Bullish Hidden Divergence lines.
Bearish Regular Color / Width / Style: specify a color, width and style of the Bearish Regular Divergence lines.
Bearish Hidden Color / Width / Style: specify a color, width and style of the Bearish Hidden Divergence lines.
Risk warning
Foreign exchange transactions carry a high degree of risk and any transaction involving currencies is exposed to, among other things, changes in a country's political condition, economic climate, acts of nature - all of which may substantially affect the price or availability of a given currency.
Speculative trading in the foreign exchange market is a challenging prospect with above average risk. You must therefore carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and appetite for such risk prior to entering this market. Lo más importante, no invierta dinero que no está en condiciones de perder.
In addition, trading on a margin basis means that any market movement will have a proportionate effect on your deposited funds. This can work for you as well as against you. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total loss of initial margin funds.
RSI Divergence
I've decided to keep things simple for you. I'm going to leave out the technical definition of the CCI Mt4, as well as the formula used to use the Forex indicator. Double CCI Woodies Indicator is calculated by totaling the closing prices of a stock over a prescribed period and dividing that total by the number of days in the period. Double CCI Woody is one of the more commonly used tools of the technical trader. This is probably no accident of nature. Emotion and mathematics interact continuously while they draw the retracements that we see every day through our chart analysis. Descargar. CCI Mt4
MACD Oscillator is designed to show when a market is in a trending or non trending mode. Mtf MACD is estimated by totaling the close prices of a stock through a prescription time period and separating which absolute by the quantity of days in the time period. Act long, in an uptrend, if MACD Bars bears lower and bulls once more higher. Act short, in a down price trend, if MACD Bars bulls higher and bears once more lower it. Join candlestick actions and MACD Divergence Mq4 highs to occur hidden mischief which will stop or reversal a great market trend. Descargar. MACD Oscillator
New trends can be very difficult to stop once they are underway. As with other objects in motion, trends feed on themselves because they draw in fresh energy. RSI Divergence Indicator is calculated by totaling the closing prices of a stock over a recommended time period and splitting that absolute by the amount of days in the time period. A bearish divergence kinds when the security information a higher high and Stochastic RSI varieties a lower high. Prosperous FX traders draw with ease on these bilateral Forex market aspects as they professional the art of speculation. Their enhanced skills overlap with the peculiar sense needed to unify left and accurate brain features towards a focused trading strategy. Descargar. RSI Divergence
A few days ago I received a few emails asking about the Stepma Stoch and how to use it. On this chance I will try to write it in this article. Fast Stochastic is measured by totaling the closing prices of a stock throughout a approved time period and dividing which absolute by the variety of days in the time period. Stochastic Signals was developed to change the volume average trading indicator created by metatrader. It will be applied in graphs and or radarscreen. This prediction is near term, interpretation throughout the upcoming three to five bars, but not necessarily the truly coming bar. Descargar. Stepma Stoch
Tag: rsi hidden divergence & stochastic strategy
Divergences not just transmission the possible pattern change; these people may also be used just as one indication for any pattern extension. Remember, the actual pattern is the buddy, therefore anytime you will get an indication how the pattern may carry on, after that healthy for you!
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Hidden bullish Divergence occurs whenever cost is actually creating a greater reduced (HL), however the oscillator is actually displaying less reduced (LL). This is often observed once the set is within a good uptrend. As soon as cost can make a greater reduced, appear if the oscillator will exactly the same. In the event that this doesn’t as well as can make less reduced, after that we’ve obtained a few Hidden Divergence within our fingers. Finally, we’ve obtained Hidden bearish Divergence. This particular happens whenever cost can make less higher (LH), however the oscillator is actually creating a greater higher (HH). Right now you’ve most likely suspected this happens inside a downtrend. Whenever you observe Hidden bearish Divergence, odds are how the set may still take reduce as well as carry on the actual downtrend.
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RSI Divergence to find the perfect Entry
To most strategies and experienced jobs you must be prepared to study the principles of forex trading to become productive and be a profitable currency trader. Ideally, you could be implementing RSI Divergence to find the perfect framework for when, where & what to trade. You should build an entry into trade when there is good fluctuation in price actions that reflect the currency market is active. As I believe you do have a studied a thousand times already, you can find two kinds which are quite bad for you to rely on within the currency trading market, emotion and trying to forecast a market trend.
Forex trading will be a fantastic solution to make an income today, particularly if you are searching for an exercise you can do from your home or from in other places as long as you can get access to an internet connection and without the necessity of generating a fixed. Scalping Indicator offers the right framework for you as a foreign exchange trader and enables for you to study how to discover a trading system for yourself. Using this trading indicator you can determine when to enter the market, the indicator is going to do the analysis for you. Using this unusual yet helpful forex currency trading method can create important chance to your forex trading experiences.
If you have several profitable strategy to study a situation, you could search for a time when all of these foreign exchange signals converge to get long or short of your currency trading investment. Regardless of the systems and strategies you determine to utilize, it's substantial to have Signal Bars V9 in spot in order to attain your objectives & learn how to utilize the foreign exchange market. You must learn to get the trends earlier and this can bring to more opportunities for gain. If you have inconsistant info, you recognize you need to keep away and wait for a more desirable opportunity rather than risk your funds.
Learning at least one forex trend indicator is a must, although learning numerous types will only produce good things. To watch or estimate the foreign exchange market changes, one big type of trading indicators is used, Volty Channel. Noticing where its moving uptrend or down is going to assist you to determine if you should entry or get out when you are already involved in the trade. The obvious reason behind performing on doing these kinds of estimations is to be as rewarding as it can be and skip by all means to be able to accumulate risks within your account.
Trade With [ RSI - Trend Lines ]
The RSI with my strategies
This set up is based on an article written in Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. El artículo fue escrito por Hadi Seyedinajad. Mr. Seyedinajad uses the RSI mostly for exits, but I found it to work well for trade entries. I use the RSI for counter trend and trend following trade entries as well. I have been trading this set up for the past four years with good results, even in these choppy markets. The rules are very simple and all you need is the RSI on a 5 minute chart for intraday and 15 minute chart for positional. I trade the NIFTY and EQUITIES with this set up. I do chart and watch the Fibs and major Support and Resistance.
The set works very well when at price consolidation. It can give an early indication of the direction of the break out.
I use the RSI to make my trades entries. Draw a trend line on the RSI, from the most recent high (or low) and wait for the break to enter as a counter trend. I also use the RSI as a trend following entries. When the RSI bounces off the trend line, I can enter the trade. The key here is to see the long term chart to determine the best use of the RSI, trend or counter trend. Of course as most of us know, the RSI divergence can be a great trade as well, so do watch for divergences.
Again the set up is very simple
Enter based on RSI Trend lines
fantastic efforts dear santhosh,
it is a very good lesson for me a novice in stock market. your explanation is very simlpe.
keep educating mudraa family members.
Day Trading Tips and Tricks
The Mother of all NinjaTrader Divergence Indicators
This product is no longer available. As an alternative, we recommend the Bollinger Bands Suite .
If you have been using mechanical tools to plot divergences, or using some of the simplistic divergence tools that are out there, then this divergence/convergence indicator is for you. In a nutshell, the Multivariate Divergence Indicator for NinjaTrader offers:
26 Indicators to compare against (like MACD, CCI, RSI, etc)
7 Different automatic Divergence types
Optional Fibonacci retracement lines
Sound alerts
Full customization options
Real-time or Historical
Click on the image to watch an video overview of the Multivariate Divergence Indicator .
Convergences and Divergences are used to find inconsistencies between price and the derived indicator. This can lead to a very profitable, but very short lived, opportunity that you don’t want to miss.
The Multivariate Divergence indicator provides you with thousands of opportunities to find the convergence or divergences that you require in your trading strategy, with instant notification.
Currently the Multivariate Divergence indicator can check against 26 standard indicators, and can check for divergences and convergences in 7 unique ways. The Multivariate Divergence indicator runs on real-time or historical data feeds, can alert you with a sound when a divergence or convergence is found, and optionally plot a Fibonacci retracement at the point of the divergence or convergence.
What are the Divergence Types?
Divergence types are the method used to compute the divergences/convergences. The Multivariate Divergence Indicator for NinjaTrader currently can compute a divergence or convergence in 7 unique ways, as outlined below.
Peak to Peak (P2P) – Computes the divergences and convergences based strictly on the peaks of high values found within your look back period.
Valley to Valley (V2V) – Computes the divergences and convergences based strictly on the valleys of low values found within your look back period.
TrendLine – Computes the divergences and convergences between price and indicator based on the linear regression trend line formed for your specified look back period
Steps – Computes the divergences and convergences between price and indicator based on the number of bars that are sequentially increasing or decreasing.
EMA Slope – Computes the divergences and convergences between price and indicator based on the slope of a smoothed EMA line.
Standard Deviation – Computes the divergences and convergences between price and indicator based on a line fitting within a specified number of standard deviations from a trend line.
Exact Bars Back – Computes the divergences and convergences between prices and indicators based on the slope of the line from exactly the number of bars back you specify as a look back period.
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Relative Strength Index ( RSI )
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is a leading indicator, in that it can predict a stock's price movement before it happens. Esto se debe a que el RSI es un indicador de impulso, e indica condiciones de sobrecompra (precio demasiado alto) y sobrevendido (precio es demasiado bajo). In overbought conditions, the price of the stock is bound to retreat and stabilize in the near future. Similarly with oversold conditions.
Whereas moving averages are based on a stock's closing price, the RSI is based on gains and losses. Básicamente, el número y el tamaño de las ganancias y las pérdidas se utilizan para calcular la fuerza relativa de un período determinado, por ejemplo, un período de 14 días. Posteriormente se usan fuerzas relativas para trazar el gráfico RSI.
El RSI es un indicador oscilante, fluctuando entre 0 y 100, donde 0 es el más sobrevendido y 100 es el más sobrecompuesto. 50 es la línea central. Cualquier cosa por encima de 70 se considera sobrecompra, y cualquier cosa por debajo de 30 se considera sobreventa. Mientras que estos niveles de 70/30 son más comunes, algunos inversores utilizan niveles de 75/25 o incluso 80/20 para marcar las condiciones de sobrecompra y sobreventa. Estos niveles confirmarán las condiciones de sobrecompra o sobreventa mucho mejor, pero son menos sensibles a los movimientos de precios normales. Por ejemplo, una acción en un rango de negociación nunca podría llegar a los niveles de 80 o 20, y se perderá todas las señales.
Si bien el RSI puede decirnos cuándo una acción está sobrecomprada o sobreventa, su verdadero valor es su capacidad para indicar cuando la acción está saliendo de condiciones de sobrecompra o sobreventa, es decir. Cuando la acción va a moverse de nuevo hacia la media móvil. Así que los puntos a observar son aquellos cuando el RSI se mueve por debajo de 70 desde arriba, o se mueve por encima de 30 desde abajo.
En el gráfico anterior, el RSI cruzó por debajo de 70 en marzo y de nuevo en junio. También cruzó más de 30 en mayo. Por lo tanto, implementaríamos estrategias bajistas en marzo y junio y estrategias alcistas en mayo.
Tenga en cuenta que el RSI produjo señales de días (incluso más de una semana) antes de que el EMA de 20 días lo hiciera en el gráfico anterior. This is due to the fact that the RSI, being a momentum indicator, is a leading indicator and can predict price movement before it happens.
However, this might not be a good thing, as can be seen in March. El RSI produjo una señal bajista un mes antes de que ocurriera la crisis real. En el mundo de las opciones de comercio, un mes es mucho tiempo.
El RSI es un impulso. oscillating and leading indicator. Se utiliza para indicar cuando una acción sale de sus condiciones de sobrecompra o sobreventa. Un stock está sobrecompuesto a valores RSI por encima de 70. Y sobrevendido a valores por debajo de 30.
Similar al MACD, también podemos trazar divergencias positivas y negativas con el RSI. Una divergencia positiva es cuando el RSI hace valles o valles que se hacen más y más altos, e indica un potencial aumento. Una divergencia negativa es cuando el RSI crea picos que se hacen gradualmente más bajos, e indica un potencial descenso.
Por ejemplo, en el gráfico siguiente, el RSI formó una divergencia negativa en enero de 2004. Esto es a pesar de que el precio real de las acciones estaba haciendo picos más altos. Efectivamente, la divergencia negativa predijo correctamente una fuerte caída de precios a principios de febrero.
Si extrapolamos más, podemos ver que después de enero, el RSI estaba formando picos inferiores e inferiores todo el camino hasta junio. Este es un signo muy bajista.
Sólo hemos tocado algunas de las técnicas básicas que implican RSI. Existen otros métodos de lectura de gráficos RSI, y están fuera del alcance de esta guía.
Hay que mencionar de nuevo que los indicadores individuales no deben utilizarse por sí solos, sino con uno o dos indicadores adicionales de diferentes tipos, para confirmar cualquier señal y prevenir falsas alarmas.
El RSI también puede contener patrones de divergencia positiva y negativa. Una divergencia positiva pronostica una recuperación futura. while a negative divergence predcits future downturns .
The DeMarker forex trading strategy is forex strategy that utilizes the DeMarker. ex4 forex indicator. This indicator functions like an oscillator and is able to detect oversold and overbought conditions. It can also be used to trade divergences. The strategy described today is the divergence strategy with the DeMarker indicator.
MetaTrader4 Indicators: DeMarker. ex4 (default setting), Line tool (default setting)
Preferred Time Frame(s): 30-Minutes, 1-Hour, 4-Hours
Recommended Trading Sessions: Any time the signal appears
Currency Pairs: any + Gold
Buy Trade Strategy Example (click the image for full size)
The strategy is to look for when the indicator starts to diverge from the price action. Usually the price action will eventually correct itself in the direction of the divergence. The key is to identify the divergence and this is done by using the line tool to trace the highs and lows of both price and indicator.
A long position is initiated when the following indicator pattern is displayed on the chart:
The indicator line is forming higher lows when price is forming lower lows.
Look for a candlestick pattern or other trigger for making a long entry. In this example, this was double hammer formation.
Stop Loss for Long Entry: ≥5-30 pips below the low of the entry trigger candles
Exit Strategy/Take Profit for Long Entry:
Knowing when to exit a trade is key and this can be achieved by taking note of the following indicator patterns:
Price reaches a recent resistance or a reversal pattern appears on price action.
An arbitrary Take Profit which is at least two times the stop loss can be used. However if there is a reversal pattern that appears before this occurs, use the reversal pattern as a signal to exit the trade.
For the short entry, the trader should look for the following:
Price forms higher highs while indicator forms lower highs.
Watch for a candlestick or other pattern which will form the trigger for the short entry. In the example below, this was a doji candle.
Stop Loss for Sell Entry: ≥5-30 pips above the high of the trigger candle.
Exit Strategy/Take Profit for Sell Entry:
The exit strategy on a position(s) is triggered when the following indicator patterns are displayed on the chart:
The trader should look to set the Take Profit at an area where a previous support had formed (seen on the chart).
A reversal pattern can also be used. So look to see if there is a pattern on the chart which will cause price to reverse upwards.
About The Trading Indicators
The DeMarker indicator is an oscillator which can point out divergence signals as well as price extreme points. Reliance on this indicator however requires the trader to know how to apply the line tool to spot the divergence areas.
The key to trading the divergence is to make sure that the trader is able to look for a candlestick pattern which will signal the right time to make the entry after the divergence has appeared.
DeMarker Divergence Forex Strategy. 10.0 out of 10 based on 1 rating
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FOREX Strategies Forex Strategy, Simple strategy, Forex Trading Strategy, Forex Scalping
Forex Strategy Trend Line + CCI Divergence — as we know, almost all professional traders in financial markets often use the Divergence of different indicators to decide on the conclusion of a transaction, so we are now and consider a very simple but very effective strategy for forex, which is based on Divergence indicator CCI . predicting about trend reversal (or temporary roll back) prices in the forex market in the near future.
To trade forex recommend choosing Forex Brokers with Metatrader 4
This strategy works well on any interval, but it is desirable to use the above M15 .
On the schedule for the chosen currency pair (which may be the same — any) set MT4 indicator — FX Sniper’s CCI (14)
First of all, let’s see what we assume the divergence indicator CCI in this strategy.
Examples of divergence CCI look at the figures:
Divergence — is tence other than the price difference on the chart and the indicator CCI . If the price on the chart makes successive highs, and the indicator shows a successive minima — this is the divergence of CCI .
Similarly, if the price on the chart makes the successive minima, and the CCI indicator we see successive peaks — this is also the divergence of CCI.
Now let’s consider the conditions under which we will enter the market under the rules of forex strategy CCI Divergence + Trandeline .
We conclude deals for:
1. Determine the trend and note that the trend is down at our chosen time-frame (the price makes successive minima) 2. We are witnessing the divergence of CCI at our chosen time-frame.
3. In the second extreme of CCI closed for at least 1-2 bars after the formation of divergence.
4. Building a trendline from the maxima of the price movement downward in the interval of divergence.
5. Price closes above the trend line downward, constructed from the maxima points, located the interval under consideration divergence.
6. We conclude the deal on the opening price the next bar after the penetration of the trend line .
7. Stop-loss is placed below the local minimum in the near or under the candles to penetrate the trend line (if it is at least 50-70 points).
8. At a distance equal to the size of stop-loss position in translating bezubytok and close 1 / 2 a position .
9. Forward the remaining 1 / 2 trading position on the trailing stop (trailing size depends on the chosen currency pair and time-frame in which you trade, but about its value must be equal to the initial stop-loss).
Note: if, after construction of the trend line, you saw a new divergence or surprisingly a later peak at the indicator CCI — should redraw the trendline and the follow items 3-6 (above) or remove it!
For transactions for sale — the reverse condition!
and this is another example of making deals on the divergence shown in Figure 1:
During the breakdown of the trend line 3rd divergence, if desired, stop-loss order can be placed not under the local minimum and a candle to penetrate the trend line. The 1 / 2 of the transaction would have closed with a profit, and the rest position closed on «zero».
Download indicator for Metatrader 4 — FX Sniper’s CCI
Download a template for Metatrader 4 — CCI Divergence
Warning: Template MT4 and MT4 indicator prior to decompress!
Now you can completely scalp the e-mini S&P (ES) and four currencies, which are: Euro (6E), British Pound (6B), Aussie (6A), Canadian (6C) and the Japanese Yen (6Y). Since I have found this method I have been very pleased that I only need to look at ONE indicator along with the price action. That means no need for anything else, including Volume, Moving Averages, ect. Eat lots of small fish! Works best during off-hours trading. Where you can be the shark. I am able to profit up to 70% of the time and get at least 2-3 ticks, take half my position off and trail the last contract--or just scalp all in, all out.
Since I have found this method I have been very pleased that I only need to look at ONE indicator along with the price action. You can use any platform to trade this with. I have provided a ThinkOrSwim template if you use this to trade and will provide you with my custom indicator that goes with this product. That means no need for anything else, including Volume, Moving Averages, ect. This is a nice system allowing for great returns with small stops by scalping tops and bottoms. (Stops are placed 1 tick above the high you just shorted or 1 tick below the low you just bought).
I have found this works great during OFF market hours such as after hours from 6pm-3am EST.
NOTE:The course is at the best possible price. Comes with Thinkorswim custom indicators (not essential) and a 2 live videos on the ES emini and the 6E (EURUSD) currency pair--total running time of about 90 minutes. Link to download the 160+MB zip file will be emailed after purchase.
1. You must have access to 1-minute live charts and RSI that allows you to set the period .
The cost of the method is at a super discount having this method in your arsenal is a no brainer. in fact you may make it your only method!
Below is a screen shot of the actual folders and contents from ZIP file you will download:
The Panda RSI Divergence-Scalping Course
IF YOU ARE NOT INSTANTLY REDIRECTED TO THE PANDA SUCCESS PAGE AFTER PAYPAL THEN EMAIL ME FOR YOUR LINK!
(Choose Continue to Panda after the Paypal Purchase)
No refunds on this simple-to-understand system.
One method to look for a golf swing back again toward an extended position pattern is to apply Hidden Divergence. Divergence is really a approach to evaluating the actual splitting up associated with cost as well as a good Indicator because they mind within 2 various instructions. Beneath we now have a good example of Hidden Divergence about the EUR/CAD 8hr graph. To identify Divergence inside the lower pattern, we have to link the prior as well as present levels designated about the chart. Right now, we have to link exactly the same factors upon the RSI Indicator.
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As soon as Hidden Divergence is located a number of buying and selling techniques can be utilized. The easiest type of delivery is actually making use of the actual built-in overbought or oversold amounts upon RSI. Investors may await the candlestick near watching RSI proceed back again beneath the actual overbought degree of seventy.
My personal choice would be to market the actual EUR/CAD upon RSI coming back below seventy (overbought) Entry’s ought to be close to 1. 3350 or even much better. Halts ought to be positioned more than opposition close to 13500. Main revenue focuses on ought to locate a the least three hundred pips from 1. 3050. Option situations consist of cost busting opposition to create greater levels.
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Divergence Method of the trading.
What ‘s divergence?
In an up trend that will setup as a bearish trade, you ‘ll see the price making higher highs but you’ll see the indicator making lower high.
In opposite direction?
In an up down taht will setup as a bullish trade, you ‘ll see the price making lower lows but you’ll see the indicator making higher low.
Time Frame 5 min= Time expire 60 min.
Time Frame 15 min= Time expire 180 min.
ATM RSI Histo Triple Stochastic Divergence indicator;
Fibonacci Retracement: XIT Fib indicator.
The price should be above the upper Bollinger Bands indicator in case of a bearish divergence and in the same manner the price should be below the lower Bollinger Bands indicator in case of a bullish divergence.
When the bullish divergence is spotted (time frame 5 min), it is a signal for buying a 1 hour call option.
Buy When the red bars of the indicator ATM RSI Histo Triple Stochastih Divergence retrace below the dottet black line.
Touch points are the Fibonacci Retracement: XIT Fib indicator.
In the same manner when a bearish divergence is spotted (time frame 5 min), it is a signal for buying a put option.
Sell When the blue bars of the indicator ATM RSI Histo Triple Stochastic Divergence retrace below the dottet black line.
Touch points are the Fibonacci Retracement: XIT Fib indicator.
This method of trading based on divergence can also be applied to Binary otions strategies High / Low but this method of trading is not for beginners.
How to Trade RSI Divergence
Walker England, Trading Instructor, - Sep 8, 2012
How to Trade RSI Divergence
RSI can be used for more than just overbought and oversold levels. Learn how to spot reversals in the Forex market using RSI divergence.
Many traders look to the RSI traditionally for its overbought and oversold levels. While using these levels can be helpful to traders, they often overlook points of divergence that is also imbedded in RSI. Divergence is a potent tool that can spot potential market reversals by comparing indicator and market direction. Below we have an example of the EURUSD turning 738 pips after concluding a 1444 pip decline on a daily chart. Could RSI help us spot the turn? To find out, let’s learn more about traditional divergence.
(Created using FXCM’s Marketscope 2.0 charts)
The word divergence itself means to separate and that is exactly what we are looking for today. Typically RSI will follow price as the EURUSD declines so will the indicator. Divergence occurs when price splits from the indicator and they begin heading in two different directions. In the example below, we can again see our daily EURUSD chart with RSI doing just that.
To begin our analysis in a downtrend, we need to compare the standing lows on the graph. In a downtrend prices should be making lower lows and that is what the EURUSD does between the June 1 st and July 24 th lows. It is important to note the dates of these lows as we need to compare the RSI indicator at the same points. Marked on the chart below, we can see RSI making a series of higher lows. This is the divergence we are looking for! Once spotted traders can then employ the strategy of their choosing while looking for price to swing against the previous trend and break to higher highs.
(Created using FXCM’s Marketscope 2.0 charts)
It is important to note that indicators can stay ov erbought and oversold for long periods of time. As with any strategy traders should be looking to employ a stop to contain their risk. One method to consider in a downtrend is to employ a stop underneath the current swing low in price.
---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor
Follow me on Twitter at @WEnglandFX.
To be added to Walker’s e-mail distribution list, send an email with the subject line “Distribution List” to WEngland@FXCM. com.
Want to learn more about trading RSI? Take our free RSI training course and learn new ways to trade with this versatile oscillator. Register HERE to start learning your next RSI strategy!
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How To Trade - RSI Indicator for Divergence Trading Setups
Divergence is one of the trade setups used by Forex traders. It involves looking at a chart and one more indicator. For our example we shall use the RSI indicator. To spot this setup find two chart points at which price makes a new swing high or a new swing low but the RSI indicator does not, indicating a divergence between price and momentum.
In the chart below we identify two chart points, point A and point B (swing highs). Then using RSI indicator we check the highs made by the RSI, these are the highs that are directly below Chart points A and B. We then draw one line on the chart and another line on the RSI indicator.
How to spot divergence
In order to spot divergence we look for the following:
HH=Higher High - two highs but the last one is higher
LH= Lower High - two highs but the last one is lower
HL=Higher Low - two lows but the last one is higher
LL= Lower Low - two lows but the last one is lower
First let us look at the illustrations of these terms
There are two types of divergence:
MetaTrader Expert Advisor
Many ideas for expert advisors and strategies utilize the concept of divergence for making trading decisions. Although the idea appears in countless indicators, divergence is most often drawn on CCI, MACD and the stochastics indicators.
Review of Divergence
Divergence occurs whenever the price and some oscillating indicator diverge in their directionality. Price can theoretically be any value between 0 and infinity. It does not have a ceiling.
Oscillators, on the other hand, are bounded by minimum and maximum values. Stochastics and the RSI range between zero and one hundred. The number fifty represents an equilibrium in the movement of prices.
When the price makes a new higher high compared to some recent high, usually around 15-20 bars in the past, the assumption is that the indicator should achieve new highs, too. What happens, however, is that as the indicator starts moving slightly in the opposite direction. The price breaks new highs. The indicator remains slight under its old high. The direction of the price movement looks sharply up, whereas the indicator reads mildly down.
Divergence is Tricky
The problem with divergence is that if you put 10 different traders in a room and ask them to draw all of the divergences that they see, you’ll get 10 different answers. Traders each have personalities, all of which vary in their sensitivity to price movements. Some look at broad trends, while others obsess over the tiniest flutter in the market. Those groups in turn draw divergences either in line with major price movements or mark the chart with constant buzzing up and down. All of this is a complicated way of saying that the period used for divergence is arbitrary.
Every thing written about divergence promises that it shows when to consider exiting a trade. My opinion is that this is probably not sound. If you think about the major legs of a trend, you can think of it like the probability of a coin toss. When the first leg of a trend starts, it has something like a 50% probability of ending. Just as with the coin toss, the fact that a coin comes up heads doesn’t change the probability of the next toss coming up heads.
If you trade the second leg of a trend, then you eliminate half of the losers that would have occurred. More persuasively, I don’t think that you can spot a trend before it occurs from any type of technical analysis. Trading the first leg is not an option if you assume that trend directionality cannot be predicted before the trend even starts.
I’m tempted to turn the idea on its head. If you define divergence with an unvarying period that is programmable, then it would be possible to analyze the probability of a trend continuing. I don’t see much validity in Elliot Wave Theory, but I do like the idea of the third leg being the biggest. Most people would count the third leg of an Elliot Wave trend as the second leg. It represents the second move in the direction of the trend.
If you used divergence as an entry method after the first leg finishes and placed a stop at the beginning of the trend, then you would expect to find a profitable strategy based on the assumptions about leg length. If the first leg is usually shorter and the second leg is usually bigger, then the winners should be bigger than the losers. The 50-50 odds of winning would still yield a slightly positive profit factor. Anything greater than 50% odds would make for a stellar expert advisor .
Kernel of Truth
What I like about divergence is its relationship to oscillating indicators. The oscillators attempt to rescale the price, which happens to match nicely with a mathematical concept called the Hurst exponent. The Hurst exponent is a number between 0 and 1 that measures the trendiness of a signal. A value of 0 implies a value that never moves, whereas a value of 1 implies a value that trends in a straight line. Financial data on sufficient time scales, usually one hour bars or longer, exhibit high Hurst values. Testing that I did on the EUR/USD daily data showed a Hurst exponent around 0.7.
The method for estimating the Hurst exponent involves rescaling the price across different lengths of time. The fact that oscillators attempt to rescale price jumped out at me. True, they do it in a much more simplistic manner. The fact that divergence, a phenomenon that occurs from rescaling, occurs when compared to the original price encourages me. It makes me wonder if there might be a kernel of mathematical truth in an otherwise subjective concept.
RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) itself, was authored by J Welles Wilder in 1978. It is a momentum oscillator that measures the velocity and magnitude of the directional price by comparing upward and downward movements. The RSI Divergence refers to the direction of the RSI in relation to the direction of the price. The RSI Divergence will change the price bar color depending upon the type of divergence. Two types of divergence are possible. If the RSI is increasing and the price is decreasing a bullish divergence is occurring. Conversely, if the RSI is decreasing and the price is increasing a bearish divergence is under way. Several options are allowed, including a trend method to smooth the price bar values. A high-low option is also given; it allows the trend to be determined from higher highs and lower lows (as opposed to higher and lower closes, for example). Adjustable guides are also provided to fine tune the trading signals. The user may change the RSI input (close), RSI period, RSI method (EMA), trend input (close), trend period, trend method option, method (SMA) and guide values. This indicator’s definition is further expressed in the condensed code given in the calculation below.
How To Trade Using RSI Divergence
Adjust the top and bottom guides to control the quantity and quality of the trading signals. RSI values above 70 are considered overbought and therefore offer an opportunity to sell. RSI values below 30 are considered oversold and present an opportunity to buy. If a bullish divergence is occurring; and the RSI is below the bottom guide a buy signal will be generated. Conversely, if a bearish divergence is underway; and the RSI is above the top guide a sell signal will be given.
How To Access in MotiveWave
Go to the top menu, choose Study >Oscillators>RSI Divergence
or go to the top menu, choose Add Study . Empiece a escribir el nombre de este estudio hasta que aparezca en la lista, haga clic en el nombre del estudio, haga clic en Aceptar.
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Cálculo
//RSI input=price, user defined, default is closing price //RSI Period = user defined, default is 14 //RSI Method = moving average, user defined, default is EMA //Trend input=price, user defined, default is closing price //Trend Period = user defined, default is 4 //Use Trend Method = user defined, default is false //Trend Method = moving average, user defined, default is SMA
RSI Divergence Patterns: Spotting Trading Tops and Bottoms
One of my favorite patterns to watch for near market bottoms and tops is the RSI divergence pattern. But, I must caution that it is a bit trickier than it appears. And, furthermore, I don’t recommend front-running the pattern. I tend to think of the RSI divergence pattern like a “backtest” of sorts, but in slow motion. In short, this pattern requires investor patience and discipline.
In this post, I’ll show a couple of examples and elaborate on how I use this pattern.
RSI stands for Relative Strength Index and is an indicator that highlights the current strength of a particular security. From Stockcharts Chartschool: the Relative Strength Index “measures the “speed and change of price movements.” It is considered overbought above a reading of 70 and oversold when below 30.
RSI Divergence Pattern – Components and Setup
First and foremost, you need a security or market (stocks, commodities, indices) that is extended in price to the upside or downside. Second, you need an RSI above 70 or below 30. Now, that is the easy part. This would then need to be followed by a swift price move in the opposite direction (correction), typically dropping or raising the RSI towards 50. This is then followed by another price move in the original trend/momentum direction that results in new highs/lows in price, but a non-confirmation on the RSI reading. Hence, an RSI Divergence pattern.
So let’s look at this setup on a chart. Sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words. Below is a chart of Facebook (FB) that I used in an October 2012 article highlighting a potential bottom in Facebook’s stock. Note that price had reached a new low, but the RSI index did not.
Facebook – RSI Divergence Pattern
For my next example, I’ll look at a topping pattern. In 2011, the German DAX composite was marching higher. Upon hitting an extreme overbought reading on the RSI (near 80), the DAX put in a momentum price top and began a swift pullback. This pullback was then followed by one last thrust to new highs. HOWEVER, the RSI did not confirm the price highs (failing to reach new RSI highs): This RSI divergence pattern warned that market momentum was waning. And, when the market rolled over, this lead to a deeper correction and an RSI drop back below 30.
Note that a similar pattern may be on the horizon. Whether now or in early 2014, should the DAX pull back and record an RSI near 50, investors should be mindful of the ensuing recovery. An RSI divergence pattern would emerge if new price highs followed (without new RSI highs). These patterns take time to develop so it is good to monitor them and be patient, yet disciplined, when trading the setups.
German DAX – RSI Divergence Pattern
No positions in any mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.
RSI Index Indicated Strategy – one of good options trading system
Many even novice traders know about the existence of such an indicator – the RSI or Relative Strength Index. Naturally, it is used in a number of strategies. Next we will talk about one of them, which is called binary options strategy Divergence on the RSI. This strategy is equally well suited for both professional traders and beginners.
Before starting the description of the strategy and its essence, let’s go back to what is a RSI indicator. This algorithm is an oscillator that allows you to define the trend reversals on the graph well. This property is quite successfully used by many traders.
But we will try to use a stronger signal, which is called the divergence. What is the divergence? It is a variance of price indicators and index indicators. Perhaps some traders noticed that when using indicators in some cases, the price still continues updating maxima or minima, while the indicator does not. The discrepancy between the indicators is quite a good signal for trading on financial markets. And this divergence is the basis of binary options strategy Divergence on the RSI.
Let’s take a closer look at the graph. It is a clear bearish divergence, which helped those who managed to discover it in time to find good money. Also there is a bullish divergence on the graph. We will look at them in more detail in the next chapter, in which we will describe the signals for binary option trading.
Trading signals in this system are simple enough to be found on the graph. A trader should not be an expert in the technical analysis. The indicator itself does all the work for the trader. In order to know what kind of a contract to buy, simply follow the situation closely on the graph.
We specifically gave an example where you can see two differences at once. The first of them is bearish, after which the price goes down, and the second one, on the contrary, is bullish. After this divergence the price began to recover.
So how to work correctly with the strategy Divergence on RSI? To do this, find the difference of the price and the curve of indicator. And, when it comes to bearish divergence, the differences are sought on the maxima of prices and the indicator. This just refers to the first case. When you see this discrepancy, you must buy a Put option. The purchase of a contract is possible at the moment when the price starts to go down with the indicator.
As for the bullish divergence, it is shown in the example on the right. With this discrepancy it is recommended to buy a Call option. And the purchase of a contract is best done at the time when the price is reversed upwards with the indicator. Such signal is the strongest and helps to avoid unnecessary emotions.
Thus, the binary strategy Divergence on the RSI is a strong enough and serious tool in the hands of the trader. This system is perfect both for beginners and those who have been familiar with the financial markets for a long time. While the latter category of traders likely already knows the given strategy and actively uses it from time to time in their work in the financial markets.
That’s all for now. Got any questions? Just ask the expert!
Divergence trading
In uncertain trading times it is important to be able to see as far in front as the market will allow. The use of certain indicators alone can give traders a vague insight into what comes next in reference to what happened the last time. These can be in the form of pre-defined patterns, indicator behavior or price-action. Having an edge is the mantra of professional traders and this can be vital to being able to survive in the chaotic world of price speculation.
Todays charts threw up two interesting patterns which many traders would have spotted and waited for an opportunity to trade. Both of these appeared on the hourly charts and both on the GBP. The pattern in question was the humble MACD divergence and is an interesting example to understand the reliability, or otherwise, of this important indication of future price action. Lots of people trade divergence in some form or another and therefore, as well as being a particularly strong sign of price reversal, it is also has something of self-fulfilling prophecy about it. If enough people see it then chances are enough people will react to it.
Divergence is about as close as traders can get to being able to see what price will do in the immediate future. When the concept of divergence is used in trading it stands for a disagreement between what prices has been doing and how an indicator has portrayed this. It is extremely important for traders to be able to understand and recognize the existence of divergence as it can be absolutely essential in both confirming and warning against taking certain trades. Many indicators including Oscillators and MACD have the ability to display divergence and, often, these may be shown simultaneously and powerfully across multiple indicators.
The reason for its occurrence is that momentum always precedes price and therefore oscillators, being momentum indicators, will reflect a change in momentum before price has reacted to this. This is incredibly valuable to traders and is the nearest an indicator can get to accurately predicting what price will do in the future. Divergence therefore shows when momentum is decreasing but price has not yet realised, creating opportunities for traders to get ahead of the game.
There are two variations of divergence: Regular and hidden. Regular divergence is the most obvious and is incredibly easy to spot once a trader knows what to look for. The concept is very simple and the most helpful regular divergences will notably be the most obvious. The formation of divergence occurs when a momentum indicator, such as stochastic, RSI or MACD, fails to follow price offering a hint to traders that it may not agree with the current situation. When price moves to a lower low but the MACD makes a higher low than its previous lows it can become a signal that momentum is slowing and that the price at its current low may be unsustainable.
Divergence on 1-hour GBP/USD chart
In today’s scenario they were both good examples of regular divergence. Although some traders will say that higher timeframes, such as daily or weekly, offer more reliable signals, the truth is they can also take a very long time to react to divergence. Successful hourly timeframe divergences are interesting and profitable because they occur and complete within a few days. As today’s GBP/USD and GBP/JPY show, there was a clear divergence between price and the MACD. The extent to which it will play out will become evident within the next 48 hours.
Divergence on GBP/JPY chart
Tristan Goldthorpe currently lives in Madrid working for an international private sector development consultancy. He completed a postgraduate degree in London two years ago and has since been studying, trading and writing about politics, economics and the forex markets in his spare time. His particular interests are the use of support and resistance to determine price movements and the tendency for markets to become over-extended. Over the past few years he has researched and experimented with different techniques and strategies and now enjoys analysing and discussing potential trade opportunities and fundamental economics.
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I suggest you.
RSI Divergence Strategy (Normal and hidden)
Hi i personally use Rsi divergence with Trendrisk But we cannot implement Trading strategy for users. There is an sdk and i hope people will start to learn it and program their own strategy. There is a limit of the service we can give for free. If we will create strategies they will have a cost and will not be free. RFB Ceo Riflexo
BTW I'm a live Tradeinterceptor trader. Strategy: A common technique for trading oscillators such as RSI is to use divergence. There are two types of divergence, regular and hidden. Regular divergence is commonly used to signal trend changes, and hidden divergence is used to signal trend continuation.
Bullish Regular Divergence Price: Lower Low RSI: Higher Low
Bearish Regular Divergence Price: Higher High RSI: Lower High
Bullish Hidden Divergence Price: Higher Low RSI: Lower Low
Bearish Hidden Divergence Price: Lower High RSI: Higher High
Must be able to set SL and TP levels and also if be able to use different time frames on candles and rsi
Realimentación
Feedback and Knowledge Base
In the event that you’re the pattern fans, then you definitely ought to devote a while to identify a few Hidden Divergence. Should you choose occur to place this, it can benefit a person leap within the pattern earlier.
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Seems great, indeed? Alright, right now you realize regarding each normal as well as Hidden Divergence. Hopefully you have everything lower jim. Remember that normal Divergences tend to be feasible indicators with regard to pattern reversals whilst Hidden Divergences transmission pattern extension. Within the next training we’ll demonstrate a few real-world types of whenever Divergences been around as well as exactly how you might have exchanged all of them.
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Orange Histogram exhibits the actual pattern is actually occurred. You have to await arriving associated with oversold or even overbought factors. Green Histogram indicates undervalued region (oversold). It’s anticipated how the cost goes upward. Red Histogram indicates overvalued ares (overbought). It’s anticipated how the cost goes lower. This particular indicator is actually such as notifications of transmission communications, drive as well as e-mail. Make sure you remember that you need to assistance your own industry along with additional techniques to obtain a precise buying and selling.
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15-Minute Strategy with the RSI Indicator
Introduction The Relative Strength Index is a momentum indicator which measures the momentum changes in the price action of that currency pair. The Relative Strength Index is a momentum indicator which is used for a variety of functions in the financial markets. It is a momentum indicator which is capable of detecting overbought and oversold market conditions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) can measure the speed and rate of change of price movements.
The RSI is calibrated between 0 and 100. Just like other indicators which measure oversold/overbought conditions, the RSI is overbought when the value is >70 and oversold when Indicators -> Oscillator -> RSI b) The trendline tool can be found on the MT4 by clicking Insert -> Line -> Trendline
Binary Trade Strategy Being an oscillator and a leading indicator, there will be occasions when the indicator line deviates from regular movement with the price action. By using a trend line to draw highs and lows across similar areas on the price action and indicator, areas of divergence can be identified and used in the trade.
Another way that the RSI can be used in this strategy is when it shows an overbought or oversold signal. In this case, the RSI is acting as a price reversal indicator. We would therefore be looking for Call trade opportunities when the asset is oversold, and Put trade opportunities when the market is overbought.
Our trade examples with this strategy will feature both scenarios. Here is what you need to do to profit from this strategy.
CALL TRADE The following conditions must be present for the trader to initiate a CALL trade: a) The RSI indicator is showing higher lows when the price action is showing lower lows. b) A candlestick or chart pattern appears which favours an upside movement.
The trader takes the trade when the candlestick pattern appears. This condition is displayed in the chart that we have shown below:
This is a GBPUSD 15minute chart which shows a situation where the RSI is forming higher lows when price action is showing lower lows. A bullish engulfing candlestick pattern then appears and this creates the trigger for the trade. The CALL trade is setup at the open of the candle following the bullish engulfing pattern.
PUT TRADE For the PUT trade, we use a different situation with the RSI acting as an oversold-overbought market indicator. In this snapshot, we therefore look for the following:
a) The RSI indicator is in overbought territory i. e. RSI is >70. b) The price action displays some reversal information e. g. a bearish reversal candlestick pattern or a chart pattern which will end in downward price movement. The chart below displays what has been stated above.
We can see from the 15 minute chart snapshot that the RSI is in overbought territory when the charts show two reversal pinbar candlesticks. The trade is opened at the open of the next candle.
Expiry Time When setting the expiry time for this trade, you must consider the time frame of the chart and the average length of the candlesticks preceding the trade entry. As long as only one pip is required for the trade to be in the money, the trader must pay attention to making the right entry.
At least three candles must be allowed to pass before the trade expires. Therefore, the expiry time for a trade taken with the 15-minute Call/Put strategy using the RSI indicator must be at least 45 minutes.
The trader should practice this strategy on a demo platform before going live with it.
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How To Trade - Divergence with RSI indicator and How Does It Work
Wilder suggests that divergence between an asset's price movement and the RSI oscillator can signal a potential reversal. The reasoning is that in these instances, directional momentum does not confirm price.
A bullish divergence forms when the underlying asset makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low. RSI diverges from the bearish price action in that it shows strengthening momentum, indicating a potential upward reversal in price.
A bearish divergence forms when the underlying asset makes a higher high and RSI forms a lower high. RSI diverges from the bullish price action in that it shows weakening momentum, indicating a potential downward reversal in price.
As with overbought and oversold levels, divergences are more likely to give false signals in the context of a strong trend.
How to spot divergence
In order to spot divergence we look for the following:
HH=Higher High - two highs but the last one is higher
LH= Lower High - two highs but the last one is lower
HL=Higher Low - two lows but the last one is higher
LL= Lower Low - two lows but the last one is lower
First let us look at the illustrations of these terms
There are two types of divergence :
Binary Options Divergence Strategy
Binary Options Divergence Strategy 5.00 / 5 (100.00%) 1 vote
Every trader has received some type of knowledge on how important trends are in the market and to your trading performance. Trends consist of many elements such as momentum which helps assess how strong a trend is, and price swings. Both of these, as well as other factors, play important roles in determining where a trend is leading towards, and whether the trend is weaning off and preparing for a change in direction. A low momentum in the price action of an underlying asset doesn’t always mean that there will be a change in direction, but it does signify that there will be some type of action that will take place and the trend may either follow suit or reverse.
All of this ties in to what a divergence is and the trading strategy that traders use with it. We’ve included as much information in this article, and have kept it succinct in order for you to firmly understand what the structure of the method is and what a divergence is in the asset price movement and momentum.
Price Momentum
The price magnitude is calculated by measuring the length of the price swings that occur in the short term periods. The beginning and the ending of the trends are marked by pivot points that form the highs and lows of the price swings. If there’s a strong momentum, then they’ll be a steep slope in the market. If the market expresses a weak momentum, then there will be a shallow slope as well as a short swing in the price.
If the price and the momentum indicators such as Stochastic oscillator or RSI are not in agreement with one another, then the market is considered to express a divergence, which can have some strong implications in how you approach your trade entries in binary options. There are many price patterns that are formed when a divergence occurs, but they all show the same method and style.
The Strategy
If you take a look at the divergence in the market, you’ll notice that, in an uptrend, the price will make a higher high, while the indicator will have made a lower low. If this occurs, it doesn’t necessarily mean that the market will chance direction, but it does mean that something is about to occur and you should take precautions in how your trades will perform from that point on.
By using other indicators such as the moving averages (MA) or the multiple time frame strategy, you can have a better understanding of where the market is truly headed and assess on how you will execute your next trades in your binary options account.
The best approach to this is to look at the market and witness whether there’s a divergence occurring. If it is so, then you can look at different strategies to help you maintain your composure and get the overall picture of the market. By doing so, the divergence won’t change your confidence and will assist you in making your binary options trading more concrete.
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Accurately Analyzing RSI Divergences
Professional Trader & Analyst,
Critics have tried to dispel divergence analysis, but these examples from MoneyShow's Tom Aspray show that when executed properly, reliable signals are generated that can help determine market tops and bottoms.
Almost 30 years ago, using a series of networked Apple II computers, I started doing research and began writing about divergence analysis. Over the years, I developed some rather specific guidelines to analyze divergences. In the past few years, there have been a number of articles about divergence analysis that I feel do not allow it to be judged correctly as a technical tool.
In my opinion, these all have one common flaw, as no matter whether they are trying to prove that divergence analysis works or doesn't work, they only look at the daily data. I have always focused my divergence analysis on the weekly data because I find it to be the most reliable.
Over the years, I have observed consistent weekly patterns in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) that are quite useful in determining both intermediate-term tops and bottoms. Often times, weekly RSI divergences will confirm signals from other technical tools like the on-balance volume (OBV). which gives even greater validation to the analysis.
In these examples, I am using the 14-period RSI with a 21-period weighted moving average (WMA). Typically, at major turning points, you will be able to observe the formation of one or more divergences at overbought or oversold levels that form over a six - to 20-week time period. These divergences then must be confirmed by a move in the RSI below a significant support level or above a key resistance level.
Generally, when daily divergences are formed but no there are no weekly divergences, the daily divergences just signal corrections within the intermediate-term trend. The daily RSI analysis can often be used to identify continuation patterns within the major trend.
Those analysts who are only looking at daily divergences conclude that divergence analysis does not work because they observe a series of daily divergences within an intermediate-term trend. As a result, they are often whipsawed and fail to catch the major trend.
I hope the following examples will encourage readers to do their own analysis, especially on the weekly data, as only then will you have the confidence to act on your divergence analysis.
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Let's look at the weekly chart for Apple Inc . (AAPL ), one of the most followed companies of the past decade. This chart covers the period from March 2007 through early-September 2008.
In April 2007, the RSI moved above its 21-period WMA (green line) as AAPL started its rally from the $90 area. Both the price and RSI continued to move higher until July, when the iPhone was released. The stock peaked just below $150, forming a weekly doji with the RSI at 83. During the following three-week correction, AAPL declined 25% from its highs and the RSI dropped back to support in the 55 area.
By the middle of September, the RSI moved back above its weighted moving average and AAPL closed higher for the next eight weeks. By early November, it had reached the $190 level.
The RSI did not make new highs, as it instead formed lower highs, line A, peaking just above 81. After a two-week correction, AAPL again turned higher, and by late December, the stock surpassed the $200 level.
At these new price highs, a second negative divergence was formed in the RSI, line B, as it only reached the 72 level. This suggested that an important top might be forming.
Two weeks after the highs (line 1), the RSI dropped below key support at line C. This confirmed the negative divergences in the RSI, consistent with the completion of an intermediate-term top. Over the next six weeks, AAPL dropped almost 30% before stabilizing in the $115 area.
By the end of March, the RSI had moved back above its weighted moving average. Over the following seven weeks, AAPL rallied slightly above $190. The weekly RSI rallied up to the 65-70 area, but by the latter part of June, it had dropped back below its WMA.
The rebound in the RSI failed at previous support indicted by line C. After a six-week decline, the RSI bounced, but was only able to make it slightly above its WMA. The subsequent violation of the seven-month RSI support, line D, was a strong signal that the downtrend had resumed.
NEXT: Study Important Signals on Daily Chart for Apple
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Oscillators such as RSI, stochastics, as well as MACD tend to be effective resources knowing how you can rely on them. Taking care of Divergences is actually part of utilizing oscillators with regard to Trading. Divergence describes the actual difference in between cost and also the oscillator.
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Traditional Divergences tend to be a part of the change Trading technique. Hidden Divergences indicate extension Trades. Check out both kinds of bullish Divergences highlighted beneath. (Bearish Divergences would be the change. ) This can be a every day graph from the S&P exchange-Traded account, TRAVELER, using the MACD histogram about the reduce solar panel. There is a definite upward pattern prior to the Trading set up, that is essential with regard to extension Trades. To locate Hidden Divergence, focus on the final reduced associated with MACD. As soon as MACD descends previous this, a person change your own focus on cost. In the event that cost is actually over the final golf swing reduced, you’ve got a Hidden Divergence. Nevertheless, in the event that cost proceeds listed below the final golf swing reduced, the actual Hidden Divergence gets broken. Following the Hidden Divergence, we’d the change club which demonstrated it’s power since it converted into some other club. All of us joined the mark over it’s higher for any good golf swing up-wards.
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( IMPORTANT . Before You proceed, If You’re always gettting LOUSY & MOSTLY LOSING results from trading Divergences happening in the market…….then please clear Your mind from this point onwards about whatever DIVERGENCE Trading Strategies You are using previously. Because what I am sharing later would be considered rather ” Unconventional ” to most ( struggling ) traders. But it would enlighten You big-time about the CORRECT WAY to ACE Divergence……Proven. )
Having emphasize on the above…
Fasten Your seat-belt now…..and let’s start our engine & ROLL !
A ” Stop-Loss ” ( when place STRATEGICALLY )…….is meant to PROTECT Your trading position ( and capital ) .
NOT to make YOU LOSE……!!
(…. but SADLY….most STRUGGLING traders think likewise ….hence they are always TRADING WITHOUT ONE….and only end up REGRETTING……end of the day…..when their account is flashing RED approach MARGIN CALL. )
…So please Don’t land Yourself in such ” Nasty ” situation like these STRUGGLING traders…….( if You still have NOT previously )
…as I am ( extremely ) SURE……..that You WOULD NOT like that kind of ( forever LOSING ) feeling man!!
You and me are in this trading game to make REAL Profits …….
….which can be turned into COLD-HARD-CASH => which we can spend on to buy things we WANT ( or for our love ones ) … …..right ?
You and me are NOT in this game to “ GAMBLE …or TRADE IMPULSIVELY ( in other words => Stupidly ) “…..and BURN our hard-earn money AWAY.
Agree on that too ?
Again….from the illustration above..
….did You see that the Price is actually ” Bouncing WITHIN that Triangle “….NICELY ?
…touch the upper-limit…..bounce DOWN after…
…touch the lower-limit……bounce UP after…..
And Do You know this certain ” fact ” about this kind of TRIANGLE Formation ?
“….The LONGER the Price SQUEEZE within that Triangle ….”
“…The MORE EXPLOSIVE that BREAKOUT would be…..when it ( Finally ) Happens. & # 8221;
…whenever a trader witnessed such ” Price SQUEEZE ” …stretching for such a LONG period..
…he / she got to be ” Extra Careful “….& & # 8221; ALERT ” …at that point of time.
so as to ” CATCH “….that ( Extremely ) EXPLOSIVE Breakout……” EARLY ” during the commencement….
But the question is that….:
“…How can one KNOW….what to ANTICIPATE in order to CATCH that EXPLOSIVE Breakout ( EARLY ) ?”
I dare bet that most traders would NOT know have the answer to the above question.
Let me show You my ” step-by-step Analysis ( Anticipation ) “…..
….for CATCHING it ” EARLY “…next !
Look at the next illustration below to understand ” what I ( SPECIFICALLY ) Monitor “…. in there then :
Most ” Not-In-The-KNOW ” traders only SEE that ” Triangle ” on the surface….
BUT always FAIL to SEE that ” Hidden RESISTANCE ” in there….( the Red Horizonal Line I indicated )
As such, they just DON’T KNOW ” When ” to go in and CATCH the ” First RELIABLE SIGN ” …when the BREAKOUT commences…
For myself, I am monitoring that ” Red LINE “….very carefully…..very meticulously……
….just like a HUNGRY EAGLE targeting that FISH …… with it’s ” Laser Sharp ” pair of Eyes ….( although that fish is swimming in the WATER. )
But it just CAN’T escape from the EAGLE’s ” Ultra - Precise ” vision !
( ….and ONLY to suffer the PLIGHT of being GRABBED by the Eagle’s pair of powerful CLAW….after )
¡SÍ! ….I personally LOVE to watch documentary program…..particurly those involving ” Predator & Prey “.
If One belongs to the weaker group in there ( fish )…..and he / she can’t even defend oneself effectively…
…then it is ONLY natural that they would get ” Eaten ” by the Stronger & More Powerful Group…
Eactly like the TRADING world…..
The ” Traders-NOT - In-The-KNOW ” group….would keep losing and losing……eventually get BURNT badly….and never return…
On the other hand..
…the ” Traders-In-The-KNOW ” group…( such as Myself )…..
…would keep WINNING……& WINNING……making ourselves so Successful ( and Rich. )….
Cruel Truth I know…..but it’s the Absolute TRUTH in any trading game in the financial world..
…most of the money would be WON by the other Top 5%….
…and Now You know this ( CRUEL ) Fact too !
Alright….let’s not Deviate from this ” Divergence Trading Approach ” I am sharing in this article.
Let me show You HOW I ” Catch ” the Bullish BREAKOUT…….EARLY during the commencement.
…simply by judging from that ” RESISTANCE ( red line ) “….I drawn on the chart earlier..
Here’s the Chart again to help You recall :
And this is what I ” SPOTTED ” next :
In this illustration above…
You can also see that a ” Bullish Candlestick ” has VIOLATED that ( critical ) Resistance I indicated ( red line )
This also means this is a ” Very CRUCIAL ” moment now..
IF….You guys seriously WANT to ” CATCH ” the BREAKOUT…..EARLY at the first commencement…..( like me )
This is also ” the ” moment that I have to get my ” Entire Trading ( Attack ) PLAN ” Listo..
….because when one ” SEES ” that BREAKOUT Happens…..( for this case )
….it would most probably be TOO LATE.
In order to fulfill a SOLID ” Trading Plan ” for this situation…..
I need to decide on the 3 ( standard ) Critical Elements namely :
1) WHEN to ENTER to BUY ?
( so as to CATCH the Breakout at the ” Early ” stage. )
2) Where Should My Stop-Loss be ?
( in order to be STRATEGIC & help me achieve a GOOD Rewards vs Risk ratio. )
3) Where should the Take-Profit Targets be ?
( are they REALISTIC to fulfill at all. )
As I already Emphasize ” Many Times ” earlier….
If You could NOT get any of these 3 Critical Elements ” Right “..
…then entire trading performance would SUFFER..
…making You feeling simply ” uncertain & fearful ” about all the trading decision You decide to take on in future…
Because You know You just could NOT ” Secure HIGH-WINNING-ODDS ” end of the day !
Obvious on this fact ?
But it’s alright..
…let me show You ” My WAY ” of planning these 3 Critical Elements one - by - one.
…and I am going to make it ” simple ” to understand ….( even if You’re a total newbie! )
Follow closely for now.
1st Critical Element :
( so as to CATCH the Breakout at the ” Early ” stage ! )
Due to the ” Explosive Nature ” of this set-up I am targeting now.
I would be relying on the ” BUY Pending order “ for this situation..
…..and more specifically….the ” BUY-STOP order “.
Also….as I have emphasize many times earlier ( and in all of the articles I wrote to share so far )
…the other 2 Critical Elements have to be PLAN ” At the sametime ” too..
so that I can know whether can I achieve a ” Good Rewards vs Risk ” ratio for whatever TRADING PLAN I have planned.
For in order to make it ” simple for You guys to understand “..
I purposely choose to explain the 3 Critical Elements ” Individually “..
But in Real-Life planning…
ALL 3 ….must be ” Considered TOGETHER “….
REMEMBER that ya !
Alright…let’s proceed on for now.
Look at the chart below first……so that You would understand all the ” WHYS ” I am explaining on …later
Before I could decide on ” My Entry & What Stop-Loss to use “…
it is important that I KNOW what are the ” Realistic ” Take-Profit levels I can aim for.
Without KNOWING the above….
…it is as good as ” hoping for the best to happen ” …..that’s all.
NOT the way to go…..if You’re serious about achieving HIGH-WINNING-ODDS in the long run.
So this trade of mine…
…I would be using the ” ( Same ) 2 Take-Profit Targets ” ….as in my Attempt #1 previously.
Because these are ” indeed 2 GOOD & REALISTIC ” levels for me to aim for.
….at the current Price level in the market.
Having ” confirm ” on that..
Here’s my ” Entry + Stop-Loss ” I decided on…..and the ” WHYS “….
So in order for me to achieve a ” Good Rewards vs Risk ” ratio from the 2 ( Realistic ) Take-Profit targets planned earlier..
I have derive my final ” decisions ” on the other 2 Critical Elements ……( in order to complete my Entire ATTACH Plan ) namely :
1) I have decided that I would place the BUY-STOP at Price 1.55546
( in order to CATCH the Commencement of that EXPLOSIVE BULLISH BREAKOUT )
Now before I proceed onto the 2nd one..
…let me warn You about a certain ” common mistake ” that most ( Struggling ) traders would BOUND to commit.
“…whenever these traders spot such TRIANGLE forming in the market “..
…they would TEND to place 2 Pending Orders at the sametime..
….one to catch the UP-Side.
…one to catch the DOWN-side…
…which we traders known as the ” Straddle ” técnica.
Why are these ( struggling ) traders doing this ?
Because in most forex TEXTBOOKS….
…they’re teaching that once a certain TRIANGLE formation is spotted in the market..
…..price would tend to BREAKOUT in ” either way “..
Hence, most Forex Textbooks would teach these traders to use the ” STRADDLE ” technique..
…so as to catch the Breakout…..no matter which side it BREAKOUTs after….
Definitely sounds good with that……for most ” Traders-NOT-In-The-KNOW “…!!
They ONLY think of the ” Winning Side “…
…but did NOT bother considering what if there’s …” Price SPIKE….or the Nasty FALSE BREAKOUT…..or perhaps the Vicious Brokers FLUSHING the Stop-Loss “….kind of scenarios…
When this kind of ” Nasty yet COMMON Scenarios ” happen in the market…
…it would take out Your orders for sure…
…and at least ONE of Your Stop-Loss would be TRIGGERED..
…but that’s PROVIDED You also KNOW how to place Your Stop-Loss in a ” Strategic ” location…..too.
But sadly…..most traders only ” use the WILD GUESSING ” kind of technique to consider their Stop-Loss…
…instead of analyzing the market’s Price Actions….and then decide on a PROVEN ” Strategic ” location for the Stop-Loss placement.
Being STOPPED-OUT ” Unneccessarily “….again & again……of course.
So for my decisions on the ” Entry + Stop-Loss ” aspects for this case..
I am ONLY keen on using just ” ONE ( BUY-STOP ) Order “…
….as I think it is just ” foolish ” to even include a ” SELL - STOP ” on the other side…..( which is Straddle )
If You’re also as confident as me….as regards to reading the RAW Price Actions in the market now..
…considering it is actually showing a ” Bullish Divergence ” on a technical indicator ( RSI ) now..
Why SHOULD I ” RISK MORE “…..by trying to SELL into the market…….RIGHT !
= & Gt; When all the ” HINTS ” are yelling BUY…BUY….BUY……..currently ….
So please seriously note this warning of mine above ya….
IF You’re also one such trader who likes to ” Straddle ” the market…whenever You spot a TRIANGLE formed..
But the thing is that..
…till now….Your trading results are just ” miserable ‘….so far.
Then it’s time You ” change ” that kind to approach..
to a PROVEN one like mine…..( in order to Secure HIGH-WINNING-ODDS……day in….day out. )
Having said the above..
Let me proceed with the ” Final Trading ( ATTACK ) Plan ” for this trade :
Final Trading ( ATTACK ) Plan :
1) My Buy-Stop Order at Price 1.55546
2) My Stop-Loss at Price 1.55096 ( 45 Pips Risk )
3) My Take - Profit #1 at Price 1.56116 ( 57 Pips Rewards )
………..Take-Profit #2 at Price 1.56426 ( 88 Pips Rewards )
Final ” Rewards vs Risk ” ratio = ( 88 + 57 ) / 90 = 1.6x
1.6x for my Rewards/Risk ratio..
Should I go ahead with this trade ?
Ask any ” Winning trader ” is this a GOOD Rewards/ Risk ratio to implement for this Set-up ?
I am SURE the answer would be ” of course ” también. * smile *
The Outcome This Time Round ?
Here’s the Answer for You !
…..as You can also see on the illustration above.
….both the TP 1 & TP 2 have both been Profited……shortly after the BUY-STOP has been triggered.
But that’s NOT the ” Main thing ” I want You to take notice here though..
….Did You notice how ” STRONG the BULLISH Force ” is……ONCE it BREAKOUTs of that ” Triangle ” ?
That’s exactly what I mean by the LONGER the ” Price stays SQUEEZE in that Triangle “..
…the MORE EXPLOSIVE the Breakout would be …..once it happens.
And by looking at the above chart Yourself..
You can definitely understand why I choose to deploy a ” BUY-STOP ” at that CERTAIN level….
Also……even after my TP #2 has been Profited.
…the Bullish Force still manages to PUSH the Price for another 100 Pips too !
Now tell me…..if that is NOT considered ” Strong & Fury kind of BULLISH FORCE ” existing in the market…
…then I don’t know what should that be called then !
A nice battle WON ….isn’t it ?
Just like the old saying goes..
& # 8221; Once You have a SOLID Trading ( Attack ) PLAN on hands…..it is already considered HALF the Batttle WON. & # 8221;
…with a ” Good Rewards vs Risk ” ratio for each position I take on….
Now You know why I can have NO PROBLEM achieving a sub 60% Accuracy ……
…in order to LAND myself in the ” Without Fail Profit Zone ”.
Talking about that..
Here’s the actual Earnings Screen-Shot ( with Entry, SL & TPs ) to share :
My Divergence Trading Strategy for the USD/CAD
Previously in the GBPCAD example above…
You have seen how I capture a ” Major Reversal BREAKOUT ” happening in the forex market …
…..which rely on my ” unique ” Approach combining :
=>…..Bullish Divergence Strategy + Price Actions’ ( to enhance my Accuracy )
Now in Part 2…
Of course I would NOT be sharing on the ” SAME strategy ” ….again..
…because that is Only wasting my time…
…and You DON”T get to learn ” new strategies ” with that..
So this time round….
I would be relying on a ” Divergence Strategy ” to help me capture a BEARISH TREND CONTINUATION in the USDCAD pair.
So without much further ado..
…fasten Your seatbelt…..and let’s ROLL again !
These Are what Most Traders Are Doing ( WRONG ) :
….and MOST of them just DO NOT Know how to overcome that !
From the USDCAD chart above…
…You can also see that it is obviously in a ” Down-Trend “ currently… ( with a NEW LOW being created in the market !)
So what most traders would do…
…..is they would wait for the Price to ” retrace ” to the PREVIOUS Support Level….( as mark by that Orange Line )
….and then SHORT again from there.
Because they’re hoping that by following a certain TREND TRADING BELIEF that has been taught in most textbooks about :
& # 8230 ;. & # 8221; Support Turns Resistance ( for a Down-Trend ) ” & # 8230;
….they could WIN any ” SHORTING Position ” easily simply by following that belief…
However, this is what happens next when they actually SHORT at that level again :
As You can also see from the chart above…
…the Price did NOT ” rebound ” at the Previous Support ( orange line ) at all…
And when this ” unexpected ” happens ……they would experience either of these :
1) Getting their stop-loss HIT…( because MOST traders would definitely place their Stop just ABOVE that Orange Line. )
2) For those that prefer to use a ” mental stop “…..and upon seeing that ” Strong BULLISH Candlestick ” CHARGING up.
…they would ( normally ) CUT-LOSS at that level.
In order to protect their capital ….in case the pair goes CRAZY for ” reason that’s beyond out control. & # 8221;
So having got STOPPED-OUT at the ” previous support level ( orange line )…”
They would tend choose to SHORT at the ” Next Support Level again ( Purple line ) “….
….because that’s exactly what most textbooks are teaching about the principle of ” Support turns RESISTANCE “….during an DOWN-TREND. ( which this USDCAD seems to be now….on the surface. )
So MOST ” Not - In-The - Know ” traders would tend SHORT again at the Purple Line level..
….thinking that this time round….it should be FINE……and they should ” be abled to CATCH ” the Down-Trend TURNING Down again.
Simply due to the reason that at this level….it is ” rather HIGH ” now..
Kind of like getting ” Complacent ” ….thinking that everything would turn out WELL….
The common ” Ignorant ” kind of thinking most ( struggling ) traders definitely possess…
And here’s what happen next when they actually choose to SHORT AGAIN at that ” Purple Line ” level :
Although these traders already ” feel that ” the market is already ” quite high ” for a DOWN-TREND….at the Purple Line level..
( which is the 2nd Previous Support before the Price PLUNGED into a Down-Trend )
However….for the 2nd time, the Price VIOLATED that level again…
and if You look at the chart above……the Price even ” made a NEW HIGH “….with a ” rather STRONG looking BULL Candlestick ” too…
So for another time….their ( SELL ) position got Stopped-out AGAIN.
With that….it also means they had literally LOSE TWICE in a row now !
And for those traders whose ” Trading Psychology is NOT THERE YET “….
…they would naturally want to ” FIGHT the market ….again “…..so as to MAKE BACK those losses Previously..
So again……..( following the technique that MOST Textbooks/ SCAMMY GURUS taught on )….
They decide to SHORT one more time into this USDCAD pair..
And this time round, they would SHORT at the ” Resistance TREND-LINE ” just above…. ( yellow line )
At the very sametime…….they are feeling ” even MORE Complacent ” perhaps..
Thinking that since that Price has ” CLIMBED SO HIGH ” Now….for a DOWN-TRENDING market..
They must be ” A Lot Of PIPS ” they can nail from ….when this Down_Trend RESUMES later on !
So they ” eargerly ” waited for the Price to reach that level near to the ” Resistance Trend Line “. ( Yellow Line )
But Only to SEE such ” Disappointing Situation ” next :
The Market…..instead of literally climbing further and hitting that ” Resistance Level “ ( as marked by the yellow trend-line )
…only to PLUNGE fiercely DOWN shortly after ” Violating ” the 2nd Resistance Level ( marked by Purple Line.)
When this kind of ” situation ” caught You by surprise…”
And on that of that……considering that You already ” LOSE 2 times in a ROW ” previously..
How would You ” Feel ” upon seeing the market goes the WAY YOU WANTED to trade on previously ?
But instead of ” making some Pips from that Down-Ward move…..and perhaps help recover some of the Losses earlier “..
…You’re can ONLY witness such ” undesirable situation ” happening before You…….helplessly…
& # 8230 ;. & # 8221; Really Detrimental ” for most traders to experience that…..no doubt !
If You’re reading this article of mine now…..and You’re STILL NOT getting the kind of ” Trading Success ” that You want..
…then I am very SURE this is also one of the ” Major Challenges ” that You’re facing very often too.
Don’t need to worry if that’s the case.
Let me share with You ” My WAY ” of overcoming such nasty situations …( definitely ONE that always put most traders ” in a terrible dilemma “…)
…and hopefully next time round, You would KNOW what to ” do ” when facing such ” Dilemma ” again !
My Time-Tested Trading Approach To Overome Such ” Terrible Dilemma ” & # 8230;
( whenever we traders try to decide WHEN to go into the market to ride on the Trend-Continuation again. )
Let me pull up the first chart again to help with Your understandings first :
I am sure it is ” very easy ” for even a total NEWBIE to tell that this USDCAD pair is in a Down-Trend …
Those that JUMP in instantly to SELL into the market…..at this current ( LOW ) Pricing..
….I think I don’t need to elaborate on ” the ( Pathetic ) consequences ” they would be encountering 99.9% of the time !
On the other hand….
For the majority of remaining traders, they ” somehow KNEW ” that they have to wait for the Price to ” Pull-back / Retrace ” first….
In order to ” Sell at a BETTER & HIGHER Price ” again……( instead of SELLING LOW like the first group )
So normally, they would just follow the ” Method taught in most textbooks ….or advertise by those Marketers-In-Disguise ( traders ) “….
= & Gt; They would SELL at the few POTENTIAL ” Support Turns Resistance ” Level within that portion of the Down-Trending market..
And normally….they would attempt to SHORT at the ” First ” one…
….when that Fails….they would attempt to SHORT AGAIN at the ” second ” one..
….when that Fails again…..they would then attempt to SHORT another time…..at the ” 3rd ” one…( if there’s any ….and for this case, it would be that Yellow Trend Line I indicated in the chart above )
They are basically doing ” everything ” except ONE..
…which is on ” gathering Important HINTS ” from the market itself …..in order to put together a ” SOLID Confluence ” to support their SHORTING bias..
When the market is ” Going to RESUME the Down-Trend for REAL “…..it would leave ” Hints / Footprints ” in the market ….most of the time.
So it is definitely CRITICAL that WE ( traders ) gather as many of such HINTS / Footprints as possible…
…in order to help CONFIRM our trading bias.
Only with that….that the ” Trading Accuracy ” would be HIGH.
Because WITHOUT achieving that….it is simply ” Wild Guesses ” after all..
And sadly….that’s what most ( struggling ) traders are doing….
Hence their entire trading journey is ALMOST ” Terrible & Disappointing “..
Basically…..stay STUCKED in the ” ( common ) losing cycle ” most traders have to encounter on…..
And when You do NOTHING about it….but ONLY ” Hoping ” that everything would turn out FINE for You..
….the end result is normally ” Disastrous “…..proven !
As for myself…
I would ” already KNOW what are the HINTS I need BEFORE committing into a SELL position “…….upon seeing a ” developed Down-Trend ” prevailing in this USDCAD pair.
Here’s the chart again for You again :
I certainly KNOW that the market would ” Pull-Back / Retrace ” after a PLUNGE.
But the ” millions dollars question “ is about :
“…WHEN would the Down-Trend RESUMES again. & # 8221;
So based on the question above..
Isn’t it obvious that we should wait for the ” SHOW THAT ( first ) “….?
…INSTEAD of simply SHORTING at the ” Potential Turning Resistance Level “….BLINDLY. ( like most losing traders are doing )
Here’s How I ACE this situation :
(Combining DIVERGENCE Approach + Price Actions’ WAY. )
Soon after….the market started to ” Pull-back / Retrace ” to the ” first Resistance Point “…( as marked by the Orange Line )
When the price is at that level….we CAN”T just SELL directly into the market….( PRESUMING that the Price would Resume Bearish then. )
…that’s ” naive “…..I would say.
The Market has to show the ” Footprints / Hints ” first…..remember ?
So since there is NO ” Footprints / Hints ” at all at this level…
I shall step aside first..
I know with the ” current market conditions ” as shown in the chart above..
A lot of traders would start to enter for their SELL positions…..because the market is starting to show ” some Bearish Movements…..”
There are also some ” Reversal Candlestick Patterns being formed in that level now “…..such as a ” Evening Star / Inverted Hammer “..
That’s why I am so sure that there would be ” A Lot of Traders ” WILLING to jump in and start SELLING..
But NOT Me though.
Because with what I ” see on the chart ” above..
The ” Confluence ” that I need in order to make me COMMIT into my SELL…..is not even there yet.
So there is really ” No Logical Reason ” for me to enter for my SHORTING at all !
Agree on my saying above ?
Here are the ” Individual Critical Elements ” that help derive the
& # 8221; SOLID CONFLUENCE ”
in order to TRULY CONVINCE myself…. to Commit into a SELL !
( 1st Critical Element Gathered By Me ) :
That level ( marked by the Purple Line ) is approximately at the 50% FIBO retracement definitely.
I certainly know that ” alot of the traders ” out there would ONLY use this retracement tool for their buy / sell.
And they even place GREAT EMPHASIS in it to decide whether to Buy / Sell into a position.
But that’s NOT ” My preferred style ” aunque.
Because MOST of the time…..the market would ” RANGE ” from the 50% - 80%….or even 100% retracement when a ” double top formed in there ” …..( using this FIBO tool )
That is why I only ” take note ” of this 50% Fibo Retracement level…
And continue to gather other ” Important HINTS ” to help derive the SOLID ( Selling ) CONFLUENCE I need..
( 2nd Critical Element Gathered By Me ) :
The ” 2nd Important HINT ” that I gathered shortly after ” noting on the 50% Fibo Retracement level “……is a POTENTIAL BULLISH DIVERGENCE. ( as shown above )
Because I am a ” PURE Price Actions ” kind of trader…
…it is obvious that I DO NOT rely on any ” technical Indicator ” at all for my market analysis..
So whenever I suspect that ” a Potential DIVERGENCE ( whether Bullish / Bearish ) ” could be forming..
I would just ” confirm ” with the technical indicator for this purpose.
( PS. Even WITHOUT capturing that BEARISH DIVERGENCE as shown above…..I can still gather the SOLID CONFLUENCE I need in order to COMMIT into a SELL position. Do read on for now as I am revealing that later below for You to understand on )
Take a look at both ” Point A & B ” on the chart above……along that ” Up-sloping Blue Line ”
Point A => & # 8221; Evening Star Pattern “ ( very obvious on that )
Point B => & # 8221; Bearish ENGULFING Pattern ” ( obvious on that too )
Both are ” Reliable ( BEARISH REVERSAL ) Candlestick Pattern ” indeed !
And they are found at these ” Critical Levels ” in the market too !
What does that tell me about the ” Real Dominating FORCE ” in the market then ?
Very highly that the ” SELLERS ” are starting to park in their SELL orders…..right ?
Hence resulted in such ” Evening Star + Bearish ENGULF ” at the 2 TOPS..
Which also ” Coincide with the BEARISH DIVERGENCE ” I found…
So did I SELL into the market having gathered the ” 2 Important HINTS ” so far ?
NO…not yet though.
Because for my ” own standard “….that is still ” Risky ” to SELL into the market.
Due to the FACT that the ” Money Zone ” is NOT even showing in there yet…
Why should I ” RISK ” unnecessarily…..right ?
Alright…..now can You see that ” Orange ( diagonal ) SUPPORT Line ” I indicated above ?
No doubt the ” Bearish Engulfing REVERSAL Candlestick Pattern ” looks rather TEMPTING for me to SELL at that level…( considering I have already gathered 2 IMPORTANT HINTS so far now …)
Yes….there’s still a ” But ” here…
What IF The Market FAIL to BREAK-THROUGH that ” Orange ( diagonal ) SUPPORT Line ” ?
…since it is STILL in a ” Healthy UP-Trend Channel ” NOW.
So isn’t is ” Logical ” that I wait for the Price to VIOLATE that Diagonal SUPPORT ( orange line ) first ?
….before jumping into the market and ONLY FAIL to achieve the ” LOW RISK…..HIGH REWARDS ” set-up that I am ( Only ) KEEN ON….for every position I am taking on in the market !
I know for most traders….it sounds ” common sense “…on the above.
But when it’s time to consider the ” real facts “….in the LIVE ( messy + chaotic ) forex market…
You guys would simply get ” confused & lost ” then….most likely.
What’s the reason to that ?
Because I am making ” everything so easy to understand ” here for You guys.
Especially HOW I gathered the ” IMPORTANT HINTS ” so far…
PLUS…..why am I NOT WILLING to sell into that market till now…
All the while….I am the one ” feeding ” You the ” Critical CONSIDERATIONS “…
But when it YOUR turn to face such ” Dilemma ” in the market…
Most would just ” Surrender “….and could NOT trade in such a ” Defensive WAY ” like me.
In order to SECURE-HIGH-WIINNING-ODDS……again & again……regardless of whether I am Selling / Buying into the market.
So if You are really ” serious ” about being as Good & Competent as me….as regards to gathering the ” IMPORTANT HINTS ” to help You make ACCURATE Trading decision..
….especially to help You AVOID those ” Lousy & Unreliable ” set-ups…
Then it is really putting in ” a little more effort & time ” to master every single ” Critical Elements ” that You can take-advantage of from the LIVE market for that purpose.
Whether is it…..Fibo retracements….or….Patterns Trading….or….Candlestick Formations….or Resistance / Support…..or Divergence Trading…..etc…etc
The fact is that …..
The MORE You know about the ” Individual Critical Element ” that occurs in the LIVE market..
….and can Confident ” Recognize them ” when they are there……to help with Your trading decision.
The ” MORE ACCURATE ” You will be by then.
That’s for sure !
And I am a Very Good Example on that……judging on the so many ” super-useful ” articles I wrote to share about my Price Actions’ Trading Approach in my blog so far !
Alright…more on that later.
Let me proceed with the ” Rest of the Attack Plan ” for Dominating the Down-Trend in this USDCAD pair again next :
So to help You recap again.
With all the ” IMPORTANT HINTS ” I gathered so far..
I am STUCK in this current situation whereby I could NOT do anything else..
UNLESS…..the Price BREAK-DOWN of the ” ( orange ) Diagonal SUPPORT Line “…..as I already mentioned earlier..
& # 8221; But Aaron….You already gathered so many HINTS so far…..if the Price did NOT violate that SUPPORT LINE……You just continue waiting FOREVER. & # 8221;
YES…..that’s for sure !
Only when that ” condition ” is fulfilled..
Then I would Proceed into the next stage of ” Looking for Optimal Entry ( using Price Actions ) …..in order to achieve the kind of ” LOW RISK…..HIGH REWARDS ” set-up I ALWAYS want…
Before that happens….if I STILL choose to commit into a SELL…
….then that’s ” truly IMPULSIVE + ILLOGICAL ” comercio.
Which at my ” current level “….I WOULD NOT be doing those ( nonsense ) anymore……for sure too !
That’s why I am ” Successful ” for 5 years+ now…….( in a trading game where only LESS THAN 5% Made it…..in the LONG run. )
Here’s what Happens Next :
After waited ” patiently ” for a few hours…
The Price ( finally ) BREAK-OUT ” Downward “……and Violating that ( Orange ) Diagonal SUPPORT line that’s ” Obstructing ” yo.
So having seen that..
I then drop to the next smaller time-frame ( which is the 1 hourly ) ….to start monitoring the Price Actions in ” finer details “….
…in order to capture ” Optimum Entry & Stop-Loss placement “….to help me achieve the ” LOW RISK…..HIGH REWARDS ” set-up I always WANT !
Previously, all the charts’ analysis are taken from the ” 4 hourly time-frame “.
But this time round, the one above is taken from the ” 1 hourly time-frame ” en lugar.
Because as I mentioned earlier that I need to drop to the ” next smaller time-frame ” to monitor the ” DETAILED Price Actions in the market “.
So that I can catch the ” Very start ” of a DEVELOPING Down-Trend that follows ….
Upon spotted the situation above whereby the ” Price BREAK-DOWN ( of that Orange Diagonal SUPPORT Line ) “…..
…..and actually ” Formed a BEARISH ENGULFING Candlestick Pattern ‘ in the market..
I STILL ” did not ” commit into a SELL though..
Simply because I ” don’t feel comfortable ENOUGH ” ……Shorting at that level…
But since I have the ” Potential Rewards / Risk ratio ( Achievable ) “……..ALREADY PLANNED FOR…
I definitely ” Knew ” that I still have ” AMPLE allowance ” to WAIT slightly further…
More Critically is that….I need to SEE a ” Much BETTER Set-up ” in the market first…
Before Finally Commiting into this SELL.
YES !…..You can say that I am being ” Super Careful “….or even ” Extremely Careful ” & # 8230;
I WON”T deny that for sure. * LOL
But isn’t that….the ” way ” to be ?
…in order to secure HIGH-WINNING-ODDS in the market…..day in ….day out ?
Agree too right ?
Next, this is what I saw….( and I LOVE IT VERY MUCH ) :
Look at the chart above….
Can You actually make out why I said :…. & # 8221; I LOVE what I SAW in there ”.
(…. that ” Finally ” Convince Myself to COMMIT into my SELL position. )
It’s ok ….if You can’t guess it..
Because after I explained the ” details ” below….You would Understand then.
Which is MORE IMPORTANT for You now ( to enhance Your PA trading knowledge )….right. * smile *
These are the ” Invidual Critical ELEMENTS ” that I saw then…..( that I truly LOVE. ) :
1) Price ( again ) BREAKOUT of the ” Critical Support ” ( indicated by the Blue Horizontal Line )
2) At the very same BREAKOUT, it actually created a ” FULL BODIED BEARISH CANDLESTICK ”
3) When You take into account the ” 2 little dojis ” on the LEFT of that FULL BODIED Bearish Candlestick..
….that is a ( very ) Strong Indication of the HUGE SELLING FORCE in there.
That’s why resulted in these ” Special ( Bearish REVERSAL ) Candlestick Formation ”
Some would treat that as ” 2 Dojis + One FULL-BODIED Bearish Candlestick “…
…while some others would treat that as a ” Evening Star ( Bearish REVERSAL ) Candlestick Pattern ” though…
BUT to me….it is NOT that important which one did I consider them as…
Taking into account the ” Few CRITICAL ELEMENTS ” I have ( already ) GATHERED so far……( exactly like what I mentioned above since the beginning of this USDCAD Divergence article )
…up till this point where I spotted the ” Actual SELL ENTRY ” …..shown in the chart above..
I have already ( Successfully ) GOTTEN the ” SOLID CONFLUENCE ” I need…..
…in order to CONVINCE myself into my ” Final SELL “….for this USDCAD pair.
Yes….You can definitely say that I am being ” Extreme Cautious ” here…
I definitely agree so..
…and I even THINK that……that’s ” Mandantory ” too !
As far as ” trading ” is concerned. * smile *
Any objection You have on that ?
I wish to know definitely….
On the chart above, I only shown You my ” Entry & ( strategic) Stop-Loss ” for this trade.
Next, let me show You my ” Take - Profit Targets ” planning..
So as to make this ” Trading ( ATTACK ) Plan ” complete !
Here it is for You :
In case You’re wondering how come the chart above is ” slightly different ” from the one earlier on..
It’s because I am capturing from the ” 4 hourly ” this time round….
…in order for You guys to see the ” 2 Take-Profit Target Levels ” I have planned for this ( Attack ) Plan.
So as You can also see that :
1) My TP 1 is at Price 1.01140 ( 55 Pips Rewards )
2) My TP2 is at Price 1.00890 ( 80 Pips Rewards )
If You have been reading on my Forex Trading Empire blog all these while..
OR….have been following those articles I wrote sharing the Strategies that I deploy to ACE the ” different kind ” of market conditions..
…then You would already know by now that I am always planning my Take-Profit targets in the ” Range of 50 - 90 Pips “…
…for almost ALL of the ” Intra-day positions ” I am taking on in the market.
Because they ‘re ” realistic “…and ” Easily Fulfilled “..
ONCE You can also capture onto such ” Healthy & Profitable ” Trend like I do…
Of course NOT forgeting the ” Optimal ENTRY + STOP-LOSS Placement ” too….in order to achieve a ” Almost Perfect ” Trading ( ATTACK ) Plan !
Limiting ” wild guesses ” to a BARE-MINIMUM.
But soley based on the ” FACTS ” prevailing in the market…..which is the Price Actions !
Notice that too by now right.
And here’s the Outcome for You for this USDCAD Divergence trading :
So is this a ” Winning ” trade end of the day ?
The chart above says it all…..right. * smile *
With my ” SELL Entry ” at => Price 1.01690
& # 8221; ( Strategic ) Stop-Loss ” at => Price 1.02040 ( 35 Pips Risk )
TP #1 at => Price 1.01140 ( 55 Pips Rewards )
TP #2 at => Price 1.00890 ( 80 Pips Rewards )
So what’s the ” Rewards / Risk Ratio ” for this trade ?
80 + 55 = 135 Pips ( Rewards )
35 x 2 = 70 Pips ( Risk )
I twice it because I am ” executing the Partial 50% exit….” ….remember still ?
Nevermind if You don’t….as I have included the ” actual Earnings Screen-Shot ” below for You too.
135 / 70 = > about 1.9X.
Is that a good ratio ?
Ask any ( winning ) traders around….I dare say they would ” agree ” también. * smile *
Here’s the Actual Earnings’ Screen-Shot To Share
( with the actual Entry, SL & TPs )
( USDCAD 1st Partial Exit ).
( USDCAD 2nd Partial Exit ).
My Conclusion for You :
Alright……having explained so much till this point.
Maybe some of You would be ” rather confused ” with the DIVERGENCE Trading Approach that I use to Profit from the GBPCAD & USDCAD above.
It is ” perfectly normal ” to seem abit ” lost “ for now……..( especially if You’re complete NEW with Price Actions trading )
Take Your time to go through the entire article once again.
……stay ” EXTRA Attentive ” on my DECISIONS-MAKING-PROCESS ……..while I am in a ” Trading Dilemma “…
That is solely the ” Critical Aspect ” that separates a WINNING trader from one that is ” forever losing & struggling ” in the market….
DON”T waste Your time chasing after those ” Magical / Holy Systems ” being selling around by the Dis-Honest Merchants posing as ” Professional Traders “…….
( if You have been doing that previously……Please STOP now )
….that would only lead You to achieve NOTHING….eventually.
Because those systems just do NOT work in the long run….at all…..but most likely BURST Your trading acccount/s instead.
As I have already specially emphasized before that there is NO WAY any of the so called ” Forex Robots / Softwares ” could read into the market RAW PRICE ACTIONS ….with such Accuracy as I did.
Or rather…….they just could NOT compare to ” Our Human Brain ” ….as regards to reading such Price Actions to help us make ” More Accurate Buying / Selling Decisions “.
YES……it would definitely requires some “ effort & time ” on Your part …..if You’re totally NEW to trading using such ” DIVERGENCE + Price Actions Approach “……like I explained earlier.
But as long as You are willing to master ” One Single CRITICAL ELEMENT…..one at a time “.
…in no time, I am SURE You would also ” SUPERCHARGE ” Your trading skills TREMENDOUSLY …… from Your current level.
And even start to RAKE IN such Profits from trading the
& # 8221; Divergence ” occurring in the Forex market
( like I do as well for the GbpCad & UsdCad trades ) :
Most Importantly….You would be ” Losing Much LESSER “….
each time when You’re Wrong.
Losing ” Much Lesser ” when You’re WRONG….
AND….” Winning Much MORE “…..when You’re RIGHT.
( PS: Just do the math based on the actual earnings of mine above….and You would know what I mean by WINNING MORE….Losing LESS ! )
Isn’t that the ” Most IDEAL WAY ” to trade the financial in the long run.
Obviously right. * smile *
And I truly believe that ….=> & # 8221; YOU CAN Also Do it too ….if You ( seriously ) want to Succeed. & # 8220;
Of course by then…. I would be waiting for Your ” Success Story “ & # 8230;
OR perhaps even announcing to me that You are ALSO ” Trading Full Time Now “.
….and have finally quitted Your Day-Job then ….( NO MORE RAT RACE FOR YOU it means. )
YES….I really look forward to my readers achieving the kind of ” Envious Success “…..just like what I have been enjoying for the past 5 years+ too.
It definitely gives me a form of “ Satisfaction ” that money cannot buy ….( upon knowing that. )
Alright…..so much on this sharing today.
Thank You for taking the time to read till this point…
Happy reading, learning & trading for now ya.
To Your FOREX SUCCESS,
Trading strategy: Divergence Candlestick
Divergence strategies are based on the divergence between the direction of the market price and the direction of an indicator. These strategies assume that when the market price and the indicator increasingly diverge, the market price will change direction. The Divergence Candlestick strategy uses candlestick patterns to generate trading signals. The signals are filtered by a unique slope filter which compares the slope of the market price and the slope of the RSI indicator. The strategy is based on a suggestion made by German trader-coach Thorsten Helbig .
La estrategia en detalle
The WHS Divergence Candlestick strategy is usually applied on a 60-minute chart. There are two steps:
Step 1: detecting signals Potential entry signals are given by candlestick patterns. The NanoTrader Full platform is already capable of detecting many candlestick patterns. This tool is part of the indicator list and looks like this:
A potential signal is generated when a Bearish Engulfing pattern is detected. A description of the Bearish Engulfing pattern as well as 7 other patterns can be found here .
Step 2: validating signals All new signals are subjected to a filter which will either accept or block the signal. This unique filter compares the slope of the market price curve to the slope of the RSI curve. The comparison is done by using special charts developed for the purpose. These charts based on moving averages are smoother than the classic charts. Smoothing charts reduces, for example, the number of tops.
The term slope refers to the slope of a special trendline applied to the smoothed market price chart and the smoothed RSI chart respectively. The special trendline is a straight line which connects the last top and the highest top of the previous 5 tops. Por ejemplo:
Both the classic charts and the smoothed charts are visible in the trading platform. The smoothed charts are the thick, light blue curves. The filter accepts a bearish engulfing short sell signal when the trendlines of the smoothed charts diverge i. e. when the trendline of the price chart has an upward (positive) slope and the trendline of the RSI chart has a downward (negative) slope.
In this example the slope of the price chart is positive whilst the slope of the RSI is negative.
Under these circumstances the filter will accept short sell signals based on the bearish engulfing candlestick pattern. This is indicated by the red background in the chart.
¿Cuándo abrir una posición?
A short sell position is opened at the open price of the next candle when two conditions are met:
- The candlestick indicator has detected a Bearish Engulfing pattern. - The special slope filter accepts the signal.
In this example a bearish engulfing pattern was detected (red triangle). The background of the chart is red indicating that the slope filter will accept short sell signals.
¿Cuándo cerrar una posición?
The WHS Divergence Candlestick strategy uses 2 stops. It combines a Breakeven stop and a Time stop. The strategy also uses a profit target.
- The Breakeven stop is 3x the Average True Range (ATR) of the last 20 periods. - The Time stop will automatically close the position after 14 periods. - The profit target is 2x the ATR of the last 20 periods.
APERTURA DE CUENTA
TELÉFONO Y FAX
CUENTA Y TRADING
INFORMACIÓN
APOYO
RSI Hidden Divergence Indicator
One method to look for a golf swing back again toward an extended position pattern is to apply Hidden Divergence. Divergence is really a approach to evaluating the actual splitting up associated with cost as well as a good Indicator because they mind within 2 various instructions. Beneath we now have a good example of Hidden Divergence about the EUR/CAD 8hr graph. To identify Divergence inside the lower pattern, we have to link the prior as well as present levels designated about the chart. Right now, we have to link exactly the same factors upon the RSI Indicator.
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As soon as Hidden Divergence is located a number of buying and selling techniques can be utilized. The easiest type of delivery is actually making use of the actual built-in overbought or oversold amounts upon RSI. Investors may await the candlestick near watching RSI proceed back again beneath the actual overbought degree of seventy.
My personal choice would be to market the actual EUR/CAD upon RSI coming back below seventy (overbought) Entry’s ought to be close to 1. 3350 or even much better. Halts ought to be positioned more than opposition close to 13500. Main revenue focuses on ought to locate a the least three hundred pips from 1. 3050. Option situations consist of cost busting opposition to create greater levels.
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thinkscript rsi divergence
This is RSI divergence strategy occurring on every time frame and its very predictable, its occurring often on 1min chart, few times a week on 5min chart and similar 15 and 60min charts however 15 and 60min charts will get more in points movement and greater accuracy compared to 1 and 5min charts, common situation on 1min chart is triple divergences and i would say its safes to trade only them, this can be applied to all time frame too, but from my observations its less likely to happen but still something to bear in mind. To increase chances for success of this strategy you can wait for it to happen at known support or resistance level but its not always the case as it can happen at any level.
At this point i would like to put some general informations about RSI because i don't know if everyone aware of such:
Bearish divergence occurs in up trend when price makes a new high but the RSI makes a lower high, thus failing to confirm. Bullish divergence occurs in down trend when price makes a new low but RSI makes a higher low.
Sometimes divergence will be clearer to see on the line chart so its worth to switch chart when you see one happening and not sure.
We trading this strategy when on the second or third low in price - bullish/bearish candlestick has occurred, ideally if there is bullish/bearish engulfing pattern, but white hammer after series of red candles, or red shooting star after series of white candles are good too, so basically we enter trade after reversal candlestick in colour opposite to current trend, and place our stop below/above low/high of this reversal candlestick, i found that you can calculate the target by taking the distance similar to the space between low's or highs in the price chart, but its not always the case, can use 2:1 ratio or take profit just on points/money reason, or simply pay yourself asap,
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Hi, nice to meet you here. I hope you enjoy with my blog. OK, today I will share about divergence in Forex trading.
Divergence patterns are the most powerful tools in forex market. You can use them to identify the trend reversal in trading. Most of traders use divergence signal as a trading indicator. But, do you know "the divergence" is? My friend told me that the divergence is price sentiment calculated in relationship to technical indicators ie. Moving average convergence divergence or MACD, Stochastic, RSI or Relative Strength Index and others. In other words, divergence is talk about relationship between technical indicator and market price.
How to recognize the divergence?
Actually there are 2 kinds of divergences. 1. Hidden Divergence, if the technical indicator is trading higher highs or lower lows but the market price isn't 2. Regular Divergence, if the market price is trading lower lows or higher high but the technical indicator isn't
So what is the different between hidden divergence and regular divergence? Hidden divergence is a confirming indicator of the past market price movement and regular divergence shows a market trend reverse that will maybe occur in the future.
So, the divergence pattern actually speak about lower lows and higher highs in market and in the oscillator indicator. Now I want to give you a description about lower low, lower high, higher low and higher high.
If the lower lows or higher highs in both technical indicator or market price are not confirmed each other, the the market trend is likely to change the direction.
Here are the divergence trading signals Higher highs are for sell trading signals and Lower lows are for buy trading signal. Divergence trading signal is very difficult to understand at the first time, and sometime you have to think it over again until you understand.
And here are tips for you, if you want to use this trading pattern as indicator. Naturally market price and technical indicator are move in the same direction, for example: if the market price moves bearish then the it should be followed by bearish movement from indicator and if the market price moves bullish then it should be followed by bullish movement from indicator too.
And if there is different between market price direction and indicator direction then it should be identified as divergence pattern. And divergence pattern will bring you trend reversal potential.
Understanding the Stochastic Oscillator and Divergence
There are many technical indicators traders use, and among the most common is the Stochastic Oscillator. There are multiple trading methods involving this indictor, including using it to spot divergences . Spotting a divergence can alert to you potential trend reversals, and highlight underlying strength or weakness which may not be easily seen on the price chart. First, let’s take a look at what the Stochastic Oscillator is, and how it is composed, so when you trade with it you’ll know what it’s telling you. Then we’ll delve into divergence and how to use it. I’ll also touch on two other popular stochastic trading strategies, the overbought/oversold and the cross-over .
Quite a mouthful, but the concept is quite simple. The indicator moves between 0 and 100 and reflects where an asset’s price is relative to a given time frame. If the indicator is near 0, the price is very near the low of the time frame you’re looking at. If the indicator is near 100, the price is very near the high price of the time you’re looking at.
This indicator is quite customizable, since it has three main variables you need to select, as well as some additional options depending on which charting platform you use.
Figure 1. Stochastic Oscillator – MetaTrader 4
The graphic above shows what you can expect (or something similar) when you add a Stochastic Oscillator to your chart. %K is the number of time periods you want to use in the calculation. If you use a 1 minute chart to trade, you may want to set this to 5 or 7, and therefore the indicator will be based on the last 5 or 7 minutes respectively. Above it has been set to 5.
“Slowing” allows you to smooth out the fluctuations of %K. Set it to 1 and your %K line on the indicator will jump back and forth rapidly. Set it to 3 and it will gyrate at a slower pace. Which you choose will depend on how active of a trader you are. Above it has been set to 3.
%D is a moving average of %K. This once again smooths out the %K line slightly. %D is usually shown as a dotted line, which tracks the %K line on the indicator. In the graphic above, 3 has been selected for this variable. Therefore, %D will be a 3 period moving average of %K.
The Price Field allow you to select which prices will be used in the stochastic calculation. In the example above the High/Low has been chosen to capture all the price data in the bar. Alternatively, you can choose to use the closing price.
The final option is to choose which type of moving average (MA) you’ll use. Using a simple moving average is the most common method, but you can also choose between exponential, smoothed or weighted moving averages. The different averages respond in your own way to price movements, and therefore, some knowledge of moving averages will help in determining which to use. Stick with the Simple MA if you are unsure which to use.
Figure 2 shows a EUR/USD Stochastic based on the selected criteria above.
Figure 2. EUR/USD with Stochastic
Source: Oanda – MetaTrader
Now that the stochastic is set up, you can start to look for divergence. A divergence occurs when the indicator doesn’t move in-line with price. For example, the price makes a new high, but the stochastic fails to reach a new high. Or, price makes a new low, but the stochastic fails to make a new low. The former is a case of bearish divergence, because it signals potential weakness, and the latter is a case of a bullish divergence because it indicates potential strength.
When a divergence occurs, it should put you on guard for a potential change in price direction. Although, divergence is not a timing indicator; it may take some time for a reversal to occur following a divergence. Therefore, don’t trade just on divergence .
When you have a bearish divergence, wait for the price to break lower before going short/buying puts. Figure 3 shows the price making new highs, but the stochastic is not–a bearish divergence indicating a reversal could be coming soon, and it does.
Figure 3. Bearish Divergence Example
Source: Oanda – MetaTrader
When you have a bullish divergence, wait for the price to break higher before buying/buying calls. In figure 4 below the price continues to make lower lows, but the stochastic does not. This is a bullish divergence indicating a reversal higher could be forthcoming, and the EUR/USD did bounce.
Figure 4. Bullish Divergence Example
Source: Oanda – MetaTrader
Divergence is a not a timing indicator, but this strategy is. Therefore, this strategy can be used in conjunction with divergence, or on its own.
Another common strategy for the stochastic is to look for overbought or oversold conditions. Above 80 is considered overbought, while below 20 is oversold.
Buy (calls) when the price drops below 20 and then rises back above it (not before!) .
Sell (buy puts) when the price rises above 80 and then drops back below it (not before!).
Ideally look to buy (calls) using the oversold (below 20) strategy when the overall price trend is up. This will allow you to enter following a pullback but as the price is starting to rise again.
Look to sell (buy puts) using the overbought (above 80) strategy when the overall price trend is down. This will allow you to enter following a pullback but as the price is starting to fall again.
Refer to charts above to spot potential trades.
A final strategy for the stochastic is to trade cross-overs. This strategy can be used in conjunction with divergence, or on its own.
Buy when the %K line rises above %D (usually the dotted line). Sell (buy puts) when the %K line falls below the %D line.
Refer to charts above to spot potential trades.
The stochastic has three main strategies, and can be used in conjunction with one another, or on their own. When using just divergence, you’ll need an additional method to signal when you will enter a trade. Divergence can last a long time, therefore, wait for the price to confirm the price reaction you are looking for. With multiple variables, the stochastic is very customizable. Tinker with different settings to get a feel for how it acts, and to find variables that work for the time frame and strategies you’re employing.
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Probably the most amazing forex currency trading techniques looking for divergence trading may be the Super Divergence Blueprint that guarantees to coach you to definitely observe chance within diverging market. Working out component consists of two Compact disks that’s packed with information about how to reduce your own danger whenever buying and selling inside a diverging marketplace as well as handle your hard earned money. Additionally, it handles information about how to identify possible divergence marketplaces along with indications as well as designs. The two Compact disks possess two instructional videos as well as fourteen reward e-books which additionally fine detail the fundamentals from the foreign exchange. Incorporated will also be regular membership towards the Assistance as well as Training Discussion board.
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The actual Super Divergence Blueprint is a great instruction component for novices as well as advanced customers who wish to industry within diverging marketplaces. With regard to the buying price of $247, Bill Poulos provides a 45-day cash back guarantee. Because the instruction component is definitely an academic item, you may be certain that you could utilize that which you have discovered in order to industry within additional marketplaces. “Well following several weeks associated with screening, We lastly figured absolutely nothing arrives near to this particular. 54 successful deals inside a strip. I possibly could not really think this, every thing this option experienced explained arrived accurate! For just about all it’s possible energy, In my opinion the real style from the Super Divergence Blueprint is within it’s simpleness. Should you discovered the buying and selling technique which was not at all hard to use which offered a person the actual possible in order to catch or else skipped buying and selling possibilities, wouldn’t a person end up being clamoring to include this for your personal buying and selling toolkit?
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This particular device works technical evaluation associated with share information instantly as well as indicates occasions where a good buyer can buy or even market a specific share. The actual piece associated with share cost versus. period consists of red-colored as well as eco-friendly dots. Red-colored dots match times how the STRATEGY indicates to market, as well as eco-friendly dots match times how the STRATEGY indicates to purchase.
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Meanings: - MACD: Shifting Typical Convergence/Divergence. The actual distinction in between the any period of time as well as short time Rapid Shifting Typical from the share cost - MACD Transmission: The actual EMA from the MACD referred to over - SMA: Easy Shifting Typical. The typical share cost during the last d times
-RSI: Family member power catalog. Changes in between 0 as well as 100. More than seventy is actually regarded as “overbought” (and likely to fall) whilst below thirty signifies “oversold” (and likely to rise)
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Divergence Forex Trading Strategy
What Is Divergence Forex Trading
Divergence is all about lower lows and higher highs. It is a comparison between price and technical indicators. Divergence can also compare spread between the two symbols. Not only in the Forex Trading, but the Divergence can be used to increase the gains in any trading market. Divergence is considered as the leading indicator because it leads price. It is observed when the two symbols that you are comparing appear to move in opposite directions. Divergence can signal a trend continuation or a change expected in trend. The signals given by the Divergence Indicators are used to search the trading opportunities in the signal direction. Many indicators can be used to do Divergence trading such as Stochastic. Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) etc.
Types of Divergence Forex Trading
Divergence is of two types that are the Regular Divergence and the Hidden Divergence. If Divergence can be observed in price but cannot be seen in the Oscillator then this type of Divergence is the Regular Divergence and if Divergence can be observed in the Oscillator but cannot be seen in the price then this type of Divergence is the Hidden Divergence. The traders and investors should use the Regular Divergence in combination with the Hidden Divergence because this combination will increase their winning chances. The winning percentage will depend on the trading style of the traders.
Why use the combination of both types of Divergences Forex Trading
In this combination, the traders should rely more on the Hidden Divergence because using the Hidden Divergence the traders and investors trade in the trend direction. On the other hand, the Hidden Divergence forms in the opposite side of the trend direction and attempts to reach a bottom. So in an attempt to reach a bottom, the indicator may fail and if the traders and investors open a position at this moment then their trades may go in loss. This is the reason why the traders and investors should use the Regular Divergence in combination with the Hidden Divergence so as to minimize the chances of their predictions going the wrong way.
When the traders should trade Divergence
Divergences that are observed on the longer time periods are more accurate than those observed on the shorter time periods because less false signals are given by the Divergences observed on the longer time periods. Profit potential will be huge but the number of trades will be less. The Forex traders and investors should not trade if they observed the Divergence on the chart but the price of the currency has already spend some time in moving in the opposite direction.
A comparison of Regular and Hidden Divergence is shown in the figure below.
Divergence Forex Trading
Re: Divergence Trading Strategy - Advanced
First I apologize. I thought this was a thread on discussing divergence trading. I thought that the traders log section was for people posting a log of their trades and trading method. My mistake.
Second I posted because I agree with Urma about methods of reading divergence that do not depend upon oscillators like RSI etc.
Third using delta candles to read divergence is hardly black box and I am willing to bet there are other good traders on this forum that use delta candles the same way I do.
Fourth I have been running a free skype room for 18 months where I share my trades live and other share theirs as well. The room has about 30 to 40 members maybe more so there are plenty of folks that can attest to my live trading.
Fifth what good is a log other than an ego massage. Open or join a skype room and call your trades as they happen so the world can see in real time the entries and exit. Posting a log is just another way of past posting.
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Re: Divergence Trading Strategy - Advanced
First, if someone *really* wants to teach me something useful I would willfully bow in respect.
Second, it is usually a good practice in forums to read someone's post before replying. In the case something is not clear, straightforward attacking shows the insecurity of the poster. My method of marking a divergence, as explained previously, cannot be found on internet or textbooks. In any case if it gives some the right to call it 'laughable' and 'herd mentality', I'll let my live log speak who is laughable here.
Third, you made a small post with a chart that had no labels. "key is you see the dvg from the thick blue line." How do you suppose for me to learn about the blue line? and how to assume delta candles?
Fourth, I'm done running a private forum for strictly professional traders. I'm done running chat rooms before that. And I think this stuff is totally off-topic to this thread.
Fifth, it is usually a good practice in forums to read someone's post before replying. In the case something is not clear, straightforward attacking shows the insecurity of the poster. I used the word 'live' along with tradelog every time. Posting within minutes of signal generation is irrelevant if working on daily time frame. For example, the two short calls on AAPL mentioned here http://www. traderslaboratory. com/for. s-model-2.html lack hindsight completely. Similarly the signals I mentioned in this thread are supposed to be carried for weeks, (that is called daily time frame), so they are credible enough even if posted after market hours.
PS: Do not post in this thread the following, you are always free to start your own thread: 1. Charts with mysterious black-box indicators 2. Claims about profitability of a method without log of live trades 3. Please read the starting post, inclusive of these sentences: "BTW, the 'advanced' word in title is more of a cliche". "I will be calling some signals live in this thread, so it will also serve the purpose of a journal. & Quot;
Re: Divergence Trading Strategy - Advanced
It's very easy to stop the arguing or debates (depending upon how it's looked at) via asking the forum manager to change your thread titled to the following.
RSI Divergence Trading Strategy (Live Calls Only)
RSI Divergence Trading Strategy (Real-Time Trades Only)
I say that because when I read the titled and then I see the discussion. it's a little confusing because your first message post seems as if you're the one making live calls and that there's "no requirement" for others to make live calls.
Edit - I enjoy reading threads with live calls (real-time trades or real-time price action discusions). it's just as useful or arguably more useful than hindsight analysis.
Out of curiosity, how do you select which stocks to monitor for RSI Divergence trade signals. Meaning, do you follow a specific type of stock and only watch those stocks for RSI divergence setups.
__________________ Nothing happens when you sit at home. I always make it a point to carry a camera with me at all times…I just shoot at what interests me at that moment. – Elliott Erwitt
Last edited by wrbtrader; 12-10-2011 at 12:39 PM.
First I apologize. I thought this was a thread on discussing divergence trading. I thought that the traders log section was for people posting a log of their trades and trading method. My mistake.
Second I posted because I agree with Urma about methods of reading divergence that do not depend upon oscillators like RSI etc.
Third using delta candles to read divergence is hardly black box and I am willing to bet there are other good traders on this forum that use delta candles the same way I do.
Fourth I have been running a free skype room for 18 months where I share my trades live and other share theirs as well. The room has about 30 to 40 members maybe more so there are plenty of folks that can attest to my live trading.
Fifth what good is a log other than an ego massage. Open or join a skype room and call your trades as they happen so the world can see in real time the entries and exit. Posting a log is just another way of past posting.
Very well said Hunter.
Delta or my moving window of order flow are hardly mysterious black box indicators. While they haven't been around as long as RSI, MACD & Stochastic, many traders are starting to find they improve the efficacy of thier trading and offer more setups than merely spotting divergences.
It may be that the resistance to discussing anything other that price/price divergences is because the topic is out of the OP's depth. Price/Price divergences which are not real divergences at all have been around forever and discarded by those that have suffered the cost of trading them.
Price/Price divegences are hardly divergence because how can price diverge from itself. Divergence between price and buying and selling volumes is another matter and can be a very effective means of noting either reduced or increasing strength behind price.
Price/Price divergence advanced? Apenas. There is indeed a place for logs and that's where this guy should post his "advanced divergence trading strategy."
"Success in the markets is not about instinct, divine inspiration or spontaneous intellectual combustion. It is about intelligent data processing, sound method and the management of risk and resource that is both effective and adaptive to change."
@URMA Would you mind posting some charts showing examples of where your divergence worked and regular price divergence did not work please.
Wow, more historical charts for the mysterious black box indicator.
The indicator for which Mr. Vendor cannot share code or make live calls.
PS: Do not post in this thread the following, you are always free to start your own thread: 1. Charts with mysterious black-box indicators 2. Claims about profitability of a method without log of live trades 3. Please read the starting post, inclusive of these sentences: "BTW, the 'advanced' word in title is more of a cliche". "I will be calling some signals live in this thread, so it will also serve the purpose of a journal. & Quot;
Last edited by Do Or Die; 12-10-2011 at 03:14 PM.
Inicio & gt; Renko Strategies > RSI Oscillator Renko Double Top and Double Bottom strategy
RSI Oscillator Renko Double Top and Double Bottom strategy
Double Tops and Double Bottom Renko chart patterns are perhaps one of the easiest of price action patterns to trade due to their simplicity without much of objectivity involved. However, not all Double Tops and Double Bottom patterns on Renko charts tend to be valid. There are many instances when a double top or a double bottom Renko chart pattern fails miserably despite being a valid Renko price action pattern. This anomaly can however be reduced by using the Relative Strength Index Oscillator. By following a simple criterion, Renko chart traders can almost immediately filter weak double top and double bottom patterns thereby increasing the effectiveness of trading this simple recurring price action pattern on Renko charts. In this article you will learn how to identify the double top and double bottom patterns using Renko charts and the RSI oscillator. This method can be a complete trading system in itself. So if you are looking for a safe and simple Renko trading strategy, read on.
Note that this article presents a trading system that is vastly different to the previous Renko trading strategy on Double Tops and Double Bottoms mentioned here. But this method can be combined to the previous Renko double top and double bottom price action strategy to pick more highly profitable trades.
Brief introduction to Double Top and Double Bottom Patterns
A double top pattern in the Renko chart is formed, when price tries to break previous resistance only to fail and reverse. This twice failed attempt to break resistance tells the traders that the resistance level is quite strong and therefore price is most likely to reverse lower in order to build momentum.
Similarly, the double bottom pattern in Renko charts is formed when price fails to break a previously tested support level, only to reverse and move higher. Double tops and double bottoms are a commonly recurring theme and are especially used in regular candlestick charts as well by price action traders. However, there is a bit of subjectivity involved. Factors such as how strict the criteria should be and how much of leeway can be given for an overshoot of the previous reversal level can play a major role. Text book defined double tops and double bottom patterns are a rarity.
On the other hand, the Double Tops and Double Bottom Renko chart patterns are a common phenomenon with Renko charts and are not quite subjective as well. Therefore, the occurrence of the Renko double top and double bottom patterns are more common in a Renko chart.
Brief introduction to the Relative Strength Index and its use with Renko Charts
The RSI oscillator is a rather versatile oscillator. It is most commonly used as a tool to identify divergence to price. In other words, when the RSI fails to confirm price or when price fails to confirm RSI, a divergence is formed. This divergence points the trader to a possible short term correction of prices. The default RSI settings commonly used is the 14 period applied to close.
When price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, it is indicative of a bearish price action in the short term, also known as a correction.
Likewise, when price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, it is indicative of a bullish price action in the short term. These inconsistencies can therefore be exploited to find short term highly profitable trading opportunities.
Renko Double Top and Double Bottom pattern trading system
This trading system is perhaps the most simplest of all Renko trading strategies. We make use of a fixed box size Renko chart. It could be anything based on your preference; from a 20 pip to 50 pip or even higher box sizes to find long term trade opportunities.
The RSI oscillator is set to 13 periods and applied to HL/2.
The chart below shows how your chart would look like once you have the RSI plotted.
Renko Double Top/Double Bottom RSI Strategy
Renko RSI – Double Top & Double Bottom Trading System Rules
Look for Double Bottoms to be formed on the Renko charts
Look to the RSI to show divergence. Ideally, the RSI should plot a higher low at the second bottom
Enter long at 50% of the Renko box size above the Renko box that showed divergence with initial target set to the mid-point of the double bottom.
Place stops one Renko box size below the double bottom.
Set the final target to the projected distance of the double bottom and move trade to break even or close partially after the first target is set.
Renko Box size is set to 50pips
Double Bottom is formed on EURUSD at 1.3400 (high) after a reversal at 1.36
Long at 1.3425, Stops at 1.335, Target 1: 1.36, Target 2: 1.38
Renko Double Bottom, Long Example
Look for Double Tops to be formed on the Renko charts
Look to the RSI to show divergence. The RSI should make a lower high at the second top
Enter long at 50% of the Renko box size below the second Renko box that formed the double top with an initial target set to the mid-point of the double top
Place stops one Renko box size above the double top
Set the final target to the projected distance of the double top and move trader to break even or partial close after the first target is reached.
Short Trade Example:
Renko box size is 20 Pips
Double Top is formed in USDCAD at 1.10 (low) with a mid-point at 1.08
Short at 1.0990, with stops at 1.1020, Target 1: 1.08, Target: 1.06
Renko Double Top, Short Example
Failed Renko Double Tops and Double Bottoms
The question that might come to your mind is if this system is foolproof. Well, truth is there is no trading system that is fool proof and losses are unavoidable. Despite the Renko double top and double bottom patterns meeting all the criteria, there will still be some failed trades. Which is where money management is essential. The chart below shows some invalid and a perfectly valid trade example that failed.
Renko Failed Double Top and Double Bottoms
RSI and Renko Double Top and Double Bottom Strategy – Other Notes
The following criteria should be kept in mind when trading with this strategy. It not only helps to increase the odds of success trading this renko trading system but also helps to filter out bad trades. Again, these criteria do not make this Renko system fool proof.
RSI divergence difference between the lower highs and higher lows should be at least 2 or 3. Example, never trade a double top or a double bottom if the RSI shows divergence values of 68.1 and 67.5
Failed double tops and double bottoms infer that a greater correction is taking place. Therefore do not just chuck the chart after a trade is failed. Wait for further divergence to be shown in the RSI to re-enter the set up
Greater the RSI divergence difference, higher the probability. Refer to the chart in the Renko double top example to notice a double top pattern formed on the right. This showed a greater RSI divergence with values of 80.3 and 66.8 over a greater period of time
RSI Bullish Swing Strategy
Replies to This Discussion
Excerpts from Investinganswers. com:
"1) When RSI goes above 70 or below 30, it indicates that a stock is overbought or oversold and vulnerable to a trend reversal.
2) A reversal often occurs after bullish or bearish divergence. Bearish divergence takes place when the stock breaks out to a new high, while RSI makes a lower high. Bullish divergence occurs when a stock makes a fresh new low, while RSI sets a higher low.
3) An RSI failure swing provides a trading signal. A bearish failure swing occurs when RSI peaks above 70, goes below that level, tests the first peak, fails, and breaks support on the RSI chart. The bullish failure swing is the reverse.
4) RSI forms patterns, such as triangles or head and shoulders tops and bottoms. Breakouts from these patterns on the daily chart often precede the price breakout by one or two days -- providing the swing trader valuable advance notice.
These four features of RSI often come together to create a high-probability buy or sell signal. Thus, a stock may go over 70, create bearish divergence, form a descending triangle top, and then complete a failure swing. These signals often predict the signal on the price chart.
5) A final use of RSI mentioned in Wilder's book, New Concepts in Technical Analysis . is that "trendlines on the bar chart often show up as support lines on RSI."
Bullish Swing Strategy
PROFIT ALERT: None.
Past few days there were a lot of Alpha Stocks with sharp price gains and sharply rising PPO histrograms. This is a lesson to keep in mind in bottom fishing in the future. For now, it does not appear worthwhile to chase them, so this strategy is on the lookout for these stocks to pull back and reverse up to give us that RSI Bullish Swing Buy Signal for a safer entry.
IN: TNAV, BAS, CLFD, FTK
PROFIT ALERT: None
Market appears weakening and Bullish Swing is not adding new stocks. Current holdings' RSI does not appear to hold up well as of yesterday.
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Divergence
Forex Divergence Indicators - Short explanation
Disagreement between the indicator and price is called divergence. Divergence and convergence, as they are termed, are held to offer predictive value by the technical analyst, since their occurrence is less common than the usual parallel movements of the trend and the oscillator. Divergence and convergence helps the forex trader recognize and react appropriately to a change in price action. Almost all divergence indicators show divergence and convergenceof oscillator and price. Divergence is usually price movement determined in relationship to an oscillator indicator. We would like to propose divergence indicator based on oscillators: CCI, Momentum, MACD, RVI, Stochastic etc. Divergence indicators can be used as a leading indicators. Our MT4 and MT5 Divergence indicators based on fractal divergence. Learn more about fractal divergence. and contains hidden divergence features . Hidden divergence used as a strong signal for a trend resumption.
Super Divergence Indicators
Our company has developed a new type of divergence indicators – super divergence indicators. These indicators are a completely new solution for forex traders. This approach is our unique solution using BJF Trading Group know-how. Experienced traders know that in some market conditions, one type of indicator will give better signals than others. For example, some oscillators perform better when the market shows a trend, but will give many false signals in the lateral movement of the market and vice versa. Aprende más.
Forex Divergence Indicators' Algorithm short explanation
Search for significant peaks on the both metatrader chart and metatrader indicator;
Match pairs of peaks from the chart to pairs of peaks from the metatrader indicator;
Apply main divergence conditions to accept divergence pattern;
Apply user defined filters.
Forex Divergence Indicators - The Benefits
Our Forex Divergence and Convergence Indicators are modern indicators with complex mathematic algorithm with hidden divergence
We have successfully applied new optimized and reliable algorithm to detect divergence patterns
You see divergenses on the both chart and indicator
Divergence is true perfect indicator
Arrows painted above/below the open bar and not in the past. You can see when actually you can trade. It is never to late!
Signals based on closed bars so the arrows above/below open bar never disappear
Indicator does not repaint of past signals
Divergence is customizable indicator
Indicator has a lot of external parameters
You can buy extra version with sound, popup and email alerts
You can order the development of your custom expert based on divergence
Divergence is friendly indicator
Tenga en cuenta que las transacciones de divisas y otros tipos de apalancamiento implican un riesgo significativo de pérdida. No es adecuado para todos los inversores y debe asegurarse de que entiende los riesgos involucrados, buscando asesoramiento independiente si es necesario. Read full disclosure.
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RSI Indicator “Cornerstone” of Andrew Cardwell’s Trading Model
The ideal technical indicator, according to Andrew Cardwell, Jr. is one that offers capability to identify and monitor the current trend, highlight overbought and oversold extremes, and give early warnings of a trend change.
“The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is such an indicator, offering the best of all worlds,” said Cardwell, president of Cardwell Financial Group, Inc. based in Woodstock, Ga. The RSI “is the cornerstone of my trading model,” he said.
Cardwell is a featured speaker at this weekend’s 20th annual Telerate Seminars Technical Analysis Group (TAG 20) conference here.
“In the lectures and workshops I have given, I have shown how the RSI can be used as either a completely independent trading model or an addition to and enhancement of a trader’s current technical approach. I use it as a completely independent model to identify trend, support and resistance, overbought/oversold levels, divergence, trend change, reversal and price targeting.”
Cardwell said most traders who use the RSI focus their attention on trying to identify bullish and bearish divergences. He said basic price and momentum divergence can and does help to identify extreme overbought or oversold conditions in market momentum.
“However, most traders fall prey to the concept of divergence and see it as the end or reversal of the prevailing trend of the market. All would be right in the world if markets were to reverse from simple divergence. But there are times when sentiment and momentum are so strong that the market continues to make new highs (or lows), which will keep the RSI at overbought (or oversold) levels for extended periods of time.
“Momentum and price corrections, when they do materialize, are usually sharp and swift. After these brief respites the market is then ready to resume its normal upward (downward) trend. With each successive new high (low) and divergence formed, anxious traders are ready to call for a top (bottom) and reversal of trend. However, in strongly trending markets, multiple divergences can and do develop, which only lead to corrections of the overbought (oversold) condition of the market.
“If a trader attempted to take positions based solely on divergences, he or she would need deep pockets and eventually exhaust his or her trading capital,” said Cardwell.
While Cardwell takes note of divergence, he said that only shows the market is overextended and needs to correct the overbought or oversold condition. Even though the RSI is considered a momentum oscillator, he said it has more values as a trend-following indicator.
“One of the guidelines I have established for myself is to identify a range for uptrends as well as downtrends. As the market trends higher or lower I will adjust the normal range of RSI (70-30) to account for the shift in market momentum and bullish or bearish sentiment on the part of the traders. The fact that this adjustment needs to be made in the range of RSI is one of the first indications that the market is undergoing a trend change.”
The ability of a trader to recognize a trend change quickly, reverse a position and trade in the direction of that next trend is the skill that traders must develop to be successful, said Cardwell. “By having a position in tune with the trend, the trader will have the opportunity to participate in the bigger market moves, which generate larger profits.”
Cardwell has what he calls “Three Keys to Success: have a trading program, patience and discipline.”
For more information on Jim Wyckoff’s comprehensive daily e-mail market update, weekly top trading opportunities, and bi-weekly chart update, click here: Jim Wyckoff on the Markets
RSI and CCI 5min scalping system
RSI and CCI 5 min scalping system is a momentum trading system. I enter on the close of a candle in a favourable direction when a setup occurs. I see horizontal lines of support and resistance but I don't draw them, just imagine them on the chart. The system doesn't rely on it. I try to find places where price may reverse, so I pay close attention to price when it is near previous levels of support and resistanceor round numbers (ending in 00).
RSI (7 period) . Normally, the RSI is displayed with specific levels for identifying overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels. But for my system, I don’t need those levels because I just use the RSI to identify divergence with price. We’ll talk more about divergence later, so don’t worry about that just yet.
CCI (7 period) t he CCI is at high levels when prices are higher than usual, and it is at low levels if the prices are lower than usual. The CCI can also be used to identify overbought or oversold, but I also use it to identify divergences for trading signals.
Divergence RSI with CCI
Now we’ll talk about divergence. This is the main technique I use for identifying buy and sell trade signals. Normally, the indicators I use, the RSI and CCI, follow price movements. They go up when the price moves up, and they go down when the price moves down. However, there are instances when the RSI and CCI are moving in an opposite direction of the price. This is what we call divergence, and it indicates that the trend will soon change.
When the price makes lower lows but the indicators are making higher lows, you have a bullish divergence.
In the example to the left (below), you can see that I drew a line (A) to connect the lows of the SMA. I also connected the lows of the indicators (B and C). The price is making lower lows, while RSI and the CCI are making higher lows.
This is the basis for divergence in my system, and not the candlesticks. As a comparison, look at the second example. I applied 1 period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the candlesticks. The SMA is looks exactly like the price as it appears on the line chart. The 1 SMA and the line chart are basically the same. When looking for
divergence, be careful not to use the highs and lows of the candlesticks. Instead, look for the highs and lows of the 1 period SMA or the line chart.
When the indicators begin to move up, even if the price is still going down, this means that the price is beginning to gain some momentum in the upward direction. La corriente
downtrend is now weak, and a new uptrend will soon take place. To identify a bullish divergence, the lines are drawn below both price and indicators, and the direction of the lines on the indicators are going up even if the price is going down.
Bearish divergence is the exact opposite of bullish divergence. Here, the price makes higher highs but the indicators are making higher lows.
In the first example below, I drew a line (A) to connect the highs of the price. On the indicator windows, you can see that I drew lines (A and B) connecting the highs as well,
but this time, they are pointing down. The price is making higher highs, while RSI and the CCI are making higher lows.
A bearish divergence indicates that price is losing momentum in the upward direction and beginning to gain some momentum in the downward direction. The trend will soon
To identify a bearish divergence, all lines are drawn above both price and trendline, and the direction of the lines on the indicators are going down even if the price is going up.
Soporte & amp; Resistencia
Support and resistance levels also play an important role in my system because they
can give me a clue of whether or not the price will continue moving in a certain direction.
Miro hacia fuera para estas áreas para las oportunidades de entrar negociaciones de la revocación.
Un nivel de soporte es el nivel máximo más bajo que el precio puede alcanzar. If price has reached the bottom, where it cannot move much lower, then it has hit a support level. Esto ocurre porque la seguridad se considera infravalorada y los vendedores ya no están dispuestos a vender. A level of resistance is the maximum high level that price can reach. Price stops increasing because the security is overvalued and no buyer is willing to buy. Echa un vistazo a la siguiente imagen para ver ejemplos de niveles de soporte y resistencia.
I would risk 3-5% of the account on each trade.
The maximum drawdown is 5%. enter only one trade at a time, and maximum lot size depends on how much money 10 pips is worth, because some brokers are different in that sense. Basically, I
won't have a stop loss larger than 20 pips.
The take profit should be 1:1 ratio based on the stop loss.
Yes, it is based on recent swing high/low plus or minus a few pips.
normally exit trades early, although, I usually move my stop to breakeven when I get ahead by 8-10 pips.
1. On the EUR/USD 5 Minute chart, wait for price to enter an area of interest, such as
previous support/resistance or round numbers.
2. Spot bullish divergence on the RSI and CCI with a line chart, or with an SMA 1 on a
Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low but the RSI or CCI makes
3. From the recent low that shows divergence, wait for a bullish candle to close within
the next two bars.
4. Ingrese largo (comprar) en el cierre de la vela.
5. Ajuste la pérdida de parada por debajo de la oscilación baja.
6. Set the take profit 1:1 based on the stop loss level.
Here’s a buy trade example of the EURUSD 5 Minute chart, a bullish divergence
occurred when the price was making a lower low as shown by line A, but the RSI 7 and
the CCI 7 were making higher lows as shown by lines B and C.
For buy trades, the trigger candle is the candle which closes in the direction supported
by the indicators. So, since lines B and were C sloping up, I looked for a bullish candle.
The next candle after the low was a bullish candle, so I entered at the close of that candle at 1.36039. I then set the stop loss level below the recent swing low at 1.35952. I set my take profit approximately the same distance of the entry to the stop loss level, at 1.36126. In 15 minutes, I got out of the trade with 8 pips of profit.
Here’s another buy trade example on the EURUSD 5 Minute chart. The SMA was
making a lower low (A), while the RSI 7 (B) and the CCI 7 (C) were making higher lows.
The next candle that formed after the lowest low was a bullish candle, so I entered the trade as soon as it closed at 1.36101.
I placed the stop loss level below the recent lowest low at 1.35918, which is 18 pips
from the entry, and so I placed the take profit 18 pips above the price as well, at 1.36281.
The price was ranging for a while, but I kept the trade open to wait for price to reach the take profit or stop loss. Eventually, the trade was closed with 18 pips of profit.
1. On the EUR/USD 5 Minute chart, wait for price to enter an area of interest, such as
previous support/resistance or round numbers.
2. Spot bearish divergence on the RSI and CCI with a line chart, or with an SMA 1 on a
Bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high but the RSI or CCI
make a lower high.
3. From the recent high that shows divergence, wait for a bearish candle to close within
the next two bars.
4. Enter short (sell) on the close of the candle.
5. Set the stop loss above the swing high.
6. Set the take profit 1:1 based on the stop loss level.
1. On the EUR/USD 5 Minute chart, wait for price to enter an area of interest, such as
previous support/resistance or round numbers.
2. Spot bearish divergence on the RSI and CCI with a line chart, or with an SMA 1 on a
Bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high but the RSI or CCI
make a lower high.
3. From the recent high that shows divergence, wait for a bearish candle to close within
the next two bars.
4. Enter short (sell) on the close of the candle.
5. Set the stop loss above the swing high.
6. Set the take profit 1:1 based on the stop loss level.
Here, we have another sell trade example. SMA 1 made a higher high (A) but the RSI 7
and the CCI 7 were making lower highs (B and C). This is a good bearish divergence
The trigger candle appeared when a bearish formed. So as soon as it closed, I entered a sell trade at 1.35437. I then set the stop loss level above the highest high at 1.35537. I set my take profit approximately the same distance of the entry to the stop loss level, at 1.35330 which was easily achieved in 30 minutes. I got out of the trade with 10 pips of profit.
RSI and CCI 5min scalping system Reviewed by learn forex trading on 08:24 Rating: 5
Introduction to RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The relative strength index is a momentum oscillator and is the one most used oscillators by traders. The RSI indicator was invented by J. Welles Wilder Jr. The indicator is used to identify overbought levels, oversold levels, divergences and failure swings. The indicator is usually set for a period of 14 days although the length of the period can be changed. A shorter time period will imply that the indicator will fluctuate greatly but over a long time period, the indicator will be smoothed out. There are two important levels on the indicator, one is 70 and the other is 30. If the RSI indicator rises above 70 then the region is overbought and if the indicator goes below 30 then the asset is oversold. It is measured on a level from 0 to a 100.
We can develop a simple strategy using the RSI indicator. If the asset enters the overbought region then a short position should be considered. Moreover, if the asset enters an oversold region, then a long position should be taken. We have shown an example using the pair EUR/GBP:
We have highlighted the areas on the indicator where buy and sell orders have been placed. The red rectangles are sell orders and the green rectangles are buy orders. As we can see this is a general strategy. When the asset has entered the overbought region, the price of the asset has fallen and the price has increased when it has been oversold. This is a fairly simple strategy.
Another use of the RSI is divergence of which there are two types – bullish and bearish. We shall first consider a bearish divergence and for this we have shown an example using the pair USD/JPY:
A bearish divergence is when the asset makes higher lows (bullish stance) and the indicator makes lower lows (bearish stance). This means that there exists a potential for a reversal to happen to the pair. In a bullish divergence the opposite happens, the asset makes lower lows whilst the RSI indicator makes higher highs. However, it should be noted that divergence can be misleading so it is advisable not to base your analysis of the market solely on divergences. This is because the strength of the trend may overcome the signals given by the indicator.
We next look at failure swings. There are two types of failure swings, bullish failure swings and bearish failure swings. We shall first look at bullish failure swings. We have shown an example of this by using the pair NZD/USD and we have highlighted the region in the indicator:
As we can see the pair is below 30 (oversold region) and the pair then bounces off the 30 level. The pair then pulls back but the indicator stills remain above the oversold region and then we see the indicator break prior highs. A bearish failure swing is when the asset is in an oversold region i. e. above 70 and we then proceed to see a pullback below the level of 70. The indicator then displays a lower high below 70 and we see the asset break a previous low.
RSI is a world-renowned indicator, but the indicator can sometimes falter, especially during divergences. What you see in the market may not actually happen due to the strength of the bulls/bears. In addition, RSI should be used in conjunction with other indicators and fundamentals. This may reduce your losses as you will be looking at the bigger picture.
CFDs, spread betting and FX can result in losses exceeding your initial deposit. No son adecuados para todos, así que asegúrese de comprender los riesgos. Seek independent financial advice if necessary.
Nada en este artículo debe considerarse una recomendación personal. No tiene en cuenta sus circunstancias personales o el apetito por el riesgo.
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Tag: macd hidden divergence strategies
Within Pattern Subsequent Forex currency trading Strategies with Absolutely no Remarks upon ADX-MACD Easy Forex Trending System. This particular foreign exchange trending program is dependant on 2 regular indications, the actual Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) as well as Typical Directional Catalog (ADX). The actual technique uses +Di - DI cross-over program verified through the MACD sign with regard to main pattern path.
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The actual technique may be used upon any kind of foreign currency set as well as period structures over the actual half an hour. The actual instance is really a brief GBP/USD Buck industry about the one hour graph. Within the over determine, MACD is actually buying and selling beneath 0 (starting from twenty three february 2010). All of us wait around till - DI deals over +DI for any brief industry set up. February twenty-four 2010, - DI passes across over +DI.
All of us key in a brief industry from 1. 5407. The cease reduction is positioned 3 pips over the newest opposition degree from 1. 5480. Complete danger about this specific industry: seventy seven pips. Cost goal T1: seventy seven pips by 1. 5 = 115 pips. Cost goal T2: seventy seven pips by 3. 0 = 231. Each revenue focuses on had been strike. Suggestion: Proceed cease reduction about the leftover fifty percent placement (T2) in order to split actually as soon as T1 focus on is actually arrived at, this particular produces the risk-free industry.
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Binary Trading System MACD Divergence from Indicated Strategies
We have published a large enough number of strategies that do not contain indicators. In these strategies trading signals are obtained in most cases due to the break of certain levels. All of these strategies are simple to work with even for the beginners. However, binary options strategy MACD Divergence is simple, though it includes an indicator. But as you get acquainted with it, you will really understand that it is no big deal.
In order to understand how it works, you must understand its tools to the full. MACD is used as an indicator in this strategy. This is one of the simplest indicators. In addition, we only need to know what the divergence is in order to regularly make a profit on such strategy.
So, let’s appeal to the graph.
We have identified divergence on the graph by ascending and descending lines. It is simple enough to find it even without our guidance. Highs of prices continue to be updated at the time as the MACD indicator bars do not update their highs. This divergence is called bearish and after it the price usually goes down.
Basically, this is the essence of the principle of binary options trading – the divergence of MACD indicators and asset prices. As can be seen, the work on this strategy is really simple and it does not need serious knowledge in the field of technical analysis. In the next section we will look at the trading signals that help to work with this strategy.
Next we will tell the traders how to use this trading strategy and how to get the signals over it, since without the signals any strategy is useless. So, the first thing to do is to find a divergence on the graph. As we already noted above, to make it is quite simple. To do this, you must carefully monitor the situation with the extremes of prices and extremes of indicator MACD graph.
Trading signal based on the principle of MACD divergence is obtained by the following principles: after a trader has found the divergence, he determines its type and can open a deal in the direction to which it points. On the example above you can see a bearish divergence. When it starts, the trader is recommended to buy a Put option.
There are also situations when a bullish divergence appears on the graph. In this case, the price continues to update highs, while the curve of the indicator bars does not update the lows any longer. In this case it is recommended to buy a Call option.
This strategy is really very simple, but it has a quite serious drawback, especially for binary options. Any divergence can continue to form, at the time, the trader will believe that it is already beginning to work. That is, there may be a few extreme updates on the graph. Besides, another drawback is that the divergence has the property to work off not against the current trend, but in the lateral direction. In this case, the trader also runs the risk of not getting the profit.
Thus, the binary option strategy MACD Divergence is a quite a simple tool for getting profit. In order to work on this strategy, the trader does not necessarily possess certain knowledge of technical analysis. However, as we mentioned in the article, this strategy has a number of drawbacks that may have an impact on the final result of the trader’s work.
That’s all for now. Got any questions? Just ask the expert!
RSI Divergence Trading Examples for 2014
RSI Divergence Trading Examples can help show you one of the most important ways stock traders use the Relative Strength Index (RSI ) to make more money and reduce risk when investing and trading in stocks. So…
In this blog post I’ll show you some actionable RSI divergence trading examples that have stood out to me lately. These recent and relatively current stock ideas will show you some real time examples of RSI divergences.
And when you’re done reviewing the charts below you should have a much firmer grasp of how trading RSI divergences works in practice. Sound good?
Charts of RSI Divergence Trading Examples in 2014:
Take a look at the stock charts below to see some real life examples of RSI divergences. These are happening on major liquid stocks and are available for all to see. I pulled these charts from stockcharts. com, where anybody can hunt for RSI divergences free. Take a look…
Bed Bath and Beyond (NASDAQ:BBBY) RSI Divergence Example:
BBBY is a mainstream example of RSI divergences in 2014.
Renewable Energy Group Inc (NASDAQ:REGI) RSI Divergence Example:
Sometimes RSI Divergences line up with key events. REGI is experiencing an RSI divergence while completing a controversial acquisition.
IamGold Inc (NYSE:IAG) RSI Divergence Example:
IAG might be an example of a longer-term RSI divergence in 2014.
As you can see from the charts above, there are many mainstream stocks on publicly traded exchanges that serve as great examples of RSI divergences you can swing trade. But there’s one more thing about trading RSI divergences that I should point out…
Trading Bearish and Bullish RSI Divergence Examples:
Now even though the examples above are bullish, you should know that RSI divergences can be traded to the upside or the downside too. So…
Just like the above positive RSI divergences show stocks that are potentially bottoming, a negative divergence can also indicate a potential top in either a particular stock, or even a market index like the S&P-500 or Nasdaq. Make sense?
Not all RSI divergences resolve correctly. But it’s another useful indicator you can add to your toolkit to help you tilt the odds in your favor. I find it works especially well when volume patterns support the RSI trends. Now let me ask you…
Do you have any RSI divergence trading examples to share?
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Predictive RSI Indicator for TradeStation
Predictive RSI Indicator for TradeStation
The predictive RSI indicator is designed to calculate the future price required by any market to achieve a predetermined RSI value on the next bar. This TradeStation indicator offers traders who use RSI the ability to anticipate and plan their RSI strategies one bar ahead.
The predictive RSI indicator draws price bands on a chart displaying the price required to achieve the desired RSI value.
100% Money Back Guarantee You can try these TradeStation indicators for 30 days risk free and evaluate them for yourself. If after purchasing these indicators you decide they are not right for you just let us know within 30 days for a full refund.
Screenshots The chart below shows how the predictive RSI indicator displays lower and upper bands corresponding to the oversold and overbought RSI levels of 25 and 75 when a 5 bar RSI is used.
A chart of DELL with the predictive RSI indicator demonstrating how price exceeded 5/95 intraday and then reversed.
Additional Information The predictive RSI indicator includes the same inputs found in the regular TradeStation RSI indicator allowing you to synchronize the two indicators.
When applied to a RadarScreen the predictive RSI indicator displays the RSI band level for the current bar and the next bar. If prices exceed the current upper or lower bands then the band values change color.
Standard Indicator Features
Various inputs and settings to help customize and optimize each indicator.
Can be applied within TradeStation using various tools, including charts, RadarScreens and scanner.
Option to use TradeStation sound, message and email alerts.
Includes PDF manual.
TradeStation EasyLanguage Functions All our indicators are provided in the form of a TradeStation EasyLanguage function. Easylanguage functions allow you to incorporate our indicators as part of your own TradeStation strategies and indicators.
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Friday night chart – RSI divergence
It’s been a rough few weeks for the Kiwi Dollar with falling milk prices, weak inflation and expectations of a second rate cut at next week’s central bank meeting.
Despite all that, the NZDJPY chart is showing early signs of a possible bullish divergence setup. If price rallies from here, it will confirm a lower low while the 14 day RSI would diverge making a higher low. Not only that, if a rally of any significance gets underway from here it would complete a double bottom pattern on the price chart with a break above the dashed resistance line.
One common strategy for RSI divergence setups is to buy if the RSI closes above its most recent peak after diverging. This is shown by the dashed resistance line in the box below the chart. A close above this resistance would confirm the RSI making both higher lows and higher highs. It would also be rising out of the oversold zone so this might be a strategy to get in early on the double bottom setup. However, if the RSI can’t do this and price keeps falling, there is no setup.
NZDJPY CFD Daily Click to Enlarge
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Artical mt4 indicator rsi divergence
Many forex traders like to incorporate forex breakouts into their overall trading strategy because they can be extremely profitable. When a price finally breaks out of a tight trading range, many traders tend to jump on board and carry the price further away from this trading range, which is why this strategy is so effective. One of the most popular ways of trading these breakouts is by focusing specifically on overnight / opening range breakouts. By that I mean the opening hours of the new trading day. I myself tend to focus on the hours between 00.00 and 06.00 GMT and predominantly concentrate on the British and European-based pairs such as the GBP/USD and EUR/USD pairs, for instance. These hours are notoriously quiet and yet these few hours before the busy opening session set the tone for the rest of the day. You will often find that the price will stay confined in a fairly tight range during these six hours or so and when the UK and European markets open, the price will trend significantly in one direction and will often break strongly out of this initial trading range. Therefore a profitable strategy is to open a long position when the high point of this opening ra.
Thank you for your post.
I think this line means
"no more than one (1) order in same time"
it's the maximum number of simultaneous open position you can have.
I have it in all my other EAs, and that's the way it worked till today, but maybe am I wrong, I'm not a professional programmer.
Yeah I wish I was a professional programmer, life would be so much easier. None the less, as I interpret it means "no more than one order ever",once you have one open position OrdersTotal() returns one which is not less than Maxorders and therefore your "if" will return false and you will exit your logic routine.
Easy test change Maxorders to 3 or 4 and see what happens,
Tag Archives: indicator hidden divergence rsi
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Divergence
Forex Divergence trading is both a concept and a trading strategy that is found in almost all markets. It is an age old concept that was developed by Charles Dow and mentioned in his Dow Tenets. Dow noticed that when the Dow Jones Industrials made new highs, the Dow Transportation Index tends to make new highs as well and when the Industrials index made new lows, the transportation index would also follow suit. This is because when industrial production is high, transportation is used more to ship the goods. During times of recession or slowdown, when production dropped, the transportation would also drop. (read more about DowTheory / Download free ebooks about Dow theory )
The most important of all is when Dow found out that when there was a divergence between the two, it presented a possible change in the markets. For example, when the Dow Industrials made new highs and when the transportation index failed to make a high it indicated that there was some discrepancy. This formed the basis of divergence theory which was soon developed into a trading system on its own.
So, in the context of the forex markets, when price makes a new high, the oscillator also should make a new high. Or when prices make a new low, the oscillator should ideally make a new low. When there is a discrepancy between price and the oscillator a divergence is identified .
Indicators to use for Divergence Trading
To spot the divergences in the forex markets, it is usually done comparing price to an oscillator. The most commonly used oscillators include:
For the sake of clarity, in this article we will explain the concept of divergence trading using the RSI (14) Indicator.
Divergence trade setups can be spotted in any time frames and are classified into two main types.
The table below gives a brief summary of summary of various divergences and what they represent.
The charts below show how each of the divergences can be traded:
The bearish divergence is show in the above chart with price making a higher high but RSI making a lower high. A sell position at the small resistance prior to the high with stops at the recent high targeting the low formed during the divergence shows a high probability trade potential.
The bullish divergence chart above shows price making a lower low while the RSI makes a higher low. A long position can be entered at the top of the bounce after the second low is made with stops at or below the second low with target to the high formed during the divergence.
Hidden Bearish Divergence:
The above chart shows a hidden bearish divergence as price makes a lower high and RSI makes a higher high. The hidden bearish divergence occurs in a downtrend and signals continuation. Therefore, short positions can be taken on the low formed during the divergence to trade in the direction of the trend.
Hidden Bullish Divergence:
The chart above shows a hidden bullish divergence. Price makes a higher low, while the oscillator makes a lower low. Buying on the break of the previous minor rally with stops near or below the second low of price offers a good risk/reward trade, targeting the previous high that was formed.
Divergence Trading – Some important points
Divergence trading is easy and can be traded on any time frame. It can be used with MACD, RSI or any other oscillator for that matter. For best analysis in divergence trading, it is advised to make use of the line chart, especially when using the RSI and it is easier to spot the divergences. Candlesticks or bar charts are not ideal chart types to use with divergence trading due to the wicks. The lines chart represent closing prices, which is what RSI (or any other oscillator) tracks. Therefore line charts are better to identify divergence trading opportunities.
When trading with divergences, never take a position at the high or the low, but at the immediate support/resistance levels. In most cases, prices will continue to make another attempt to make a low or a high, which is usually done by the market to hunt for any stops placed by early traders who want to get more pips from their divergence trades.
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is an indicator that moves back and forth between 0 and 100, providing insight into the underlying strength or weakness of stock prices. It is used in various capacities, including confirming trends, providing trade signals and foreshadowing reversals. To use the RSI effectively we must understand how it works and its trading applications, as well as its strengths and limitations.
What is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
Developed by J. Welles Wilder—who also developed the Average True Range, Average Directional Index and, Parabolic SAR —the RSI is a very popular indicator.
The RSI moves higher when the average gains over a period, typically 14 days, are larger than the average losses. The indicator moves down when the averages losses are greater than average gains. Put another way, if the indicator is at 100, over the last 14 days it was all gains. If the indicator is at zero, all 14 periods were losses.
The indicator is calculated using the following formula, which requires a number of steps:
*RSI = 100 – [100/(1+RS)] *Where RS = Smoothed Average Gain / Smoothed Average Loss *Average Gain = Sum of gains over the last 14 periods/14 *Average Loss (expressed as a positive number) = Sum of losses over the last 14 periods/14
To create a smoothed RSI average, similar to a moving average, another step is added:
*Smoothed Average Gain = [(previous Average Gain) x 13 + current Gain] *Smoothed Average Loss = [(previous Average Loss) x 13 + current Loss]
The indicator is typically used on daily charts with a period of 14, which equates to 14 days. Decrease the number of periods to make the indicator more sensitive to price changes. Increase the periods to make the indicator less sensitive.
Using the indicator on other timeframes also works. A 14-period RSI applied to an hourly chart will base calculations off the last 14 hours.
Figure 1 shows how the RSI looks on a chart, moving with price. All charts created using http://www. StockCharts. com
Trading with the Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI is used in a number ways. Three popular functions are overbought/oversold levels, RSI ranges and divergence.
Via media and analysis it is frequent to hear phrases such as “The stock is overbought” or “ WXYZ is oversold.” Often the speaker is referring to the stock’s RSI reading.
When the RSI is above 70 (or 80 is often used as well) it shows a strong run higher in price, which may not be sustainable, and therefore due for a correction.
When the indicator is below 30 (or 20) it shows a strong run lower which may not be sustainable, and the price may be due for a rally.
Unfortunately, it is not as easy as buying when the indicator moves below 30 or selling above 70, some confirmation of a change in direction is needed. Allow the price to cross below 30 and then rally back above it before buying. Let the price cross above 70 and then back below it before selling.
This approach can work well in ranging markets, when the price is swinging back and forth between overbought and oversold levels. As Figure 2 shows the price may not always reach 30 or 70; if the stock doesn’t quite reach the pre-defined levels, alternate levels can be used, such as 35 or 65.
When a buy is triggered a stop is placed below the recent swing low. A sell signal is used to exit long trades or initiate short positions, with a stop above the recent swing high.
During trends, the RSI will usually stay contained within certain readings. During an uptrend it typically bottoms above 30 and frequently reaches 80+. During a downtrend the indicator will typically top out before 70 and frequently reach 20 or below. This can be used to confirm trends, and provide entry signals during a trend.
During an uptrend, buy if the price drops below 35 (or 40) and then rallies back above it. Place a stop loss below the recent low. Sell when the price moves above 70 (or 80) and then drops back below.
One problem with this strategy is that the RSI may not provide an exit signal, in which case, a winning trade may turn into a loser. For such occasions, having a price target or another exit method is needed.
Each stock moves differently, and therefore may have a slightly different range. Adjust levels to suit the individual stocks movement, for example 40 may be the entry point instead of 35.
During a downtrend, short-sell if the price rallies above 65 and then drops back below. Place a stop above the recent high. Cover the short position when the stock drops below 30 (or 20) and rallies back above it.
The RSI is also used to spot divergence. Bearish divergence is when the price is rising, but the RSI falling. It warns the price could soon correct lower since buying momentum is slowing.
Divergence (bullish or bearish) is not a timing signal, as it can last a long time. Rather, divergence helps confirm other signals, and lets traders know when a trend may almost be over.
Bullish divergence is when the price is falling, but the RSI is rising. It warns the price could soon move higher since selling momentum is slowing.
Divergence on major trends warns of an overall change in direction, while divergence on a small scale, as shown on Figures 5 and 6 may only indicate a small correction or short-term change in direction.
Limitations of the RSI
The RSI has several limitations, as all indicators do. Since the indicator is showing momentum, as long as momentum remains strong (up or down) the indicator can stay in overbought or oversold territory for long periods of time. Therefore, price analysis or some other confirmation is still needed for reversals.
The same is true for divergence. While the RSI may be dropping and price rising, that doesn’t mean price will drop soon. The RSI is just showing that the price is moving higher at a slower pace than it was before. Confirmation of a reversal is still needed, such as lower swing highs and lower swing lows in price.
RSI ranges can help confirm trends, but each stock or market will have slightly different levels. One stock may repeatedly move to 38 on pullbacks, while another goes to 33. Therefore, some adjustment is often needed for each stock, since a one-size-fits-all approach may not work.
La línea de fondo
The RSI is popular because it has multiple uses. It is used to find entry exit signals based on overbought/oversold reading and trending ranges, and can help spot or confirm reversals via divergence. Like any technical analysis tool though, the RSI is prone to providing false signals. Price analysis is still need to determine if a trend is present, and then important RSI levels identified for that particular security.
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RSI: Bullish and Bearish Divergence
In today's article I will discuss the many different ways RSI can be used to make swing trading decisions. More specifically, the first concept I will cover is bullish and bearish divergence.
On page 70 of New Concepts in Technical Analysis . Wilder comments "When divergence begins to show up after a good directional move, this is a very strong indication that a turning point is near. Divergence is the single most indicative characteristic of the relative strength line."
Bullish divergence occurs when a stock or index makes a low high in price and the RSI indicator makes a higher low. Bearish divergence is just the opposite -- price will make a new high, but RSI makes a lower high. Typically, bearish divergence is marked by a rising trendline above the price action and a falling trendline on the RSI indicator and visa versa.
The reason this divergence occurs is built into the calculation of RSI. As we saw last week, the formula divides the average up closes for a period by the average down closes. Bearish divergence will usually occur in the following manner. A stock will have a strong advance where the average up closes sharply outweigh the down closes. A peak will then be reached in both price and the RSI indicator. The stock will then have a mild sell-off, or perhaps move sideways for a few days. When this selling and consolidation occur, RSI will decline because the average days up/average days down figure decreases.
Finally the stock again rallies and tests or slightly exceeds its previous high. Because the RSI calculation includes the period of decline and consolidation, it will be lower than the first RSI peak. The opposite will hold true for bullish divergence. In visual terms, after a strong directional move to the upside, traders should be suspicious of a prolonged consolidation. Such a formation will always mark a period of RSI deterioration. Lo contrario también es cierto. After a sharp down move, horizontal consolidation will lead to an improvement in the RSI number.
RSI was designed by Wilder to anticipate price changes rather than merely react to them. When the swing trader sees divergence, he or she should become alert to the possibility of a significant reaction or even a reversal in trend. It should be cautioned, however, that bearish RSI divergence in itself is not a sell signal. The swing trader should wait for a signal in price, such as a moving average crossover or break of a trendline, before taking action. On the chart below, I have used the 4- 9- and 18-day moving averages to provide a trading signal. Under this system, a sell signal is given when the 4- and 9-day moving averages cross below the 18-day after having been above them for a sustained period.
The chart of Cognizant (CTSH) presents a good example of bearish divergence. CTSH began a very strong rally near $27.50 at the end of September. The RSI rally peak was November 17th, when the indicator closed at 77.6 and the stock closed at $38.60. The stock then declined for a few days before rallying. On November 26th, CTSH hit a closing peak for this move of $39.19 and RSI finished the session at 72. This was bearish divergence and warned the swing trader that a reaction or reversal was in the works.
Topic: Is the RSI Convergence and Divergence indicator code correct?
I'm wondering whether the RSI convergence and divergence indicator's code is correct.
When I include them in my strategies and exported it to MT4, sometimes it is fine but other times, the MT4 would "shut" down and the message would pop up saying:
"MetaTrader has stopped working" A problem caused the program to stop working correctly. Windows will close the program and notify you if a solution is available.
Prior to that, I didn't have such issue.
I know without me being specific with my EA (confidential) opening and closing conditions, it is very hard for you to pinpoint the issue. However, would you mind take a look at the coding to see whether it is working fine. I noticed I have more of such occurrence when I use the convergence and divergence in LTF with different time frame, hence, I wonder whether somehow there are some encoding conflict arise from it? (that's just my layman guessing).
Also generally, I have a hunch (just based on my observation, not sure whether I'm right) that when I use any indicators with various or all time frames e. g. when MA fast higher than slow MA for Min1, Min15, Min30, H1, H4), the EA doesn't seem to "work" perfectly than if I were to use lesser LTF conditions. I know with more LTF conditions, I'm making my EA more complex. However, I noticed that when the market conditions on the MT4 chart are "met", my EA doesn't kick into action as expected.
In the past, there were some bugs for FSB 1min chart or LTF, hence, there were issues with the calculation of bar counts (my 1min EA used to run up to 10,000 and you wondered why my EA needed so many bars, and I didn't know too. but when I raised this issue, you checked and found out that it was some bug or encoding issue and then it was fix in early quarter this year). Since then, my EA used lesser bars.
Then there were some other issues with 1min chart or LTF in the past. hence I thought maybe with my current observation, maybe there might be some issue with the encoding or calculation due to the integration of the different LTF indicators. Especially when I add the condition such as "rising" in for various or all time frame, the profit calculation seem a bit odd (as in it suppose to improve the performance/results, instead, my EA profit calculation changed drastically)
I'm know nothing about programming but as an end user, I'm just raising my suspicion/observation (which may be unfounded or I didn't know where to pinpoint the issue).
Looking back, comparing the beginning of the year and now, I definitely see a great improvement in my min1 EA performance (because you fixed the previous bug issues, though my conditions are more or the same).
2 Reply by Popov 2015-09-29 11:28:49
Re: Is the RSI Convergence and Divergence indicator code correct?
Hello Hannah, Thank you for the reports!
Can you make some more tests? For example, whether other MT terminals crash with this expert, whether the terminal crashes if you remove LTF and run the indicator on the main time frame, whether the terminal crashes if you don't trade this expert, whether it crashes when you trade this expert without this indicator.
I can only help if I can reproduce a bug. For example, you send me an expert that makes the MT crashing and when I run it on my terminal I have to see that terminal crashes. Then I can try finding the reason, so that after changing something and run the EA and the terminal does not crash I will know that it is fixed.
when I use any indicators with various or all time frames e. g. when MA fast higher than slow MA for Min1, Min15, Min30, H1, H4), the EA doesn't seem to "work" perfectly than if I were to use lesser LTF conditions.
Can you post an example where an expert trading differs for the backtest on the same data?
However, I noticed that when the market conditions on the MT4 chart are "met", my EA doesn't kick into action as expected.
Can you post an example, with screenshots, expert and log file, where the conditions are met and the EA doesn't trade? If such case exists it would be a major issue that must be fixed immediately.
Pregunta
I have an AFL, but can some 1 please convert the same into Pi Compatabile Language so i can use as a scanner to Filter stocks on any time frame
GraphXSpace=7; //n=Param("% Reverse ",12,0,100,1); n=Optimize("ZIG",9,5,50,1); per=Optimize("rsi",28,5,50,1); Buy=Sell=0; Var = Zig(RSI(per), n); t= Trough(RSI(per), n, 1); p= Peak(RSI(per), n, 1); x[0] =Var[0]; price[0] = C[0]; j=0;
// bearish divergence for ( i=0; i<BarCount; i++) if(Var[i] == p[i])
Plot(Var, "", 39); PlotShapes ( IIf(Sell, shapeSmallCircle, shapeNone), colorRed, 0. Var,0); PlotShapes( IIf(Buy, shapeSmallCircle, shapeNone), colorBrightGreen, 0, Var,0);
Title ="RSI Divergence" ; _SECTION_END();
_SECTION_BEGIN("TEMA"); P = ParamField("Price field",-1); Periods = Param("Periods", 15, 2, 200, 1, 10 ); Plot( TEMA( P, Periods ), _DEFAULT_NAME(), ParamColor( "Color", colorCycle ), ParamStyle("Style") ); _SECTION_END();
Divergence Forex Trading Strategy
Divergences are most commonly used in forex to predict price reversals in both up and down trending markets. In a nutshell, divergences occur when the currency pair price and the technical indicator (MACD, RSI, STOCH,…) trade in opposite directions. Normally, price should always trade in agreement with the supporting TA indicator, both up or down. The big advantage of trading divergences is that they offer you low risk to reward trades since you’re ready to buy currencies near a bottom or sell near the top.
A. Forex Bullish Divergence Trading
Bullish divergences occur where the currency price trades lower while indicator readings go higher. Bullish divergences suggest a likely move to the upside. Let’s take a look at bullish divergence and how to profit from this tool. Below is a 4 hour chart of GBP/USD.
The GBP/USD make lower lows while the MACD indicator make higher lows, thus creating bullish divergence in the chart above. We could enter a long position at 1.5733 with stop loss 1 pip below the supporting trend line at 1.5646. The long trade was confirmed by the hammer candlestick pattern.
B. Forex Bearish Divergence Trading
As opposed to bullish divergences, bearish divergences occur where the currency price trades higher while indicator readings move lower. Bearish divergences suggest a likely move to the downside. Let’s take a look at an example. Below is a daily chart of EUR/USD.
In the chart above, we could enter a short position at 1.4035 with stop loss at 1.4285 for a short ride towards 1.3570 (so far).
The trade was confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern.
Another example: EUR/USD 1 Min Chart
As shown in the chart above, trading divergences can be used by forex scalpers as well. The short trade was confirmed by a small triangle pattern that appeared on the EUR/USD 1 min chart.
Forex Trading Systems > Reversal Strategies
Tag Archives: divergence rsi indicator
SintesiFX is definitely an indicator providing the “synthetic view” from the 8 main foreign currencies: USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD. You are able to pick the foreign currency you need to concentrate on, simply choosing this within the enter guidelines. Maybe you have exchanged 1 foreign currency set such as EURUSD whilst simultaneously keeping track of what goes on upon additional main sets such as GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD? A person certainly possess realized that the cost actions upon just about all sets possess some relationship, and when the large or perhaps a change on a single set isn’t then an identical breakout/reversal about the additional sets after that generally you’re viewing the fake large or perhaps a fake change. Which standard “false move” that’s sufficient with regard to activating the actual cease lack of numerous unskilled investors prior to the cost resumes it’s “true” path. For those who have exchanged for just about any period of time a person certainly understand what I’m referring to, and also you certainly have observed the actual poor sensation of getting becoming captured inside a traditional “trap”.
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Right now picture it is simple to take a look at your own EURUSD graph by having an indicator which lets you know the actual “true story” regarding what’s occurring about the additional most significant sets associated with EURUSD. A good indicator that provides the realtime “synthetic view” associated with exactly how cash is actually moving with regard to EUR or even with regard to USD about the main foreign currency sets (EURUSD included). This particular indicator is actually “SintesiFX“. When you evaluate the cost motion associated with EURUSD using the artificial cost motion shown through SintesiFX you are able to recognize quickly the number of “traps” tend to be set lower before you decide to. Should you visit a cost motion upon EURUSD that isn’t then an identical cost motion upon SintesiFX after that be careful simply because you might be enticed in order to key in the industry “with the actual trend” simply whenever which pattern is all about to complete as well as change. For example you see a good “higher high” design upon EURUSD and also you believe it is the best period with regard to actively playing the large industry. On the other hand SintesiFX lets you know an additional tale just because a “lower high” is actually underway. In this instance the change is extremely likely, not really a large!
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Obv indicator with moving average mt4
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Hello I'm looking for no repainting indicators in mql4 file [if you don't have mql4 then ex4 could be].
There is a list of potential indicators. Which of them don't repaint? Do anyone have those listed indicators?
CCI RSI Stochastic CHT Reggression COG v1 Reggresion TMA MFI MA MACD ADX Volume ATR WPR RVI RSX Heiken Ashi MACD Crossover MACD Traditional RD Combo Quantum with alert MACD VOB Divergence
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Tripack 10 Mar 2016
Well the problem with divergence is that while divergence is forming you cannot be sure it will end up diverging compared to price.
so most of the indis that are divergence related are not repainting but lagging.
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cobirobi 10 Mar 2016
Okey, I know that but I need as much as you can give me. Best in MQL4 so I can see how they works. I have great idea for system based on that.
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holyfire 10 Mar 2016
The only Real time divergence indicator I know is the CCI divergence. Most Indis wait for confirmation candles this one shows you right away, but "repaints."
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Binary Options Insights for March 15th 2016
Market Recap & Outlook:
Finland reported its consumer price index (CPI) for the month of February which increased by 0.1% month-over-month and dropped by 0.1% year-over-year. Consensus estimates were looking for a contraction of 0.5% and 0.2% respectively. January was revised higher in order to reflect a reading of 0.0% month-over-month and remained unrevised at 0.0% year-over-year. What is binary options trading? It is the buying and selling of options with a set investment amount as well as expiry date.
This morning’s release of minutes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) showed a continuation of the slightly upbeat view on economic performance, noting the strong labor market as well as the rebalancing away from the commodity sector assisted by low rates. A slowdown in the housing market as well as investments was reported, but the increase in Chinese household incomes is expected to assist the Australian economy long-term. New motor vehicle sales for the month of February showed a decrease of 0.1% month-over-month and an increase of 2.3% year-over-year after the downward revised expansion of 0.4% and upward revised growth rate of 5.2% which was announced in the preceding month.
Advanced retail sales out of the United States are expected to contract by 0.1% month-over-month and by 0.2% excluding auto sales for February after the increase of 0.2% and 0.1% which was reported in the previous month. A growth rate of 0.2% month-over-month is anticipated for retail sales excluding auto and gas sales and for retail sales in the control group. This would represent a slowdown over the expansion of 0.4% and 0.6% which was reported in January.
Today’s Binary Option Trading Recommendations Overview: • AUD/USD – Binary Put Option • EUR/JPY – Binary Put Option • USD/CHF – Binary Call Option • Silver – Binary Put Option • EuroStoxx 50 – Binary Put Option
Currency Pairs on today’s Radar Screen: AUD/USD – The AUD/USD forced a momentum change from positive to negative with the breakdown below its horizontal resistance level. The 50 Day Moving Average (DMA) is ascending and remains above the 200 DMA which is also moving higher. The Accelerator Oscillator (AC) indicates the emergence of a negative divergence prior to the breakdown. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading in neutral territory following the advance from oversold conditions.
Today’s Binary Options Trading Strategy: Put Option Price action is now trading below of its horizontal resistance level, but above its 200 DMA. The AUD/USD is expected to accelerate to the downside from current levels. Binary option traders are advised to seek binary put options in the AUD/USD currency pair on rallies above 0.7475 on the H1 Hourly Chart. The downside potential for this binary put option is 175 pips to 0.7300 while the upside potential is 75 pips to 0.7550. This results in a risk/reward ratio of 2.33.
EUR/JPY – The EUR/JPY is depleting positive pressure after contracting below its horizontal resistance level. The 50 DMA started to drift to the downside, but is maintaining its position above the 200 DMA which continues to advance. The AC shows the formation of a negative divergence preceding the drop down from its horizontal resistance level and the RSI is trading in oversold conditions after reversing from neutral territory.
Today’s Binary Options Trading Strategy: Put Option Price action is presently trading below of its horizontal resistance level. The EUR/JPY is anticipated to extend its contraction until it can challenge its horizontal support level. Binary option traders are advised to seek binary put options in the EUR/JPY currency pair on rallies above 125.950 on the H1 Hourly Chart. The downside potential for this binary put option is 295 pips to 123.000 while the upside potential is 130 pips to 127.250. This results in a risk/reward ratio of 2.27.
USD/CHF – The USD/CHF pushed above of its horizontal support level which resulted in a momentum change to positive. The ascending 50 DMA is narrowing the gap to the 200 DMA which is trending to the downside. The AC favors more upside in this currency pair due to the accumulation in upside momentum while the RSI is trading in neutral territory as a result of the move lower from overbought conditions.
Today’s Binary Options Trading Strategy: Call Option Price action is currently trading above of its horizontal support level with an increase on positive pressure. The USD/CHF is estimated to complete a breakout above its 200 DMA and advance further. Binary option traders are advised to seek binary call options in the USD/CHF currency pair on dips below 0.9875 on the H1 Hourly Chart. The upside potential for this binary call option is 215 pips to 1.0090 while the downside potential is 75 pips to 0.9800. This results in a risk/reward ratio of 2.87.
Today’s Commodity Trade Silver – Silver lost its upside momentum as a result of the drop below its horizontal resistance level. The descending 50 DMA remains above the ascending 200 DMA. The AC points towards a negative divergence which formed prior to the plunge below its horizontal resistance level as the RSI is trading in oversold conditions following the move lower from overbought territory. Electronic trading has increased the reach of the financial market on a global level.
Today’s Binary Options Trading Strategy: Put Option Price action is now trading below of its horizontal resistance level. Silver is expected to correct until it will reach its horizontal support level. Binary option traders are advised to seek binary put options in Silver on rallies above 15.250 on the H1 Hourly Chart. The downside potential for this binary put option is 45 pips to 14.800 while the upside potential is 20 pips to 15.450. This results in a risk/reward ratio of 2.25.
Today’s Equity Index Recommendation EuroStoxx 50 – The EuroStoxx 50 is depleting positive momentum inside of its horizontal resistance level from where a corrective phase is expected. The 50 DMA is trading above the 200 DMA and both moving averages resume their advance. The AC suggests a price action reversal from current levels as upside pressure is receding. The RSI is trading in neutral territory after moving lower from overbought conditions.
Today’s Binary Options Trading Strategy: Put Option Price action is presently trading inside of its horizontal resistance level with an accumulation in negative pressure. The EuroStoxx 50 is anticipated to enter a counter-trend move lower. Binary option traders are advised to seek binary put options in the EuroStoxx 50 equity index on rallies above 3,075.0 on the H1 Hourly Chart. The downside potential for this binary put option is 24,500 pips to 2,830.0 while the upside potential is 5,500 pips to 3,130.0. This results in a risk/reward ratio of 4.46.
Key Fundamental Data:
Japan – The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to remain sidelined and left all three rates unchanged from previous levels; the basic balance rate at 0.10%, the macro add-on balance rate at 0.00% and the BoJ policy rate at -0.10%.
Japan – Consensus estimates for the industrial production final January revision call for a rise of 3.7% month-over-month and a contraction of 3.8% year-over-year. This would mark a reversal over the previous month’s drop of 1.7% month-over-month, but a rise over the 1.9% decrease year-over-year. The January Tertiary Industry Index is expected to increase by 0.4% month-over-month following the 0.6% contraction which was printed in December.
Eurozone – Economists anticipate the trade balance for the month of January out of the Netherlands to clock in at €3.7 billion, up €0.6 billion from the preceding month’s surplus of €3.1 billion. Retail sales are estimated to expand by 1.2% year-over-year after the previous year’s growth rate of 3.3%.
Eurozone – The Finish current account deficit for January is set to increase to €239.7 million, up from the €200.0 million deficit which was printed in December.
Eurozone – Expectations for the February final revision to the French consumer price Index (CPI) favor a rise of 0.2% month-over-month and drop of 0.2% year-over-year, for no change from the initially printed data. This would follow the previous month’s expansion of 1.0% and 0.2% respectively. The EU Harmonized CPI is called up by 0.3% month-over-month and down by 0.1% year-over-year, matching the previously announced data, after the drop of 1.1% and increase of 0.3% which was reported in January.
Eurozone – Consensus estimates for the final revision to the February CPI out of Italy call for no change from the contraction of 0.2% month-over-month and 0.3% year-over-year which was originally posted. The EU Harmonized CPI is also expected to remain unchanged at a drop of 0.4% month-over-month and 0.2% year-over-year. The January CPI was reported at a decrease of 0.2% and an increase of 0.3% while the EU Harmonized CPI clocked in at a drop of 2.2% and increase of 0.4% respectively.
Eurozone – Economists anticipate the employment change for the fourth-quarter of 2015 to match the preceding report’s expansion of 0.3% quarter-over-quarter and 1.1% year-over-year.
United States – The producer price index (PPI) for February is called down by 0.2% month-over-month and up by 0.1% year-over-year after the increase of 0.1% and contraction of 0.2% reported in January. The core PPI, excluding food and energy, is favored to expand by 0.1% month-over-month and 1.2% year-over-year after the rise of 0.4% and 0.6% which was reported in the preceding month.
United States – Expectations for the March New York Manufacturing Index call for a reading of -11.50, up from February’s level of -16.64.
United States – Consensus estimates for the NAHB Housing Market Index for March favor a reading of 59 after the previous month’s level of 58. Business inventories for January are anticipated to come in at 0.0% following December’s expansion of 0.1%.
Trend investors make an effort to separate as well as draw out make money from trends. You will find several methods to get this done. Not one indicator may strike your own solution to promote wealth, because buying and selling entails additional element danger management and buying and selling mindset too. However particular indicators possess was the actual check of your time as well as stay well-liked among trend investors. Right here we offer common recommendations as well as potential methods are supplied for every; make use of these types of or even fine-tune these phones produce your very own technique. (For much more in-depth data, observe “Trading Unstable Shares along with Specialized indicators.
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Shifting averages “smooth” cost information through developing a solitary moving collection. The actual collection signifies the typical cost more than some time. That shifting typical the actual investor chooses to make use of is dependent upon time body which he/she deals. With regard to traders as well as long-term trend fans, the actual 200-day, 100-day as well as 50-day easy shifting typical tend to be well-liked options.
There are many methods to make use of the shifting typical. The foremost is to check out the actual position from the shifting typical. If it’s mainly shifting flat to have an prolonged period of time, then your cost isn’t trending, this is ranging. If it’s angled upward, a good uptrend is actually underway. Shifting averages do not forecast although; these people merely display exactly what the cost does normally more than some time. Crossovers tend to be an additional method to make use of shifting averages. Through plotting each the 200-day as well as 50-day shifting typical in your graph, a buy signal occurs once the 50-day passes across over the actual 200-day. A sell signal occurs once the 50-day falls beneath the actual 200-day. Time structures could be changed to match your person buying and selling time period.
Intitulado
addcloud(overbought, bottomline, color. green);
addcloud(overSold, topLine, color. red);
12:27 Syracusepro™®: End
12:29 Syracusepro™®: The multitask included grandaughter, thanks God, went to sleep.
12:35 Syracusepro™®: harndog2, sorry didnt see the question above. It is one script I belive Mobius posted to help M1. I added things as usual. Just one script I believe. I taught I have posted it. If not, can post.
12:35 Lew G: Hi. If this is a simple question. then maybe it won't take lont to answer.
12:37 Lew G: I think I used to have a chart with all the XL* % change from a certain date plotted. But I can't find it either in my studies & styloes or in TOS studies. What am I missing, or am I remembering wrong?
12:40 Syracusepro™®: Harndog2, not sure if this is the one you was talking about:
12:40 Syracusepro™®: # RSI as Candles
# Chat Room Request 03.10.2016
# End Code RSI as Candle
12:41 Brian: Syracusepro, Very nice on the RVI, doesn't seem to make sense to make candles out of it though as their not individually descriptive of any possible actionable move. OS / OB are very apparent, maybe more with a MA. Gracias.
12:41 Harndog2: Syracuse, thanks and I will play with Mobius' post. The reason I asked is the bar size at indicator inflection points interests me. I am not sure what a "good" bar contraction is at an indicator point, but the relative bar size in a label is either useful or another mindtrick.
12:42 Syracusepro™®: Yes, it seems to me needed to be tweaked a little bit more.
12:47 Brian: Lew, Chart Settings > Price Axis > Show Price as Percentage.
Then highlight the little arrow next to it and it will show up in the style menu.
12:48 Brian: Lew, Or was it a label?
12:51 Harndog2: I tried to approach the issue by comparing True Range to Implied Volatility as columns to come up with ratios. Mobius thought it did not have much predictive or useful value. As an ex-floor trader, the value is a heat measurement and trading opportunity. For example, the /ESH6 is running 1.24 greater than the expected range. Thus, today is a good opportunity day in the /ES
12:52 Lew G: Brian: No, not a label. Showing as % plus adding multiple comparisons did it. Gracias.
12:52 Brian: OK, YW
12:53 Harndog2: Syracuse. Happy to share the WL Columns if you care.
12:59 AlphaInvestor: Harn - IV is forward looking, True Range is backward looking.
13:00 AlphaInvestor: I like to drive looking out the windshield not the rear view miror ;-)
13:00 Syracusepro™®: Harndog, if you have them available.
13:21 Harndog2: AI. Sí. Driving Ms. Daisy. I am man enough to admit it. )
13:22 Harndog2: And. I am just looking at previous night prediction. IV vs SD.
13:23 Harndog2: EOD. so its academic for expected ranges.
13:24 JohnGalt: hi syra
13:24 Harndog2: Like a detective, a fight occurred..
13:25 Harndog: Syra: WL Ratio TR/SD:
13:25 Harndog: #Mobius 062315
def TR = TrueRange(high, close, low);
def vol = imp_volatility();
def Daily_SD = (vol / Sqrt(365)) * close;
plot diff = (TR - Daily_SD) / Daily_SD;
13:26 Syracusepro™®: Thanks Harndog2.
13:26 Harndog: WL True Range:
13:26 Harndog: reference TrueRangeIndicator()
13:26 Syracusepro™®: got it.
13:27 Harndog: WL Implied Vol Daily: # ImpVol_Daily
#Implied Volatility Daily
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Friday's Main Events - 11 March 2016
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